I have noticed a pattern over the last couple of years: if I can't get to the match, or to a pub to watch the game, then the quality of our performance is directly related to the quality of the stream that I'm watching.
The better quality the stream, the worse we play. If it's a HD stream we're guaranteed to play shite and lose, but if the stream is that bad that I can't make out the players or the ball (with commentary in Russian) then we'll play well.
This correlation is almost infallible, I'm hesitant to watch streams at all these days, which I believe is why we're doing OK this year.