More bollocks from Corbyn in my Twitter feed.
"When the Government misleads on something as fundamental as life expectancy, you know things have gone too far."And this was from his speech:
"How can you not be angry and demand major change when life expectancy in Britain for pensioners and those aged 45 is falling? We are a rich country, the sixth richest in the world. We are not at war, there is no epidemic sweeping our land.
So how on earth can life expectancy be falling?
The truth is that the Tories are running our country down.
Home ownership, opportunities for our children, wages and conditions at work, the NHS, care for our elderly, and now, life expectancy: they’re all going backwards, run down by a Conservative government that looks after those at the top and manages decline for the rest of us."The comment is based on these figures released by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries and the commentary states that:
The latest CMI Mortality Projections Model – ‘CMI_2016’ – was released on 28 March 2017 based on statistical analysis of England & Wales population data up to 31 December 2016. It's findings include:
Recent population data has highlighted that, since 2011, the rate at which mortality is improving has been slower than in previous years
However, mortality is expected to continue to improve and there is significant uncertainty as to whether this will be at a slower rate than experienced in the first decade of this century
Analysis of recent data suggests that mortality rates for members of defined benefit pension schemes improved at a faster rate than the general population.https://www.actuaries.org.uk/news-and-insights/media-centre/media-releases-and-statements/cmi-mortality-projections-model-2016-launchedCorbyn and his team of fuckwits picked up on "...the rate at which mortality is improving has been slower than in previous years..." and interpreted it as saying that life expectancy is falling.
In fact life expectancy is still rising but the
rate at which it is rising is slowing. "...However, mortality is expected to continue to improve..." is the next line.
It's basic statistics. I'm just so tired of this. Can we have a bit of basic competency? Did Corbyn mislead or just not understand? Either is unacceptable.
*edit. OK - I may have simplified a little myself. What the report says is that mortality rates continue to improve but at a slower rate. 'Life expectancy' is what insurers and others use to determine hpw long people might live at some future date.
So actuaries will have been calculating life expectancy (a forecast of how long people might live) on the fact that mortality has been improving at a given rate. If life expectancy still improves but at a lower rate then the forecast needs to be revised downwards to allow for it.
The bottom line still stands. We are still living longer.