I've never really warmed to Brendan. Even though at times we were scintillating last season. I think this is perhaps because how I view what Liverpool's classic style is, seems so different to what at times we've played. For all his talk, his philosophy in practice seems slippery, compared to his theory. For me, the great Liverpool sides were sturdy counter-attacking sides with the ability to mix it up in attack. The 78/79 team being a classic example. They conceded sixteen goals in a 42 game season, while scoring 85. Sixteen. We conceded that many in our final eight games. My biggest gripe with Rodgers has been his inability to fix the most glaring problem: the defence. Yes, Mignolet led the league in clean sheets, but we never looked defensively sure unlike say Chelsea. You knew we'd likely concede at some point and we'd have to pray we'd score more. Under Rodgers, we have conceded 43, 50 and 47 goals per season. That's an average of 1.13, 1.31 and 1.23 goals against per game.
If you were to look at the ten worst Liverpool defences based on goals against per game since Shankly's arrival, you would have the following
1964/1965 - 1.59 (Shankly - Final Position 7th) - 13th Best Defence in 1st Div. - Won FA Cup/Fairs Cup Semi-Finalist
1962/1963 - 1.40 (Shankly - Final Position: 8th - * 1st year began in Division 1) - 4th Best Defence in 1st Div.
2013/2014 - 1.31 (Rodgers - Final Position: 7th - 8th Best Defence in PL)
1992/1993 - 1.309 (Souness - Final Position: 6th - 10th Best Defence in PL)
1993/1994 - 1.309 (Souness - Final Position: 8th - 12th Best Defence in PL)
1998/1999 - 1.28 (Evans/Houllier - Final Position:7th - 10th Best Defence in PL)
2014/2015 - 1.23 (Rodgers - Final Position: 6th - 8th Best Defence in PL)
2011/2012 - 1.15 (Dalglish - Final Position: 8th - 4th Best Defence in PL) - Won League Cup, got to FA Cup Final
2012/2013 - 1.13 (Rodgers - Final Position: 7th - 8th Best Defence in PL)
1966/1967 - 1.11 (Shankly - Final Position: 7th - 6th Best Defence in First Division)
1964/65 is the worst season defensively. The club got off to an awful start and were 19th after losing to Man Utd on Halloween. But results improved and we ended up beating Leeds in the FA Cup Final and getting to the Fairs Cup semi-finals. Had we not won the FA Cup, history might have been different. Incidentally, we won the league the following year with the best defence in the league. In 1966/67, Shankly had credit in the bank for winning the league and FA Cup in the prior two seasons. Dalglish won the League Cup in 2011/12 and got us to the FA Cup Final and we had the 4th best defence in the league that season. The Evans/Houllier season was an odd one. The Souness years were terrible in both defence and attack. And then we come to Brendan, under whom we've never had better than the 8th best defence in the league under him. Even last season, was one of the worst Liverpool defences ever.
For me, Brendan won't change in that aspect. And that's a problem, because as much as goals win you titles, defences are the key difference maker, as seen in 2013/14. Brendan in all likelihood won't change his ways. He's not ruthless enough to have a Shanks Watford/Red Star Belgrade moment. The summer signings with hindsight were pretty poor (talent-wise) and expensive (in terms of cost). Lallana was often injured, Moreno started brightly, but was barely used at times later on. Lovren was great in pre-season and short in understanding of his defensive role. Markovic devoid of any confidence and then exiled to the stands, alongside Manquillo. When Balotelli wasn't ill, he was unable to hit the net and Lambert couldn't get off the bench. I think for many of those players, Brendan's man management/lack of rotation was evident. Even Can failed to get a nod in the opening games, despite the fact we clearly needed someone like him. Lucas too.
To be fair to Brendan, Sturridge getting injured for pretty much the entire season was a disaster, albeit arguably one that could have been rectified by showing more faith in some of the summer signings. It's one thing saying you have no forwards for the last game of the season, due to injuries, it's another to do a Harry Redknapp-esque thing of starting Lallana up front to seemingly prove a point, when Balotelli, Lambert, or even Markovic could have had a go. Personally, I wasn't a fan of the Gerrard retirement tour either, which seemed to be a complete distraction and could have been handled better by a more ruthless manager. We played some of our best and most fluid stuff, when he wasn't playing, yet he was always thrown back into a starting role when fit. Dropping Mignolet ended up working a trick, but it sounds like it was Simon's missus, not Rodgers, Steve Peters or the coaching staff, that seemed to be responsible for uncovering his gnawing flaw and helped rectify it. One could only imagine how much worse this season could have gotten if Mignolet's form did not revive.
The positives this year for me were Coutinho, Sterling for a portion of the season, Mignolet for the latter half and some 3-5-2. Rodgers managed to use the latter to good effect, but strangely seemed to have felt he'd figured it all out, dropped the formation and watched as we stunk up the final few months of the season. The biggest problem for me this season were the litany of substandard results against poor opposition:
Villa (H) 0-1 L
West Ham (A) 3-1 L
Hull (H) 0-0 D
Newcastle (A) 1-0 L
Crystal Palace (A) 3-1 L
Ludogerets (A) 2-2 D
Sunderland (H) 0-0 D
Leicester (H) 2-2 D
Bolton (H) 0-0 D (we had to come from behind in the replay)
Blackburn (H) 0-0 D
Aston Villa (N) 2-1 L
West Brom (A) 0-0 D
Hull (A) 1-0 L
Crystal Palace (H) 1-3 L
Stoke (A) 6-1 L
I was expecting a challenge for fourth this season. Last year, was an anomaly with Chelsea, Man Utd and Man City all changing their managers and playing poor at various times. Liverpool probably has the opportunity for a realistic title challenge once every five years with the two petro-clubs. But we have to take advantage of the breaks. We didn't build upon that even though Man Utd, despite blowing millions on Falcao and Di Maria, were abysmal for long stretches of the year. The cup campaigns were dire, except for a Chelsea League Cup semi-final, which we got ourselves up for, but still lost.
The less said about our European campaign the better. We had a group that was passable. We could and should have finished 2nd. Sending a reserve squad to the Bernabeu, so we could concentrate on 4th in the league is something akin to what Martin O'Neill did with Aston Villa against CSKA Moscow in the UEFA Cup a few years back. Even more ridiculous was opting to drop most of those players, who performed admirably in that game. The fact we struggled against Basel and Ludogerets was poor. And yet, even in the Europa League, a tournament which provides the winner entry to the CL, Rodgers opted to concentrate on the league, rather than something which was likely just as, if not more, attainable. We lost to Man Utd. We lost to Beşiktaş, who themselves got knocked out by Club Brugge.
So what can Brendan do to turn it around? I'm not sure, he can to be honest, especially after a Stoke game, in which most of the players didn't look like they were arsed. He seems to have massively veered each season from his original philosophy. The final fixtures of 2014/15 were routinely bad. In my opinion, not being psychologically up for a FA Cup semi-final (in his view) is not up to the historical standard of this club. Making Gerrard the pivot of most of your plans and then subbing him against Chelsea (when you were still mathematically in the race for 4th) so that their fans could send him off was pathetic. Then again, we couldn't even get ourselves up for the game for either the Palace or Stoke fixtures. And then of course, there was the Sterling transfer saga. I think cashing in on him is the best option. You can't have a 20 year old dictating terms, because long-term it would destroy the club. Losing Gerrard for me isn't as big of a deal, at least in terms of what goes on on-the-pitch, based on his current form. I remember when Thierry Henry left Arsenal, Fabregas said it liberated some of the players, as they didn't feel obliged to pass it to Henry.
Personally, I would replace Rodgers and initiate the DoF model that FSG wanted in the first place. I don't have a big problem with the idea of the transfer committee as some do. Most clubs probably have something similar, but because of who were are it's advertised and click-bait for some. I think adopting a more continental model is the way to go and recruiting based on specific playing philosophy is the way to go. It will be more efficient and cheaper in the long-run. While criticism is acceptable, the over the top anti-FSG rhetoric is tiresome as well. They've given Rodgers plenty of time, money and patience. They've largely stuck to the maxim of signing the checks. I'm sure not too many would have been complaining about them had we got 7 points out of 9 in our final three games in 2013/14. They're damned if they do and damned if they don't for some people, because of who they are and what they represent.
If they keep Rodgers, it's because they (rightly or wrongly) view this season as a blip brought on by injuries and poor form. I'd argue last season was a blip. I don't think we should be compared with the Red Sox, and I know people like to claim they do this and that, but they kept John Farrell despite being one of the worst teams in baseball. He was the guy they wanted long-term (Valentine was Larry Lucchino hire), he got them a World Series and they stuck by him. Perhaps, in that sense, they view Rodgers as a good long-term fit. Ideally, in my opinion, we'd be looking at Klopp, De Boer or Emery. We don't need a perfect transfer window (as those who every year claim this is The Most Important Window in Liverpool's History™), but we need the right blend. We almost won the league with Albert Riera huffing and puffing his way through a 60 minute appearance and Aly Cissokho popping up here and there. Will we do it next year? Probably not. But unless Brendan can radically apply himself and change some of his ways, I wouldn't be surprised if he's no longer here by next January.