Hope to god that Spearing is available for this match, and if he is then I hope he is paired with Henderson in the middle. I don't really want to see Adam (and to a lesser extent, Gerrard) anywhere near a two man midfield in the absence of Lucas. I know Henderson isn't a great tackler, but at least he has good mobility and an awareness of what is going on around him on the pitch and the anticipation to deal with developing situations which Adam seems to lack. His distribution is also good and paied with Spearing it would be a good base for winning back and recycling the ball.
Normally the back five would stay the same, but I would actually play Kelly at right back for this. Not because I think Johnson is doing badly, but because I would actually use him further up the pitch. The reason being two-fold: 1) our options out wide are underperforming at the moment and Johnson can provide a lot of quality going forward, 2) since I imagine we are going to spend good portions of the match defending, he would provide extra solidity down that flank. So the back 5 would be Pepe, Kelly, Skrtel, Agger, Enrique.
for the other 3 attacking positions I would ideally go for Downing on the left, and Gerrard in behind Bellamy. I know Downing's been poor recently, but I reckon we're going to be playing on the break quite a bit and Jonson/ Downing/ Gerrard/ Bellamy would give us decent pace in all 4 attacking positions. The only concern would be whether Bellamy can play so soon after Saturday... if he can't start then I'd go for Dirk rather than Carroll for the extra mobility and closing down of their defenders.
If Jay isn't ready, then I'd drop Gerrard further back, and play Shelvey as part of a 3 in the middle.
So, with Bellamy and Spearing able to start:
-------------Reina---------------
Kelly--Skrtel-Agger--Enrique
----Henderson-Spearing------
Johnson--Gerrard --Downing
------------Bellamy-------------
without them:
-------------Reina---------------
Kelly--Skrtel-Agger--Enrique
-----Gerrard-Henderson-----
Johnson--Shelvey--Downing
-------------Kuyt-------------