Leeds also beat City at the Etihad last season...
Sandwiched between the two Real games and with Leeds having been drawn back into the relegation dogfight, it is probably the fixture of theirs remaining that I have the most hope for dropped points.
The only game since xG became a thing ever where a team has won by scoring 2+ goals with 0.1 xG I believe.
I haven't watched Leeds much under their new manager but they are usually way too open to ever punish a top team like us or City, fingers crossed I'm wrong.