Football isn't played on pitches, not paper. All it would take is a team defending like their lives depended on it and one set piece at the other end to create a shock upset. This is why football in the second half of seasons is almost entirely different from the first half of the season as there is more at stake at both ends of the table.
The respective points totals and City's sustained levels over a season and a half pretty much back it up though?
While teams may well be defending for their lives, the teams in opposition, ie City and ourselves, are playing and attacking for our lives too. Add to that being, generally, superior physically and technically and having more resources to call on, City in particular.
Of course - upsets will always happen. Also, as the race begins to conclude the mental aspect will become even more of a factor.
I'm not sure what you're disagreeing with to be honest? Do you think there'll be many points dropped by either of us against the bottom 10? If not, wouldn't that be down to the quality of the respective squads? Quality covering physical, technical, tactical and mental aspects.