In your opinion what sort of gap between us and United would it take before we should be really worried?
Prior to Man United’s game against Southampton this evening they are on -13. If they win they move up to -11. If they lose they drop to -14 and if they draw they remain on -13.
Assuming they win then they are on -11 compared to Liverpool on -14.
Man United then have a total of 9 Par 1 Fixtures remaining where they could pick up a further 18 APLT points putting them on +7.
Liverpool have a total of 7 Par 1 Fixtures remaining where they could pick up a further 14 APLT points leaving us on 0 (Par), still 7 behind Man United.
This assumes that Liverpool and Man United win their respective Par 1 matches when playing each other Home & Away and in accordance with the methodology of the APLT both Man United and Liverpool win their remaining Par 3 Fixtures.
However, given Man United’s upwards trend of late and Liverpool’s slow puncture, our chances of winning more Par 3 matches than Man United between now and the end of the season are rather remote.
So to answer your question, I would suggest that our horse has long since bolted unless Man United go walkabout again.