Author Topic: Results Comparison Thread 2023/4 (Read 20184 times)

JP-65 · « **Reply #160 on:** February 2, 2024, 12:09:08 pm »

Some observations from the season to go chart:

We can drop 9 points and make 90 points, so 3 losses, a loss and 2 draws, 4 draws and end up with 91.
After Arsenal we'll have already played 3 of the 9 top 10 matches. Ex Luton, we've been perfect so far against the bottom 10. Looks like 90 is very possible for us.

Arsenal can only drop 4 points and make 90.
They have not played any top 10 teams yet.
They've had a loss and a draw against the bottom 10. I'd say there is no chance Arsenal makes 90

City can drop 7 points and make 90. So, a loss & 2 draws or 3 draws and end with 91
They have only played Newcastle in the top 10.
Like Arsenal, they've suffered a loss & a draw against the bottom 10 (with Brentford still from the 1st half of the season to play)

If we beat them at home it's ours. If we draw I still think it's ours.

royhendo · « **Reply #161 on:** February 3, 2024, 06:55:21 am »

Quote from: JP-65 on February 2, 2024, 12:09:08 pm

Some observations from the season to go chart:

We can drop 9 points and make 90 points, so 3 losses, a loss and 2 draws, 4 draws and end up with 91.
After Arsenal we'll have already played 3 of the 9 top 10 matches. Ex Luton, we've been perfect so far against the bottom 10. Looks like 90 is very possible for us.

Arsenal can only drop 4 points and make 90.
They have not played any top 10 teams yet.
They've had a loss and a draw against the bottom 10. I'd say there is no chance Arsenal makes 90

City can drop 7 points and make 90. So, a loss & 2 draws or 3 draws and end with 91
They have only played Newcastle in the top 10.
Like Arsenal, they've suffered a loss & a draw against the bottom 10 (with Brentford still from the 1st half of the season to play)

If we beat them at home it's ours. If we draw I still think it's ours.

Beautiful.

Caps4444 · « **Reply #162 on:** February 3, 2024, 09:08:20 am »

City game will be crucial. Shame we are away in Europe on Thursday before we play them most likely on the Sunday.

Nick110581 · « **Reply #163 on:** February 3, 2024, 09:20:09 am »

Luton home game been moved the midweek before Chelsea Final.

JP-65 · « **Reply #164 on:** February 5, 2024, 06:24:50 pm »

We have 6 of next 10 at home, 3 of 4 aways vs bottom half…good string of matches for us to put points on the board!

JP-65 · « **Reply #165 on:** February 6, 2024, 10:23:35 am »

Match 23 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #166 on:** February 6, 2024, 10:24:32 am »

The rest:

redk84 · « **Reply #167 on:** February 6, 2024, 11:39:00 am »

Thanks for this!

POISED

stonecold_jpm · « **Reply #168 on:** February 6, 2024, 09:02:38 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on February 5, 2024, 06:24:50 pm

We have 6 of next 10 at home, 3 of 4 aways vs bottom half…good string of matches for us to put points on the board!

So do City but both there home games and their aways are against better sides than who we face. It also might be better Arsenal and Villa to still be in the picture when they go to City cos the more teams that can take points of them the better for us.

JP-65 · « **Reply #169 on:** February 11, 2024, 12:59:19 pm »

City have won 6 in a row, despite that the form chart for the last 10 has LFC & MCFC both on 7 wins 2 draws & a loss, 23 points each.

Even going to the last 12, so 1/2 the season so far, LFC has 27 points and City 25 points.

In other words, we're both accumulating points at a pretty equivalent rate.

JP-65 · « **Reply #170 on:** February 13, 2024, 10:48:22 am »

Match 24 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #171 on:** February 13, 2024, 10:49:12 am »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #172 on:** February 19, 2024, 02:13:49 pm »

Match 25 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #173 on:** February 19, 2024, 02:14:45 pm »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #174 on:** February 29, 2024, 11:37:20 am »

Match 26 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #175 on:** February 29, 2024, 11:38:13 am »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #176 on:** February 29, 2024, 11:39:53 am »

I'll post this weekend's update next week, but then, like some of the squad, I'm not available until after the international break.

Off to Rome for a bit.

JP-65 · « **Reply #177 on:** March 5, 2024, 09:47:59 am »

Match 27 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #178 on:** March 5, 2024, 09:48:47 am »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #179 on:** April 1, 2024, 02:52:54 pm »

Match 29 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #180 on:** April 1, 2024, 02:53:51 pm »

The rest:

stonecold_jpm · « **Reply #181 on:** April 2, 2024, 04:32:29 pm »

Are we not on 85 points for equivalent as we can only make 9 points up on last seasons results? (Utd - 3, Palace - 2, Fulham - 2, Everton - 2)

JP-65 · « **Reply #182 on:** April 2, 2024, 04:45:42 pm »

Quote from: stonecold_jpm on April 2, 2024, 04:32:29 pm

Are we not on 85 points for equivalent as we can only make 9 points up on last seasons results? (Utd - 3, Palace - 2, Fulham - 2, Everton - 2)

Nope, we lost to Leeds @ home, equiv to Sheff Utd.

ItzdoctorZ · « **Reply #183 on:** April 2, 2024, 04:46:44 pm »

Quote from: stonecold_jpm on April 2, 2024, 04:32:29 pm

Are we not on 85 points for equivalent as we can only make 9 points up on last seasons results? (Utd - 3, Palace - 2, Fulham - 2, Everton - 2)

Sheffield United is being used as the Leeds equivalent who won at Anfield last season.

JP-65 · « **Reply #184 on:** April 2, 2024, 06:06:56 pm »

So, LFC & Arsenal going at 2.50 ppg for the 2nd half of the season so far, 95 points over 38 matches.....City @ 91 points (2.40 ppg)

That's how tough this season's been so far.

stonecold_jpm · « **Reply #185 on:** April 2, 2024, 09:56:36 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on April 2, 2024, 04:45:42 pm

Nope, we lost to Leeds @ home, equiv to Sheff Utd.

Ah right thought it was Southampton as they were the bottom team on last years results list, I should’ve realised!

JP-65 · « **Reply #186 on:** April 3, 2024, 01:43:13 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on April 2, 2024, 06:06:56 pm

So, LFC & Arsenal going at 2.50 ppg for the 2nd half of the season so far, 95 points over 38 matches.....City @ 91 points (2.40 ppg)

That's how tough this season's been so far.

A win against SU tomorrow takes us to 10 wins, a loss & a draw in the last 12....98 points/season run rate!

JP-65 · « **Reply #187 on:** April 4, 2024, 10:21:53 am »

Quote from: JP-65 on April 2, 2024, 06:06:56 pm

So, LFC & Arsenal going at 2.50 ppg for the 2nd half of the season so far, 95 points over 38 matches.....City @ 91 points (2.40 ppg)

That's how tough this season's been so far.

Lot's of shouts about having to go perfect to win the title, this is what it means to do it:

LFC: would be 17W 1L 1D for the 2nd half or 104 pts seasonalized. Going a bit further back 21-1-3 or 100 pts rate

Arse: same as LFC for 2nd half @ 17-1-1 or 104 pts rate

MCFC: 16-0-3 for 2nd half or 102 pts rate. Going a bit further back 19-0-4 or 101 pts rate.

Are 3 teams capable of putting up these numbers for such an extended period of time?

JP-65 · « **Reply #188 on:** April 5, 2024, 02:45:10 pm »

Match 30 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #189 on:** April 5, 2024, 02:45:58 pm »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #190 on:** April 8, 2024, 01:43:15 pm »

Match 31 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #191 on:** April 8, 2024, 01:46:16 pm »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #192 on:** April 16, 2024, 10:18:57 am »

Match 32 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #193 on:** April 16, 2024, 10:23:31 am »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #194 on:** April 16, 2024, 04:32:12 pm »

BTW, it was match 32 that City overtook Arsenal for the title last season....hope the ending is different this season!

stonecold_jpm · « **Reply #195 on:** April 16, 2024, 04:36:39 pm »

Equivalent says City dropped 7 points on their remaining fixtures last season and they are down on the rest of their results, so there’s a bit of hope yet.

JP-65 · « **Reply #196 on:** April 16, 2024, 04:38:52 pm »

Quote from: stonecold_jpm on April 16, 2024, 04:36:39 pm

Equivalent says City dropped 7 points on their remaining fixtures last season and they are down on the rest of their results, so there’s a bit of hope yet.

It was the away's, loss to Spurs, draws with Brighton & Forest

JP-65 · « **Reply #197 on:** April 16, 2024, 04:39:57 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on April 16, 2024, 04:38:52 pm

It was the away's, loss to Spurs, draws with Brighton & Forest

We had draws away to Fulham & Everton.

JP-65 · « **Reply #198 on:** April 16, 2024, 04:40:56 pm »

Arsenal only dropped points in a loss away to United

JP-65 · « **Reply #199 on:** April 16, 2024, 05:34:40 pm »

Some interesting stats from Ryan O'Hanlon:
https://www.espn.com/soccer/insider/story/_/id/39949792/liverpool-premier-league-europa-league-defeats-klopp