Honestly, it's already effectively a closed shop as far as the top leagues is concerned. Who's breaking into the top 4 on a regular basis in England? In Spain they're fighting it out for 1 spot after Real, Barca and Atletico. In Italy, it tends to be Juve and Inter then take your pick over the last few seasons from Napoli, Lazio, Atalanta, and Roma with Milan now making a comeback. In France, it's PSG and everyone else fighting for scraps. I don't need to say anything about the 1-horse race that is Germany but they're not in the ESL anyway. Even in Portugal which has overtaken France as the 5th league (at least as far as UEFA coefficients is concerned) you can only really choose from Porto, Benfica and Sporting. But how many of the clubs outside of the traditional powerhouses in each of those leagues have a realistic chance of winning the CL these days, or even getting to the knockout stages?
So what you end up with is a load of "secondary" clubs, like Lille, Leverkusen, Valencia who consider the competition an opportunity to increase their revenue for the odd season and potentially put their best players on show for the big club vultures, and whipping boys like Malmo, Midtjylland and Spurs who are just happy to be part of the show!
If these clubs could actually compete in UEFA's Champions League then they might even have a chance to go deeper in the competition or even win it. Sure, it'll now be a secondary competition behind the ESL but the Europa League is already that to the UCL so what's the difference? The rich clubs are getting dis-proportionally richer anyway, with or without the ESL.
I was thinking about this on the weekend. I’m not sure about secondary. I think you will have this culture emerge of “Who is the real European champion”
Is it Champions League winners Ajax, because they are a proper tream winning a tournament with history and lineage?
Or is it European Super League winners Liverpool/Manchester United? Two teams with history, but win the trophy with less of a legacy behind it - yet has tighter financial controls and *insert rule that is better than UEFA’s*.
It will be the click baits dream. Because they’ll never be a Super Cup between the two winners, so you’ll just have Twitter/forum debates over who is the REAL European champion.
Is it the tournament with the legacy and the history, but run by corrupt UEFA?
Or is it the alternate European competition with all the bigger names?
Having each tournament trying to outdo the other better for the fans. Bringing down TV prices and match tickets to outdo the other.
Competition breeds success.
I mean even if you want to expand it further. Imagine the Champions League final between Ajax vs Dortmund airing live simultaneously while Chelsea vs Barcelona/Man City in the Super League final?
I think you’ll have the football purists watch the Champions League final, while plastic Twitter merchant fans watch the Super League final. The audience will be divided, but it will also separate the wheat from the chaff.
I’ll certainly follow Liverpool whichever competition we are in. But if we got knocked out of the Super League quarters for instance, I certainly would watch Ajax vs Dortmund in a Champions League final vs a Super League final with Real and Barca.
I think instead of the Champions League being secondary, it will just reinvent itself. You will just have two competing tournaments, with clubs like Leeds, Celtic, Ajax becoming bigger global forces on one side, vs the old guard in the Super League. Competition brings out the best in everyone.
Note, this isn’t me advocating for the Super League (I prefer an alternative league that isn’t a closed shop, but is a less corrupt version of UEFA). Because I don’t look forward to playing in the 2024 Champions League format. BUT, what I’m trying to say is, I don’t think we will have a new generation of fans that will see Big ears on the same level as the FA Cup is now. I think both the Super League and the Champions League will compete against each other as the main tournaments, surpassing the Euros vs World Cup debate.