Topic: How many points would you expect in the next 5 league games - 2014/15 edition

[CallumLFC]

Thing is in our state, the games against the likes of Stoke and Sunderland at home will end up being a grind all season long. We can't even pick out any home games for an easy three points. They're all going to be tough work.

Stoke and Sunderland are both going to set up defensively well, and like most mid-table fans rely on, we have to hope we click for one week, or maybe get some luck or even hope the opposition don't turn up. Leicester are playing like total shit at the moment, but that'll likely be another tough away struggle too.

It's desperate, but we really need the opposition to start contributing with some shit performances.

[Hij]

0.

Well done.

[LFCsupporter]

Crystal Palace (A) 0
Stoke  (H) 3
Leicester (A) 1
Sunderland (H) 3
Man Utd (A) 0

So that's 7 points, I'll be very surprised if we get more than that.

On course so far

[LiverBirdKop]

5.

[Monsieur]

Our current form, opponents current form, lack of quality players, absence of winning ambition and passion = 3 points.
That's if luck is on our side.

Embarrassing?

Yep.

[Hij]

Just being honest.

£50 bet?

[invader_gir]

Crystal Palace (A) 0 (just played)
Stoke  (H) 1
Leicester (A) 0
Sunderland (H) 3
Man Utd (A) 0

[SquirrelandGman]

I'm putting money against us from now on. Reckon I'll be at least a thousand pounds richer by the end of the season

[Sudden Death Draft Loser]

It's become quite easy to predict.

Zero.

[TheShanklyGates]

None. Anything else is a bonus.

[zabadoh]

Given that we're scoring an average of about 1.5 goals less per match compared to last season, and our defense is performing at about the same level as last season, here is what our next 11 matches (all of which we won last season) look like with 2 goals subtracted from our score each match from last season's equivalent results:

For example, our next match is home against Stoke.  Last season we won this match 1-0.  Subtract 2 goals for -1-0, account for the minimum score of 0, and the prediction is a 0-0 draw.

Predict D Liverpool 0–0 Stoke City
Predict L Leicester City (Norwich City) 2–1 Liverpool
Predict L Liverpool 0–1 Sunderland
Predict W Manchester United 0–1 Liverpool
Predict W Liverpool 3–1 Arsenal
Predict L Burnley (Fulham) 2–1 Liverpool
Predict L Liverpool 2–3 Swansea City
Predict W Liverpool 3–1 Leicester City (Norwich City)
Predict D Sunderland 1–1 Liverpool
Predict D Aston Villa 0–0 Liverpool
Predict W Liverpool 2–1 West Ham United

So how did this predictive method perform against matches that have already happened?  Not the actual final score, just W, L or D

Predict L Liverpool 0–1 Southampton (actual W 3-1) wrong
Predict L Manchester City 2–0 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct
Predict W Tottenham Hotspur 0–3 Liverpool (actual W 0-3) correct + score match!
Predict L Liverpool 0–2 Aston Villa (actual L 0-1) correct
Predict L West Ham United 1–0 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct
Predict W Liverpool 2–0 Everton (actual D 1-1)  wrong
Predict W Liverpool 2–1 West Bromwich Albion (actual W 2-1) correct + score match!
Predict W QPR (Cardiff City) 3–4 Liverpool (actual W 2-3) correct
Predict D Liverpool 0–0 Hull City (actual D 0-0) correct + score match!
Predict L Newcastle United 2–0 Liverpool (actual L 1-0) correct
Predict L Liverpool 0–2 Chelsea (actual L 1-2) correct
Predict L Crystal Palace 3–1 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct + score match!

So, just subtracting 2 goals from our score from last season's equivalent result correctly predicted the WLD in 10 out of 12 matches, and correctly predicted the score in 4 out of 12.

[NealFrom25Yards]

Feeling oddly positive this afternoon.

We couldn't really have cherry picked a much better set of fixtures over the next few games...and it's came at the perfect time.

Ludo - Win
Stoke - Win
Leicester - Win
Sunderland - Win
Basel - Win

BOOM.

[RedRush]

So, just subtracting 2 goals from our score from last season's equivalent result correctly predicted the WLD in 10 out of 12 matches, and correctly predicted the score in 4 out of 12.

Just had to log in and say well done!

[redbanky]

Given that we're scoring an average of about 1.5 goals less per match compared to last season, and our defense is performing at about the same level as last season, here is what our next 11 matches (all of which we won last season) look like with 2 goals subtracted from our score each match from last season's equivalent results:

For example, our next match is home against Stoke.  Last season we won this match 1-0.  Subtract 2 goals for -1-0, account for the minimum score of 0, and the prediction is a 0-0 draw.

Predict D Liverpool 0–0 Stoke City
Predict L Leicester City (Norwich City) 2–1 Liverpool
Predict L Liverpool 0–1 Sunderland
Predict W Manchester United 0–1 Liverpool
Predict W Liverpool 3–1 Arsenal
Predict L Burnley (Fulham) 2–1 Liverpool
Predict L Liverpool 2–3 Swansea City
Predict W Liverpool 3–1 Leicester City (Norwich City)
Predict D Sunderland 1–1 Liverpool
Predict D Aston Villa 0–0 Liverpool
Predict W Liverpool 2–1 West Ham United

So how did this predictive method perform against matches that have already happened?  Not the actual final score, just W, L or D

Predict L Liverpool 0–1 Southampton (actual W 3-1) wrong
Predict L Manchester City 2–0 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct
Predict W Tottenham Hotspur 0–3 Liverpool (actual W 0-3) correct + score match!
Predict L Liverpool 0–2 Aston Villa (actual L 0-1) correct
Predict L West Ham United 1–0 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct
Predict W Liverpool 2–0 Everton (actual D 1-1)  wrong
Predict W Liverpool 2–1 West Bromwich Albion (actual W 2-1) correct + score match!
Predict W QPR (Cardiff City) 3–4 Liverpool (actual W 2-3) correct
Predict D Liverpool 0–0 Hull City (actual D 0-0) correct + score match!
Predict L Newcastle United 2–0 Liverpool (actual L 1-0) correct
Predict L Liverpool 0–2 Chelsea (actual L 1-2) correct
Predict L Crystal Palace 3–1 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct + score match!

So, just subtracting 2 goals from our score from last season's equivalent result correctly predicted the WLD in 10 out of 12 matches, and correctly predicted the score in 4 out of 12.

Depressing that 

[turkish kopite]

                        Liverpool           v           Stoke City          3 pts           
           Leicester City       v           Liverpool          3pts           
           Liverpool           v           Sunderland      3 pts               
           Manchester United   v           Liverpool         0 pt           
           Liverpool           v           Arsenal               1 pt

10 pts

[SamAteTheRedAcid]

10 pts

That wouldn't be so bad. Don't fancy losing to United though. Hopefully their defensive injuries continue.

[LFCsupporter]

                        Liverpool           v           Stoke City          3 pts           
           Leicester City       v           Liverpool          3pts           
           Liverpool           v           Sunderland      3 pts               
           Manchester United   v           Liverpool         0 pt           
           Liverpool           v           Arsenal               1 pt

10 pts

We're not gettin 9 out of Leicester, Stoke and Sunderland. Maybe 6.

[theMilkman]

                        Liverpool           v           Stoke City          3 pts           
           Leicester City       v           Liverpool          3pts           
           Liverpool           v           Sunderland      3 pts               
           Manchester United   v           Liverpool         0 pt           
           Liverpool           v           Arsenal               1 pt

10 pts

The answer should always be 15.

[Sudden Death Draft Loser]

The answer should always be 15.

Correct, at least from the teams point of view.

[BigAl24]

We're not gettin 9 out of Leicester, Stoke and Sunderland. Maybe 6.

It shouldn't be any less than 7. I think it will be though. But we should not be losing to any of those three.

[Sudden Death Draft Loser]

It shouldn't be any less than 7. I think it will be though. But we should not be losing to any of those three.

Should be getting 9. For all the excuses about poor signings, time to "bed in" etc, the players we have are clearly good enough to win those.

[redk84]

Stoke - 3
Leicester - 1
Sunderland - 3
United - 1
Arsenal - 1

9

I would be content with that at this current moment in time. If we can avoid a loss for a while then I think the performances will get better and better and we'll build our confidence back up

[zabadoh]

Depressing that 

Uh, yeah it is...  Now let's go out and bag all 15 points in the next 5!     

[Michel]

If we could win the 3 games in this week it will be massive.A man can dream.

[Bangin Them In]

Crystal Palace (A) 0 (just played)
Stoke  (H) 1
Leicester (A) 0
Sunderland (H) 3
Man Utd (A) 0

If we lose against Leicester, we will get a new manager bounce after that

Don't want the manager sacked at all, just another 5 year project then, but the outpouring of shite if we lose to Leicester will be biblical

[Michel]

If we could win the 3 games in this week it will be massive.A man can dream.

First game won.I hope we can do this.It will be vital for our season.

[turkish kopite]

The answer should always be 15.

first game in the pocket

[gatcliffe]

One game at a time mods.

[Sir Psycho Sexy]

One game at a time mods.

Not in this thread

[Sir Psycho Sexy]

The answer should always be 15.

so you wouldn't be happy with 13 then?

[killer-heels]

so you wouldn't be happy with 13 then?

13 points is essential and quite frankly the minimum we need from the next 5.

[zabadoh]

Brendan's one fifth of the way to proving me wrong.

Let's do it again and outperform a subtract-two-goals predicted 2-1 loss at Leicester City (Norwich City last season)

[turkish kopite]

                        Liverpool           v           Stoke City          3 pts           
           Leicester City       v           Liverpool          3pts           
           Liverpool           v           Sunderland      3 pts               
           Manchester United   v           Liverpool         0 pt           
           Liverpool           v           Arsenal               1 pt

10 pts

Bring on Sunderland

[Gnurglan]

Bring on Sunderland

We'll need to beat Sunderland. And since we've lost to so many of the 'lesser' sides, we'll need at least 3 points from the games vs Utd and Arsenal. Get that and we'd almost be on track for a CL spot.

[zabadoh]

2/5 of the way to disproving my minus-two-goals-from-last-season theory.

Well, it worked last time, so here goes...

Brendan, prove me wrong again and outperform my predicted 0-1 loss to Sunderland!

[Gerrard#1]

2/5 of the way to disproving my minus-two-goals-from-last-season theory.

Well, it worked last time, so here goes...

Brendan, prove me wrong again and outperform my predicted 0-1 loss to Sunderland!

You started betting on your theory. Didn't you mate?

[Didi_ram]

A lot of people mentioned 5 or less than 5 points in the next 5 games 
Thankfully, we are past it. If we can win against Sunderland and avoid defeat against both United and Arsenal, while beating Basel in between, we will certainly be back. And it will bring us one step closer to Sturridge's return and potential reinforcement(s) in January.

[zabadoh]

You started betting on your theory. Didn't you mate?

Hahaha, no I didn't, but I am superstitious  

For example, I have noticed that we inevitably lose after I wear the team shirt out in public, so I'm never doing that again!

[Aggers-Elbow]

Sunderland - 3 points
Man Utd - 0 points
Arsenal - 1 point
Burnley - 3 points
Swansea - 3 points

10 points from the next 5 would be ok, anything extra from Man Utd & Arsenal would be fantastic.

[Suareznumber7]

We need to average slightly over 2 points per game the rest of the way to get to 70 points which might be good enough for top 4.  Anything less and I think we will be out of CL next year.