I reckon Newcastle will be ok.
Same for me. That Newcastle squad performed pretty well in the first half of last season as well, up until Cabaye's departure and the downing of tools that subsequently followed, so you know they're capable if attidudes are right. The signings they've made at least have some sort of longevity in them (assuming they work out) as well, unlike Villa with the likes of Joe Cole (34 in November), as well as Kieran Richardson and Phillipe Senderos (who both turn 30 during the course of this season). All high earners on the wrong side of the hill. I know who I fancy for the drop of those two, and it's not Newcastle.
Add that to the fact that they have signed unproven strikers like Ferreyre, Riviere and Perez and signed no marks like Jack Colback and there we have a reason as to why NUFC could be the "surprise" package for relegation.
I actually quite like Colback. Whenever i've seen him he's looked solid. Good work rate with a bit of quality about him too. He's also a Geordie, isn't he? You'd expect him to give absolutely everything for you with that in mind, which can only be a positive thing.
And i'd rather have unproven with potential than a selection of overpaid ageing pro's at the wrong end of their careers (ala Villa).