As long as we do not get relegated, it doesn't matter what position we end up in. The net difference in prize money is very small, and since we all know Champions League football next season is a pipe dream now, 4 or 5 million quid here or there doesn't really mean much. It's harsh, I know, but you have to separate emotion from analysis.
What matters more is the state of the club after the Roy Hodgson era is over. If Roy costs this club 3-4 young players who go on to become 10m+ players while signing 29 year olds who will depreciate to zero, any new owner will have to eat that loss. Far better to keep the youth and sell the aging, for the club's sake *regardless* of future ownership.
But Hodgson has overseen an alarming reduction in squad value so far, not to mention future potential. Each asset he buys is worth less with each passing day. Lucas cost 6.5m and with proper negotiation, may be sold for at least that much, if not more. Potentially, his stock could rise two fold. Insua is the same. However, Poulsen will never, ever be worth what we paid for him. Neither will Konchesky. Joe Cole costs us 4m a year, has already earned around that much in a signing bonus, and it's difficult to envision a scenario in which we sell him next year for 12m.
It's a distinct possibility that we will not get new owners even if RBS forces Hicks' hand. Even if we are sold, there is no guarantee that the next owner will be a benevolent one who has more money than business sense. Someone who bottom-fishes for cheap investment opportunities rarely overspends.
For that reason, we must arrest the decline and lock the doors as soon as possible. We spent years thinking Mash was worth twice as much as he was eventually sold for. Insua walked away for salary. I used to think we'd get 60m for Torres; now I feel that he can name his team, and force our hand into paying about half that.
Roy's not a negotiator. He's not a brilliant strategist. He's not renowned for his scouting brilliance. And we've now seen that he's not a steadier of the ship. The longer he sticks around, the more expensive his shortcomings will become.
The longer Hodgson sticks around, the more Riojas get popped for lunch. Sooner rather than later, the wine cellar will be empty while we all are still pimping ourselves to fantasy owners.