Hey NIGLIV, thanks for sharing your thoughts on AZ...it'll be interesting seeing them in the Champions League next season given how badly the Dutch teams have done over the past 2-3 years. If they end up getting caught out, it'll show even more how far the Eredivisie has fallen behind other European leagues.
I understand your point about good L2 players getting caught out in L3, especially the attacking ones...we just saw that with Keane didn't we? Same with Crouch, Bellamy and Cisse before him. How would you explain Torres though? He's certainly a fit with the standards of Level 3 football (technique, tactical awareness, team play, 'universality') but he was not as 'complete' Atletico.
Cheers for the post M.K.
Torres is a very good example of a player pinched while still
developing under a "high" level 2 team. These high level 2 teams are almost always in the top 6 in top leagues or top 2 in average or above average teams. Remember that we are dealing with "high probability of success" rather than "certain success" due to other variables- the leading one being mentality (hi Rafa). Analysing further we see that Torres possesses that rare natural talent. Here's a snippet from his recent interview.
"I've learnt a lot. It's been a real pleasure for me to work with Rafa. At Atletico I played more on instinct, doing my own thing; here I have to learn about movement and positioning, about the team."This as we know is not enough but a good start nonetheless. He carried a huge responsibility at a very early age making the need for improvement "compulsory" rather than mandatory. he knew he couldn't afford to fail. This made his mentality as good as it gets. It meant that he could step up to the plate anywhere else. This means that while sleeping he'll still be improving for a long time. He has a stepped up to the new challenge immensely and his game is still improving a scary thought. A quick example is his less reliance on pace (still too much IMO for now) and more on positioning and refining his dribbling to get past if needed. Also as we saw in the Portsmouth and Bolton matches, he has learnt that his mere presence draws at least 3 defenders and disrupts defences hence making a lay off pass the best and most deadly weapon. His passing has drastically improved (I haven't really seen this mentioned). It was no surprise he made many poor passes last season as he was used to turning and running goalwards all the time at atleti (he had a great great responsibility at Atletico). I will hazard guess that even this instinct to cause a goal within moments is the key to the link between himself and Gerrard (they usually have no more than 2 passes to make a goal).
This leads to what I'd label as a "transfer window" in these kinds of players. This is the period when they develop fastest. They are the so-called "prospects" at this period. The age range is "usually" btw 18-24. Other exception exists as well but are very rare. Exceedance of this "transfer window" leads to little or no room for development and their flaws from training, body maintenance, tactical awareness, "hit and run football" (typical L2 football - Hi Bellamy and Keane) etc become typical habits. They are usually the top footballers or icons of the "high level 2" teams or at least top 3. The key is identifying them in this "transfer window". Some managers have a knack for this ( you know them). They can literally smell them. Their price tags are usually very high then but it means nothing because the gamble is nearly a certainty. A few successful examples would be Ronaldo, Rooney, C. Ronaldo, Etoo, Villa, Nasri, Torres, Robben, Dinho etc. Jury's still out on Nani, Babel, Anderson, Walcott etc. Acquiring a player from a high level 2 team outside this transfer window is a huge risk. This window might be short or long depending on the individual.
The next obvious variable is the mentality. Young captains (responsibility wise) increase chances of success because of their mental advantage. As captains little or no room for irresponsibility on or off the pitch exists. Added to that emphasis on getting their job and those of others done as well as consistently performing miracles will only help smoothen their game making the jump to L3 teams easier with increased chances of success. Mentally weak but talented youths rarely make the jump and it take miracle managers to take them to another level.
These criteria are not the be all and end all, but the results of these two should reduce chances of failure.
On longevity of these "level 3" players, the likes of Raul, Del Piero, H. Larsson (sp?), Totti, Pippo Inzaghi (not pure L3 but you get the idea), Makaay, Figo, Nedved, Zidane, Guti, Pires, Scholl come to mind. Defenders like Maldini (all hail), Nesta, Baresi, Lucio R. Carlos, Cafu, Serginho, Cannavaro (sp?), Ayala are in the 30+ bracket.
One can say that the players mentioned above even though having lost athleticism due to age are still very vital because of the concepts of L3 football deeply embedded in them during their developmental years.
I watched few of their games (last week they played against PSV). NIGLIV is spot on in his assessment. The way they get exposed in defense, I think most of the Premier League teams (Top Half) will cause serious problem for them (against PSV they were 2-0 up after 30 mins and were getting exposed in defense time and again. They allowed PSV to draw and With bit quality in finishing, PSV would have won it comfortably in second half). It will be interesting to see how they will do in CL next season.
Though credit where its due. They are 11 points ahead in their league. Van Gaal took back his resignation on players request and this year they have taken a big leap. Though they will find CL difficult (just like PSV. At least PSV have more experience of Europe compared to them).
Yes RT, the European pedigree where you have 1 chance 1 goal players will literally pile them. Such teams usually depends on fast and athletic defenders who cant really defend. Winning the eredivisie might enable them organise the defense a wee bit more. But I can't see drastic improvement. As you said, it will be very interesting in the CL.