If this deal eventually goes ahead, and I can't see why it won't as it offers payment to the creditors, and removes a burden from the MLB then it's not bad news for us. Even if Hicks walks away with no profit at all he has at least unleveraged himself of over $500m of debt. In doing so that does enable him to borrow money to use towards a new stadium.
I agree that it will increase Hicks ability to borrow. But it wont enable him to obtain a big enough loan for a new stadium. The banks have not been happy with LFC's current debt. They will now be happier with the current debt, but that doesnt mean that they will suddenly be prepared to lend (much) more.
I want the two owners out as much as the next one, but I would rather they get to follow their business plan and sell a successful football club with a new stadium in 5-10 years time than end up selling a bankrupt mid-table side in a few years in much the same way as has happened to the Rangers.
The owners claim that their business plan is to build a stadium. Of course, according to their claims, building was due to start in 2007.
What is telling is that when they produced a prospectus with a view to obtaining further investment, the new stadium was not included in the plan. When a company is preparing a prospectus, there is a legal obligation to be truthful and (reasonably) accurate. Since the new stadium was not included in the plan (which included projections for the next 5 or 6 years), we can deduce that EITHER:
a) there is no intention at all of building a new stadium (ie saying differently would be untruthful) OR
b) the likelihood of the new stadium being buillt is not great enough that the claim could be made (ie it wouldnt be a reasonably accurate claim).
The important thing for me is Liverpool FC, I don't give a shit about the owners, and if they make a tidy profit out of us I'm happy for that to happen, because in all likelihood that will mean that the club is in good shape when they sell it. Too mnay in here want to see the americans crash and burn regardless of the consequences that would have for the club.
There is no "good" outcome for us (same for MU). Either G&H's plan fails, and the club is ruined as a result. Or G&H's plan succeeds, and the club is severely damaged as a result.
To be clear, G&H are not going to
do things that increase the club's value substantially (eg build a new stadium); that isnt their plan. (Obviously they will work on increasing revenue from internet, branded products, etc). They are simply planning to
stay as owners for long enough for the natural value of the club to increase, so that they can sell at a profit.
If their plan fails, and the natural market value never goes up, then LFC will be stripped of any valuable assets and sold as a rump.
If their plan succeds , and the market value does go up, then the value of other PL clubs will also go up. Relative to those clubs, we'll have lost valuable ground.