Scottish Westminster Voting Intention: (YouGov)
LAB: 39% (+5)
SNP: 29% (-4)
CON: 12% (-2)
LDM: 8% (=)
GRN: 7% (+3)
RFM: 4% (-1)
Westminster Voting Intention:
(Deltapoll)
LAB: 45% (=)
CON: 23% (-4)
RFM: 12% (+2)
LDM: 10% (+2)
GRN: 5% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Westminster Voting Intention:
(Opinium)
LAB: 43% (+3)
CON: 25% (+1)
RFM: 10% (-2)
LDM: 9% (-2)
GRN: 7% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)
Opinium is significant, it presumes the don't know's are shy tories and their methodology implies they'll vote Tory at the GE - therefore they have consistently given the smallest Labour leads.
Secondly the YouGov poll produces 39 Labour seats +38 from GE 2019 (see above), combined with Labour regaining Welsh seats, this puts Labour between 240-250 with no swing in England. Therefore, Labour needs a tiny swing in England at the GE should these Wales/Scotland polls be accurate, for a majority.