I have been doing a lot of research on the bids involved, simply because I had too much time on my hands
. There are a number of clear criteria that FIFA want met they are;
1) Legacy.
2) High viewer ship rates.
3) Financial profit/encouraging investments in the chosen country.
4) Government backing.
5) Safety.
6)Stadia.
7) Infastructure.
8)Passion about the sport.
9) Transportation
2018 bids In my mind England has to be the favorite. It meets all the criteria with the exception of legacy (although the bid peopl could have played it up, "the biggest football event returns to Football's origins". Russia lacks safety (cold weather) as well as governmental backing. Spain/Portugal would be the perfect choice the only problem is its in two countries. In fact of voters are swayed that its not really two countries (since they are very close to each other). Spain/Portugal bid would be the favorite bid.
To sum up England is solid in all areas, with stadia being its strongest point. Russia are stronger on a number of other criteria such as financial profit but they are week in terms of governmental backing (to be honest I really can't see Russia winning it). Spain/Portugal are also solid in all criterion but they have even better Stadia than England and their weather is better (safety)
Winner Spain/Portugal.
2022 bidsAgain if the US wants this badly, they'll win it. But they lack governmental backing sense its expected the senate will change to the hands of the Republican party. Another problem would be viewer ship as time difference will be an issue for countries in Europe, Africa and some countries in Asia. However viewer ship in South America and China would be unscathed which helps the bid. Yet people would rather party after the World Cup than go to work. Which is one of the major problem in Australia's bid.
Australia has a very good chance of hosting the World Cup. It has the stadia as well as the much-craved legacy factor. But the lack of passion for the sport always play a part in affecting the voters' mind. But the real problem is with Australia is that there is no criteria that stands out from other bids, added to the fact that there are other criterion where they are not as good as other bids such as the Qatari bid for example.
If Qatar wins this bid, they will have the most interesting looking stadia in world football. There's was the only presentation I really enjoyed watching.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d-z2jtUS9-YQatar is a solid in all areas, even though inspectors have said that over crowdedness and heat are big issues. The bid does make it clear that they have innovative solutions to this including water taxis from Bahrain to the stadium (would take 15 minutes to reach) and air-conditioned stadiums. So if they play that up in their final presentations, they have a strong chance of winning. specially when bearing in mind that the bid has the highest legacy, investment and Governmental-backing values. However the dark area around the bid would be the extreme culture may be a discouragement for many football fans. I had a chance to visit Qatar as recently as late October and I saw that things are opening up, but will the culture be as open-minded as fans would want in 12 years? That's the challenge that faces the voters in regards to this bid
Winner Qatar