Topic: The Acca Pool

[nayia2002]

Been busy at work today/yesterday so gonna pass this weekend


But I fancy 2 from these 
VARsenal
Wolves
Spurs
Man U
Forest

[The G in Gerrard]

Short Odds:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima WIN v Consadole Sapporo at 1/3 WON

Second to last game of the season, Sanfrecce 3 points behind the leaders and HAVE to win after slipping up in their last three. Consadole already all but relegated on GD.

Long Odds:
Darmstadt WIN v Munster at 3/4 LOSS
After a poor start Darmstadt have won 4 of their last 5, but do have the best attack in the league. Munster currently 2nd bottom and think they'll struggle to stop Darmstadt at home.

Long odds

Motherwell v Hibs - Scottish Prem - Sat 3pm - Motherwell Win LOSS

5th v bottom. Hibs away form is woeful with 2 points from 6 games. Those 2 points have been at Kilmarnock and Ross County.
Motherwell's recent home form doesn't scream a guaranteed win, but 2 of their last 5 have been Celtic and Rangers. Take those 2 games out and it's 4 wins in their other 5 homes.

Short Odds

Real Madrid v Getafe - La Liga - Sun 3.15pm - Real Madrid Win WON

Madrid have 6 wins from 7 home games, with the only defeat being against Barca.
Getafe have 2 points from 6 aways.
Real Madrid have won this fixture 16 times in a row going back to 2008.

Shorter Odds

Galatasaray v Eyupspor - Turkish Superlig - Sun 4pm - Galatasaray win - 1/4 LOSS

Gala are unbeaten top.

Longer Odds
Bologna v Venezia - Serie A - Sat 7.45pm - Bologna win - 8/11 WON

Venezia haven't won away yet, mired at the bottom, don't score often but do concede.

Short odds:

Bundesliga - Saturday 14.30 - Augsburg v Bochum. Augsburg win. WON

This pick is more based on Bochum's away form where they have lost 6 in a row. Augsburg have an ok home record this season. Winning 3 out of 6 league games.

Longer odds:

National League - Saturday 3pm - Hartlepool v Barnet. Barnet to win. LOSS

Top of the Barnet travel to in form Hartlepool this afternoon. Barnet have won the last two meetings between the sides and whilst Hartlepool have a good home record of late, Barnet away games have GOALS in them & I expect them to continue that later in their favour.

Been busy, taking a look now...

SHORTER ODDS
National League
York City v Maidenhead - York City WIN @ 10/21 WON

Maidenhead's win last time out came against Braintree (also near the foot of the table) who conceded two early before having a man sent off.  Otherwise, Maidenhead are in abysmal form and haven't won a game since early October.  York City flying high and should have way too much for Maidenhead.

LONGER ODDS
Bundesliga
Heidenheim v Eintracht Frankfurt - Eintracht WIN @ 19/20 WON

Eintracht sitting pretty in second and scoring over two goals a game on average, Heidenhem flirting with the drop zone and conceding two goals a game - this should be an effortless win.

£10 on returns £1218.07 with BF.

[Barneylfc]

Fiver on each.

Short odds returns £26. If we can't win a 4/1 acca we're fucked 

[CraigDS]

Bollocks, totally forgot about this I'll take a pass this week then it seems!

[Barneylfc]

York should be a safe pick. 4-0

Motherwell are turds.

[Barneylfc]

Motherwell can fuck off

[The G in Gerrard]

[Barneylfc]

Short Odds runs until tomorrow.
First 2 games on long odds were shit.

[Barneylfc]

Hiroshima win.

On to Madrid and Gala

[The G in Gerrard]

£10 on returns £1218.07 with BF.

Updated. Well done Bob on your picks this weekend.

Galatasaray messed up Barney's short odds ACCA.

[The G in Gerrard]

Bit quiet in here ahead of the weekend. We going again? Should we do two short priced picks instead?

[Barneylfc]

Bit quiet in here ahead of the weekend. We going again? Should we do two short priced picks instead?

Happy enough with that as long as people put their strongest fancy first

[BOBSCOUSE]

I'm up for it, will get picks in before 12

[nayia2002]

Man shity away 1st pick (2nd win on the bounce for abu Dhabi fc)

Man U home win 2nd pick (purple patch over for forest)

[Barneylfc]

Pick 1

Genk v Kortrijk - Belgian Jupiler League - Sat 3pm - GENK WIN

Genk sit top of the league with Kortrijk 14th out of 16.

Genk have 7 wins and a draw in their 8 home games. Their draw came in game 1 v Standard Liege.
Kortrijk have 1 win and 1 draw in 8 away games with those 4 points coming in games at the sides in 13th and 15th place.

[Barneylfc]

Pick 2

Weather dependant. Will keep an eye and replace if needs be.

Cliftonville v Carrick Rangers - NIFL - Sat 3pm - CLIFTONVILLE WIN

2nd place v 10th from 12.

Cliftonville have the 2nd best home record in the league, winning 3 of the last 4.
Carrick have the 2nd worst away record in the league. They're unbeaten in 4 away games, but against poor sides.
Cliftonville have won this fixture 16 times out of the last 18 games, with the 2 draws being 12 and 14 games ago.

[Barneylfc]

Man shity away 1st pick (2nd win on the bounce for abu Dhabi fc)

What's the reasoning behind this pick?
They will probably win, but in horrendous form and have more players unavailable tomorrow.

[nayia2002]

What's the reasoning behind this pick?
They will probably win, but in horrendous form and have more players unavailable tomorrow.

It's Palace 4th favourite's for the drop and after their 1st win in midweek I can see only an abu Dhabi win even with their current form and injuries

[The G in Gerrard]

Pick 1:

Bundesliga - Saturday - 14.30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Augsburg. Frankfurt WIN.

2nd plays 13th. Frankfurt in fine form except their last game out where they lost to Leipzig away. Won 4 of last six whilst their opponents have won 2 out of the last 6. Frankfurt have won their last 5 home games in all competitions as well.

Pick 2:

Seria A - Sunday - 11.30 - Fiorentina v Cagliari - Fiorentina WIN.

4th placed Fiorentina take on 13th places Cagliari. Fiorentina unbeaten in last 7 league games against this side also.

[bradders1011]

Short odds

Villa v Southampton - PL - Sat 3pm - Villa win - 1/3

Southampton are abhorrent

Longer odds

Dundee United v Kilmarnock - SPL - Sat 3pm - Dundee United win - 8/7

Kilmarnock's form is awful and they've conceded 33 in 15.

[BOBSCOUSE]

Shorter odds

Fulham v Arsenal - Arsenal WIN @ 3/5

Fulham just don't have enough about them and the Arse will see our postponement as more than enough encouragement to try and close the gap/put pressure on us.


Longer Odds
Hull City v Blackburn Rovers - Blackburn Rovers WIN @ 19/10

Hull 22nd of 24 and with 4 straight losses on the bounce, Blackburn sitting in 8th are in reasonable form - I can't ignore the odds for this game.

[The G in Gerrard]

Man shity away 1st pick (2nd win on the bounce for abu Dhabi fc) LOSS

Man U home win 2nd pick (purple patch over for forest) LOSS

BUT WE ARE ALL WINNERS WITH THESE TWO

Pick 1

Genk v Kortrijk - Belgian Jupiler League - Sat 3pm - GENK WIN WON

Genk sit top of the league with Kortrijk 14th out of 16.

Genk have 7 wins and a draw in their 8 home games. Their draw came in game 1 v Standard Liege.
Kortrijk have 1 win and 1 draw in 8 away games with those 4 points coming in games at the sides in 13th and 15th place.

Pick 2

Weather dependant. Will keep an eye and replace if needs be.

Cliftonville v Carrick Rangers - NIFL - Sat 3pm - CLIFTONVILLE WIN N/A

2nd place v 10th from 12.

Cliftonville have the 2nd best home record in the league, winning 3 of the last 4.
Carrick have the 2nd worst away record in the league. They're unbeaten in 4 away games, but against poor sides.
Cliftonville have won this fixture 16 times out of the last 18 games, with the 2 draws being 12 and 14 games ago.

Pick 1:

Bundesliga - Saturday - 14.30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Augsburg. Frankfurt WIN. LOSS

2nd plays 13th. Frankfurt in fine form except their last game out where they lost to Leipzig away. Won 4 of last six whilst their opponents have won 2 out of the last 6. Frankfurt have won their last 5 home games in all competitions as well.

Pick 2:

Seria A - Sunday - 11.30 - Fiorentina v Cagliari - Fiorentina WIN. WIN

4th placed Fiorentina take on 13th places Cagliari. Fiorentina unbeaten in last 7 league games against this side also.

Short odds

Villa v Southampton - PL - Sat 3pm - Villa win - 1/3 WIN

Southampton are abhorrent

Longer odds

Dundee United v Kilmarnock - SPL - Sat 3pm - Dundee United win - 8/7 LOSS

Kilmarnock's form is awful and they've conceded 33 in 15.

Shorter odds

Fulham v Arsenal - Arsenal WIN @ 3/5 LOSS

Fulham just don't have enough about them and the Arse will see our postponement as more than enough encouragement to try and close the gap/put pressure on us.


Longer Odds
Hull City v Blackburn Rovers - Blackburn Rovers WIN @ 19/10 WON

Hull 22nd of 24 and with 4 straight losses on the bounce, Blackburn sitting in 8th are in reasonable form - I can't ignore the odds for this game.

£10 on returns £990.53 with BF

[Barneylfc]

5 on first picks to return 36.87
5 on 2nd picks to return 118.88
5 on all to return 876.77

[Barneylfc]

Cliftonville game is off now 

[Barneylfc]

I've replaced Cliftonville with Aberdeen to beat St Johnstone at home

[Barneylfc]

Whose idea was this 

[Barneylfc]

We're a collective embarrassment

[Barneylfc]

A late Frankfurt winner is only beneficial if Abu Dhabi turn it round, which I don't want to happen.

[Barneylfc]

Need Aberdeen winner to keep the other bet going

[Barneylfc]

Fuck Darragh.

Cliftonville would've won today 

[Barneylfc]

Man shity away 1st pick (2nd win on the bounce for abu Dhabi fc)

Man U home win 2nd pick (purple patch over for forest)

Any chance you could pick these 2 every week 

[The G in Gerrard]

Any chance you could pick these 2 every week 

Deserves a knighthood

[nayia2002]

Any chance you could pick these 2 every week 

Deserves a knighthood

😁😁
Unbelievable how terrible I've been last couple of months 😬😫

[The G in Gerrard]

£10 on returns £990.53 with BF

Updated. 4 out of 10 this week

[Reds r coming up the hill]

Looking for some help with 2 acc’s that has come in with one leg remaining which is the west ham v wolves game today.
Using DraftKings and they are very limited with options but they do allow a cash out.
Right now I have 2 bets riding on west ham to win.

The first would pay out with West Ham win at $208, cash out option now is $98.
The second would pay out with West Ham win at $1385 or cash out now $644.

I can cash both out making $741 my original stake about $150 so nearly $600 profit.

I can’t see an affordable way to hedge/cover a draw or a wolves win …  both of those odds are less than 3/1.
Should I cash out both … or leave the smaller bet … any help is appreciated would obv love to ride it into the game but  very  risky but  if West Ham do win the total winnings would be $1,593….that’s $852 more than cashing out .

[RobbieRedman]

I'd cash in the big one and let the smaller one ride if it was me

unless you really ok with losing original stake, then perhaps cash in small one getting 98 of your 150 back and go for it for the big one

good luck whatever you do

[Barneylfc]

Chuck 500 quid on the double chance at 19/20.

Profit either way.

[Reds r coming up the hill]

Thanks
So if I do double chance option at $500
I’m guaranteed $304 profit to hedge against the Wolves win or draw.
But now the bigger pot would be reduced to a profit of $943.

Basically then  these are the potential scenarios ..

1 ride it out $1593 -$150 stake = $1443 or -$150
2 $500 hedge on double chance = $943 or $304 profits
3 cash both out guaranteed $741 - 150 stake = $591
4 cash bigger pot and ride out smaller = guaranteed $644 with potential of adding $208 = $852 - stake, profit = $494 or $792
5 cash out small pot $208- stake = $70 but still potential of adding $1388 if big one comes in
So $70 or $1458

Still not sure yet … but number 1 seems like a crazy option when 2,3,4 at least offer decent returns

[BOBSCOUSE]

West Ham will win it for Antonio.  Crowd and players will be well up for it.

Let the bets run and watch the game to see how they're doing in the first half, your cashout will keep creeping up unless Wolves score, which they kinda struggle with these days.

Cash out if the Hammers look a bit meh or if you hit a value you're happy with.

😁😁
Unbelievable how terrible I've been last couple of months 😬😫

Look beyond the Premier League, it's too competitive with so many teams capable of upsetting the applecart.

[Barneylfc]

Look beyond the Premier League, it's too competitive with so many teams capable of upsetting the applecart.

Wholeheartedly agree with this.
I'd say my record of picking UK games v foreign games is chalk and cheese.