Author Topic: The Level 3 Thread  (Read 1190255 times)

royhendo

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8600 on: October 22, 2009, 04:35:48 pm »
Defour has been tapped up by Ferguson. Blatantly so in fact, to the extent that it's laughable.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8601 on: October 22, 2009, 04:49:26 pm »
yeh i saw that too Roy, I would love Defour, even though some of our Belgian friends don't believe him to be that great, i think him, Witsel (even if he is a dirty fucker) and Mbokani are really good up and coming youngsters.

Have to agree with Juan on the style of the La Liga teams, that league bar Sevilla, Real and Barca seems wide open, I mean Villarreal are sitting at the bottom of the table and Atletico aint that far away either. It's no way comparable to the Premier League and the set piece specialists (ala Villa who've only scored 3 goals that are werent from set pieces this season).
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8602 on: October 22, 2009, 05:19:52 pm »
The idea that PT is still optimistic means very little I think. There is something of the Comical Ali about his despatches. You know, "the Americans have been annihilated and her forces are retreating in chaos toward the frontier" a couple of hours before the fall of Baghdad. Having said that I do want to believe him. I want to believe that Rafa is withstanding the pressure that comes from losing 4 important games on the trot because you can imagine anyone beginning to crack a bit under that. 

The stuff about the size of players was odd, wasn't it? Has there ever been a smaller team than Barcelona? Or a greater one? Just hope Pacheco isn't ruled out because he'll lower the team's average size.
I understand what you mean, that's why I said as much in my post - that Tomkins himself is optimistic is, to draw a couple of not totally accurate comparisons, as meaningless as me saying Lucas is under-rated or you saying Kuyt's touch is poor - it's par for the course and it's expected. In many ways we've set our positions out to clearly to make an impact unless we suddenly swing the other way. No. Still, I trust Tomkins as a writer not to paint the picture of Rafa and the squad that he has without it being true, you know? he also dropped a comment from Glen Johnson who said he's 'learned more tactically in 5 mintues under Rafa than the previous two years'. The very fact that Rafa spent 4 hours with him and was drawing stuff on scraps of paper - much like that story in his biography about shifting pepper pots about to illustrate his point etc - it tells me that the man's enthusiasm and hunger is undeminished, that the spirit in the camp is at least salvageable and that Rafa's setting the right sort of example. It doesn't seem an unreasonable conclusion to draw at any means, even seen through the filter of Tomkins general optimism.

The squad size being odd - I don't know, yes and no maybe?

Bit of a kop out but while Barca's overall size is titchy - they have a few key players who are absolute monsters - Toure, Puyol, Pique, Abidal isn't short I don't think, and Alves is one who (I'm not sure here) but I suspect has an impressive leap for his size. Henry, Keita - not saying they're great defenders, certainly not Henry - but there is height in the squad, and their tallest players are, I think (though could be wrong), taller than our tallest players.

What I find interesting about that bit is it also suggest that Rafa has consiciously sacrificed height and set-piece defence for better quality on the ball. I think it casts a measure of doubt on the idea that he's 'inherently cautious', as you put it. Certainly I've always seen him as a man who prioritises defence too, we just see that aspect of the game differently I think, but this I find really quite interesting. Clearly his pragmatism (and I think there is no doubt at all that he's a pragmatist) extends far enough to alter that balance in favour of attack if he feels necessary - which also stronly suggest a man who, again contrary to his popular image, is actually very welling to change and adapt - IF he feels it's important.
Defour has been tapped up by Ferguson. Blatantly so in fact, to the extent that it's laughable.
Oh yeah, Defour was talking about that 'get well soon boyo and here's a utd shirt to keep you warm' type letter wasn't he? Has there been any follow through on that, not least because Ferguson despises such behaviour?

Why am I even asking. Of course there bloody well hasn't. Still, I only heard about that letter, has there been anything more about it you could maybe point me towards?
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Offline hesbighesred

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8603 on: October 22, 2009, 05:30:06 pm »
Barcelona don't have to play Stoke, Villa, Everton and so forth every week. They play nice footballing teams who inevitably end up conceding possession and territory at the Nou Camp and just sit back waiting for the goal to come.

I agree with you about the Pacheco bit but the Barcelona thing just isn't comparable. There isn't the same onus on set pieces in La Liga.
Fair point that, I think.
Well until Stoke qualify for the Champions League and launch Delap throws at the Barca defence we'll never know I suppose. My guess is that Barca would beat them about 12-0 on aggregate.
Didn't Bolton beat Atletico 1-0 not so long ago, when Atletico were a better side than now? Pompey caused AC Milan all sorts of problems in the UEFA. Now, of course they simply aren't in Barca's league, but there is evidence to suggest that the pure possession based style can struggle against direct football if properly employed.

Indeed, I remember watching some of Barca Valencia on slidey's server downloads - Valencia were very direct and Barca struggled with it hugely. I'd actually very much like to watch a Stoke Vs Barca game, I really would, especially in English conditions, at Stoke, with a relatively unfussy referee. If Stoke had a 'whistle for everything' type European ref they'd be destroyed for sure, but with one who lets more of the physical stuff go I'd be very intruiged to see it.
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8604 on: October 22, 2009, 05:37:33 pm »
I read that Tomkins piece and I am unsure about the tall players gripe.

We don't have a short team. We have 4 centre backs who are of decent height, a rightback who is 6ft and Kuyt, Gerrard and Torres who are all good headerers of the ball, as well as being fairly tall. Plus we will have Aquilani who is 6ft.

In our strongest side then, your probably only looking at Mascherano, Insua, Benayoun, Aurelio and Lucas who are not that tall and for the majority of games this season, 4 of those have played mainly. You compare that to Utd and they have a similar number, with the likes of Evra, Nani and Scholes. Also, you look at Arsenal and they don't appear to be a team who is apparently weak on set pieces. I am pretty sure that they have a smaller lineup than us.

Our issue is simply the fact that we don't have enough good headerers of the ball at centre back. Apart from the big greek, neither Carragher, Skrtel or Agger are particularly great in the air and if your centre backs are not that great, then your going to struggle.

Now, if you had say Hyypia and the big greek dude, with the other players like Johnson, Aquilani, Kuyt, Gerrard and Torres, I would say that is more than enough big players. Our set piece failings are in my opinion just down to not having enough aerially dominant centre halves than a general lack of tall players throughout the team.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2009, 05:39:16 pm by killer_heels »

Offline redy

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8605 on: October 22, 2009, 06:21:38 pm »
The tall thing and small ball playing players thing IMO is excuse making. As KH says above its about primarily the center backs not being great generally but that's alright, there hasn't been this big a problem for 4 years has there. I think a more valid excuse is that it is a dip in form and confidence that has worsened the situation, one which was already there but in manageable proportions. Having said that there has to be a way to stem it with the current players in the squad.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8606 on: October 22, 2009, 07:07:17 pm »
Well until Stoke qualify for the Champions League and launch Delap throws at the Barca defence we'll never know I suppose. My guess is that Barca would beat them about 12-0 on aggregate.

Well that would very much depend on what type of referee was in charge of that game. If you got your typical tart that blows up for every 50-50 or display of upper body strength then yes, Barca would run them ragged. If it was your average idiot who refs a Premiership game and lets these sides get away with being overtly physical then it's a different case.

La Liga doesn't have the equivilent to these teams partly because of the players but mainly because the refs simply wouldn't allow them to get away with it. You need only watch Peter Crouch play in a European game to see the extent of the 'softness' that runs through the game.

I'm not meaning to sound like an "these fancy foreigners don't like it up 'em" type, 'cos it's not true. I'm just saying that they don't ever have it 'up 'em' in their own league, so a lack of height or physicality for Barcelona (which isn't necessarily the case anyways) isn't the same issue as it is for Liverpool.



I don't agree with Heelsy's point either. Our centrebacks are of decent height compared to what? Opposition fullbacks? You? Me?

It's like saying Pepe Reina is fucking huge because he's 6'2. Yeah, he's a unit to us (well actually same height as me :P) but he's not a mountain of a man to a 6'5 Kewynne Jones or Breda Hangelaand. Neither are our centrebacks really. Maybe to the man on the street, but most centrebacks these days are 6'2 - easily. Carra's a few inches under that, and whilst Skrtel is a lanky fucker, he's also a ponce.
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8607 on: October 22, 2009, 07:09:08 pm »
The squad size being odd - I don't know, yes and no maybe?

Bit of a kop out but while Barca's overall size is titchy - they have a few key players who are absolute monsters - Toure, Puyol, Pique, Abidal isn't short I don't think, and Alves is one who (I'm not sure here) but I suspect has an impressive leap for his size. Henry, Keita - not saying they're great defenders, certainly not Henry - but there is height in the squad, and their tallest players are, I think (though could be wrong), taller than our tallest players.

I think it's a lot of a "cop out". It's the sort of argument that Rafa sometimes uses that makes him look ridiculous. Firstly because it's not true. We have some of the tallest centre backs in the Premier League in Agger and the Greek bloke who never plays. Skrtel, Carra and Johnson are not midgets at the back, are they? Secondly, if lack of height is a problem why let Hyypia go?

As for Barca, we have to face facts as they are, not as we'd like them to be. They're tiny. Their best three players, according to wiki, are 5 ft 6 (Iniesta), 5 ft 7 (Messi) and 5 ft 7 (Xavi). Bojan is also 5 foot 7. Dani Alves might have an allmighty leap like you say - though I've never seen it. Regardless, he also stands at a monumental 5 foot 7. Your "absolute monster" Puyol looms over people at....err....5 foot 10. And their goalie is 6 foot, which just ain't very tall for a man between the sticks. By rights, this team should be a push-over. But they're not. Not for anyone (at least until Stoke play them). They're the best team, bar Brazil '70 (another very small team, by the way), most of us have ever seen.

Rafa needs more technical players, not taller ones. Great if they have height as well, but we're not failing for lack of tall players.
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8608 on: October 22, 2009, 07:13:17 pm »
At work was confronted by The bitterest Blue imaginable, 'I bring my lad up to Hate the redshite and I'm proud', you know the sort. He reckoned he only knew two Reds who didn't want Rafa out and I was one of them, normally one of the mates would have jumped in, 'I support Rafa', no one did. I felt really shit. Then I get in and read the the Tomkins article. Brilliant, just what I needed.

I Think those that criticise Tomkins for having 'red coloured specs' and being too optimistic, miss the point slightly. Benitez has been under attack from most sections of the media and football establishment, who use lazy unresearched common sense arguments that don't stand up to scrutiny. Faced with this onslaught Tomkins tries to bend the stick in the opposite direction to refute these attacks and sometimes bends it a little too far, hardly a major crime. I don't know the fella, but I'm sure in the company of a few good reds down the alehouse, he'd be alot more critical. I find his stuff really useful, I'd never be able to put that time into dispelling  some of the myths around Liverpool. I'm glad someone does. We're all biased, and make assumptions, at least Tomkins wears his bias on his sleeve.
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8609 on: October 22, 2009, 07:19:30 pm »
I don't agree with Heelsy's point either. Our centrebacks are of decent height compared to what? Opposition fullbacks? You? Me?

It's like saying Pepe Reina is fucking huge because he's 6'2. Yeah, he's a unit to us (well actually same height as me :P) but he's not a mountain of a man to a 6'5 Kewynne Jones or Breda Hangelaand. Neither are our centrebacks really. Maybe to the man on the street, but most centrebacks these days are 6'2 - easily. Carra's a few inches under that, and whilst Skrtel is a lanky fucker, he's also a ponce.

But your point about Skrtel is exactly the issue. He's a bit of a ponce.

Both Vidic and Ferdinand are 6ft 2/3. Thats the same height as Agger and Skrtel. Carragher is a couple of inches shorter than that but he still is as good as and better in the air than Skrtel and Agger.

Yes they could be taller and yes we could probably do with someone who was over 6ft 3. But the height of our centre backs overall is not really the issue is it but more the fact that neither of them can put down their ability in the air as a relative strength. Like I said, Vidic is the same height as Skrtel and Agger but he is miles better in the air than both of them.

Our attackers are generally good in the air compared to other top teams (apart from Dropba) and the likes of Johnson do need to have some proficiency. Like I said, its an easy argument to talk about height when people factor in the likes of Insua and Benayoun but I don't think its an argument that washes well and I think that, if you added 2 centre backs who were actually good in the air into our side (or even one, like Vidic), as well as the strength of the likes of Kuyt, Torres and Gerrard (also factoring in that Johnson is fairly tall compared to other full backs), then our weakness at set pieces would not be an issue.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2009, 07:23:10 pm by killer_heels »

Offline JP-65

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8610 on: October 22, 2009, 07:26:12 pm »
It's really not a height issue, it's a leap issue.

There's some seriously big dudes in the NBA, who get out-leaped by much smaller players (who are still big in our terms).
The Canadian, Nash, is one of the smaller point guards in the league, but I remember reading that his leap meant that he played like someone almost a foot taller.

Hyppia was big, but not the biggest around, but a combination of leap and bravery, ensured that he was rarely beaten.

I have no data to support or disprove how our players stack up against others in this area, but given that our team has "sufficient" height, but is regularly beaten in the air, suggest that our "taller" players are not good "leapers"

Again, using the NBA example, when players are being trialled and tested before the draft, this is one of the things measured.


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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8611 on: October 22, 2009, 07:46:49 pm »
It's really not a height issue, it's a leap issue.

Hyppia was big, but not the biggest around, but a combination of leap and bravery, ensured that he was rarely beaten.

Good point.

Interestingly, the only time Sam was consistently beaten in the air was by Cahill at Anfield last season - when Cahill was playing at centre forward. No shame there. Cahill's probably the best header of a ball in the top flight since Speed (another titch). The best header we have in the team now is obviously Torres. But close behind is wee Lucas. 

Of course the other thing apart from leap is timing. I was told years ago by a clever man that to win the ball in the air you need to jump a second earlier than seems natural. Apart from anything else, the first up in a challenge makes it twice as hard for the second up. Watch Cahill.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2009, 07:50:04 pm by yorkykopite »
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8612 on: October 22, 2009, 08:00:54 pm »
I don't even think it's a leap issue. It's an attitude issue. Players who go in with 100% confidence in the air are generally the ones who come out on top. We've got 3 tentative CBs when it comes to aerial presence even though they're tall and can jump- they go in like they know they're about to get beat.

There's been a lot of indicators suggesting it's a mental issue in my opinion. And that's why it's so annoying...

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8613 on: October 22, 2009, 08:02:19 pm »
Good point.

Interestingly, the only time Sam was consistently beaten in the air was by Cahill at Anfield last season - when Cahill was playing at centre forward. No shame there. Cahill's probably the best header of a ball in the top flight since Speed (another titch). The best header we have in the team now is obviously Torres. But close behind is wee Lucas. 

Of course the other thing apart from leap is timing. I was told years ago by a clever man that to win the ball in the air you need to jump a second earlier than seems natural. Apart from anything else, the first up in a challenge makes it twice as hard for the second up. Watch Cahill.

Yorky, good point, Cahill is probably the best "small physique" header of the ball in the league, stunningly effective.

Agree on Lucas and Torres, but Torres seems to be much better offensively, than defensively (he's been involved in a lot of the goals against so far this season) which suggests to me that he has good timing not necessarily the best leap.

When I was in high school (in the late 60's) I was able to high jump 6"2", and I'm only 5'8"!
I did a little search on world calibre high jumpers and came up with this:  5 feet 8 inches (1.7 m) tall Franklin Jacobs of Paterson, NJ, who cleared 2.32 metres (7 ft 7 in), an astounding 0.59 metres (1 ft 11 in) over his head (a feat equaled by Sweden's Stefan Holm).  Stunning, these 2 could leap over a bar almost 2' higher than themselves!

I wonder if this is looked at scientifically by football managers?

A little quote on the high jump technique:

"The approach of the high jump may actually be more important than the take off. If a high jumper runs with bad timing or without enough aggression, clearing a high bar becomes more of a challenge. The approach requires a certain shape or curve, the right amount of speed, and the correct number of strides. The approach angle is also critical for optimal height."

Sounds like some of the elements that's been discussed here, ie timing, aggression, shape of approach etc.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2009, 08:10:40 pm by JP-65 »

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8614 on: October 22, 2009, 08:12:17 pm »
Barca Vs Stoke - we had arsenal Vs stoke last year ended one win each I think -I know arsenal aint great defensively but their attacking style couldn't break down stoke very few teams could

I think a lot of managers use height as a legitimate issue certainly Mourinho did refusing to use 2 small central midfielders - rafa didn't say he wouldn't use Patches just its hard because we have a lot of small players - he used Spearing after all so I dont think he's heightist

Insua, Mascherano, Lucas, Spearing, Aurelio, Dossena, Benayoun, none of them are tall, Neither Torres nor Babel can defend set pieces and I dont trust Reira either despite his height - that leaves very few you can trust and although Kuyt and Carra will challenge they can't always handle players with 2 or 3 inches on them - that just leaves Johnson, Skrtel, Agger, Pepe and Gerrard with Kyrgiakos brought in for that one aspect of his game (again I think rafa makes an oblique reference to that also) - he may well have played against Sunderland if fit to combat Jones. Both Ayala and Kelly are 6 2 plus and it surprised me rafa didn't trust either but I think again thats explained as rafa says he needed the experience - I do think there are a few good things hidden 'between the lines'  of the Tomkin piece

For a while i didn't enjoy his pieces he seemed to be taking on a superfan role and suggesting he spoke for the true fan - now he's concentrating on stats and facts I find his pieces far more readable and informative - good on him and wish him well

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8615 on: October 22, 2009, 08:14:29 pm »
Chelsea is as physical a side as Barca will ever face and they did pretty well, even though they should have lost, I doubt the likes of Stoke would be that much of a problem.
If Iniesta's turns make Valencia look silly then it'd make Stoke look like the Coach and Horses.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8616 on: October 22, 2009, 08:30:56 pm »
JP that's a hark back to the early part of the thread, nice one. :)

Volleyball training and plyometrics are interesting - some of those boys have a standing jump well over three feet (although they must have birds' bones - feathered variety I mean).

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8617 on: October 22, 2009, 08:35:22 pm »
The other thing is the size of your feet. If you're five foot 8 but your feet are the size of Stevie Nicoll's then you're taller than Crouchie when you stand on your tippy toes. ;D

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8618 on: October 22, 2009, 08:38:17 pm »
The other thing is the size of your feet. If you're five foot 8 but your feet are the size of Stevie Nicoll's then you're taller than Crouchie when you stand on your tippy toes. ;D

So true, I have big feet, can water ski barefoot in them...LOL

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8619 on: October 22, 2009, 08:45:25 pm »
I'm like a letter L too mate. :)

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8620 on: October 22, 2009, 09:06:58 pm »

At work was confronted by The bitterest Blue imaginable, 'I bring my lad up to Hate the redshite and I'm proud', you know the sort. He reckoned he only knew two Reds who didn't want Rafa out and I was one of them, normally one of the mates would have jumped in, 'I support Rafa', no one did. I felt really shit. Then I get in and read the the Tomkins article. Brilliant, just what I needed.

I Think those that criticise Tomkins for having 'red coloured specs' and being too optimistic, miss the point slightly. Benitez has been under attack from most sections of the media and football establishment, who use lazy unresearched common sense arguments that don't stand up to scrutiny. Faced with this onslaught Tomkins tries to bend the stick in the opposite direction to refute these attacks and sometimes bends it a little too far, hardly a major crime. I don't know the fella, but I'm sure in the company of a few good reds down the alehouse, he'd be alot more critical. I find his stuff really useful, I'd never be able to put that time into dispelling  some of the myths around Liverpool. I'm glad someone does. We're all biased, and make assumptions, at least Tomkins wears his bias on his sleeve.

Torturous mate isn't it. Have the same situation at work with a Manc. I like him, he's generally a decent guy, other than when he initiates a conversation about football. He has a really simplistic view, and rolls out all the cliches. I have a temper as short as a queue for leprosy and he has really got to me at times (worst one being his "Sign my petition to keep Benitez in the job") and I boil over and can't think clearly enough to put over a decent argument, neither am I any use with words at the best of times. Any time I actually do try and debate with him properly, I usually have him cornered and he backs out like a rat and falls back on the "who wins all the PL trophies", which I fucking hate, but it is a clear indication to me that he can't back up the shit he talks. Now, I just nod and agree, whilst veins protrude through my forehead.

Anyway, I'm rambling, but that's why Tomkins (and this thread mostly) are important to keep us sane. Tomkins probably does seem overly bias, but most of the myths and absolute shit written on Rafa makes him that way.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2009, 09:10:33 pm by liverbnz »
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8621 on: October 22, 2009, 09:07:16 pm »
and you know what they say about big feet.........


















....big shoes!

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8622 on: October 22, 2009, 09:25:27 pm »
Quite a lot of good posts in the last few days I'd like to quote directly, but there just isn't time to even finish reading them all at the moment...

92A: Cracking first post. Confidence: I agree with most of that paragraph about mentality, but I've always hated the word confidence. It's too brittle, too fragile. I prefer the word - because it's what our great sides always had, in spades - belief. Belief can brush aside bad luck, a bad performance, or a 95th minute equaliser. Belief doesn't need an early goal to bolster itself, or crumble when one is conceded.

It took me a while to warm to Benitez. Not sure why in particular, just little points (and for a while, the where-to-play-Gerrard saga). I have warmed to him though over the last couple of years, mainly as I've come to understand him and his ideas better and - to be frank - being reassured that they are closer to the old-school Liverpool principles (decent pass and move stuff, basically) than I initially feared. The occasional insights from more thoughtful interviews and analysis - and Tomkins latest article couldn't have been better timed - reassure that he's at least trying to move in the right direction.

He makes mistakes though, and perhaps still has some 'blind spots', as every other human does. One of my old concerns was about his ability to instill real belief in the side; a concern which disappeared in the second half of last season. We weren't just 'confident' from a run of form, we were oozing self belief and, almost, the sort of wonderful arrogance that all the very best sides have. Rafa was able to instill it - and 'it' is very important: it's by far Ferguson's greatest strength, given a so-so transfer record and tactical naivety. Yet suddenly - from the very beginning of the season, not just in the last couple of games - it was gone. Where? Why?

Lots of possible reasons, off the field stuff is obviously a popularly cited factor, as are the summer issues over Alonso and Mascherano. I posted speculatively in the Carragher thread in the main board about possible negativity around him, and predictably (and reasonably, it was very speculative) got slaughtered for it. But - as KH posted somewhere above - we just don't look happy this season. I don't believe the ownership issues are the primary cause. We've had those on and off for a couple of years; while it's seemed to be a distraction once or twice, it's never had half the team looking as miserable as we do at the moment.

The point is, we don't know what the problem is in the dressing room (to be fair, we don't know for certain there is one). But (if there is), Rafa does. If the problem is between Rafa and senior players we are in deep trouble, but my gut feeling is that that isn't it. If the problem is with, or between, individuals or player cliques, that needs sorting immediately. If (as some ITKs have hinted) Mascherano is causing problems, drop him. Put him in the fucking reserves. Same if it were Carragher, or any other player - barring, perhaps/of course, the obvious two.

A few people have suggested an injection of something new; I agree. Stick a couple of the youngsters in the squad, training with the first team, on the bench. On the same basis (though admittedly at first glance almost the opposite) - give Voronin some playing time. There will always be disagreements about who is playing well and who isn't, but suffice to say I wouldn't be horrified if any of the current starters were dropped for a couple of games; some more deserving than others. But if any one or two players are causing issues in the dressing room - and only Rafa knows - drop them, now.

One of the recent points made by some posters over-sensitive to implied criticism of Rafa is the injury situation. It's a red herring. This slump started long before the latest international break; we were just as poor in Florence as at Anfield this week - with Gerrard, Torres and Johnson in the team. The "we'll be fine when Agger/Aurelio/Aquilani are fit" posts were equally missing the point, in my view. Sure, having your better players available will always help. But the players who were available have been playing badly - with rare, isolated exceptions - all season. It's deeper than "settling", or missing a player or two. This leads on to the other, more critical, excuse for recent performances: our squad is too weak - but of course this can be blamed on the owners rather than Rafa (to some extent), so it's more popular at the moment. It's still missing the point, though. This is basically the same squad as last year.

Anyway, I'm rambling.

We've lost our belief. That has to have a cause, it doesn't just disappear. Our entire squad hasn't suddenly declined (though perhaps one or two have, say Carragher and Mascherano - for different reasons). It's not just injuries. It's not gross inadequacy of our fringe players. We have to address this urgently, because the consequences are potentially horrendous. It seems too many fans have reached the conclusion that the owners wouldn't dare sack Rafa - or can't afford to. I think this is naive and optimistic. The owners simply can't get any more unpopular. For all we know, there is a clause in the contract - failure to get out of the group stages of the CL, for instance? - which would allow a 'cheaper' sacking.

I'm dreading Sunday. I agree with HBHR and others, that in some ways it's the perfect game. A good win over United can have a much better long term effect than beating relegation fodder 5-0. Yet at the same time, it's possibly also the worst possible fixture. Ferguson will look at this game as an opportunity to wreck our season and possibly send us into a full blown crisis, ending in the sacking of Rafa, failure to qualify for the CL, financial disaster, the sale of key players and meltdown. Sounds dramatic? Sure, but I bet Ferguson's thinking about it. We have posters on RAWK quite happy to consider such doomsday scenarios financially, but sticking their fingers in their ears at the possibility of an on field crisis triggering it. There have been a lot of big games in my time as a Liverpool fan; title deciding, season breaking games. But there's never been a game which might determine the entire future stability of the club quite like this one.
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Offline redmark

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8623 on: October 22, 2009, 09:35:38 pm »
At work was confronted by The bitterest Blue imaginable, 'I bring my lad up to Hate the redshite and I'm proud', you know the sort. He reckoned he only knew two Reds who didn't want Rafa out and I was one of them, normally one of the mates would have jumped in, 'I support Rafa', no one did. I felt really shit. Then I get in and read the the Tomkins article. Brilliant, just what I needed.

Agreed. My best mate at work - an Arsenal fan - used an article in the Mail today to have a go. "£150m (or whatever) on 76 players!!!". Ignores my comments about net spend, or having to sell to buy, therefore selling players on in a gradual upgrade. The 'Liverpool fan' next to him (the sort who has never been and if you ask him if he watched the game on TV says, "nah, couldn't be bothered") agrees - Lucas is shit, etc. Arsenal fan starts picking players at random from the list - "That was a waste of money!" - £1.5m on Gonzalez. "Fowler! Ha!" - free transfer. "Who's he???" - several 16 year olds.

Another colleague - doesn't support anyone, but watches quite a lot and is a good player himself - gets his opinions from TalkShite and Stan Collymore. "Should never have sold Crouch and Bellamy". Obviously, having to sell to buy is going to be too complicated for the few seconds I can stomach the conversation (it's recurring), so I ask if we should be playing Crouch instead of Torres, as we play with one up. Shakes his head wisely. "Need 2 up front". I point out we were top scorers last season, and first to 100 goals in all competitions the season before. "Nah, you need 2 strikers. United have two strikers. Chelsea have two strikers." I point out that Chelsea didn't, until this season, and that United don't actually play with 2 fully up top. He laughs, patronisingly, and explains as if to a child. I stab him*.

*Might have dreamt this bit.


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Offline Varmenni

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8624 on: October 22, 2009, 10:15:57 pm »

Offline the 92A

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8625 on: October 22, 2009, 10:52:43 pm »
Redmark, confidence is a hard concept to deal with. Rafa says as much in the Tomkins interview. To badly paraphrase, It hard to create confidence.you just have to keep doing the right things and it'll come back. I feel that there are a number of reasons for our lack of confidence, and they're accumulative. lack of form of key players who usually instill confidence, injuries, high expectations, the feeling we've got to win the league or the mancs will overtake us, lack of leadership in key areas, conceding soft goals because we're all five foot nothing with no spring in our steps  ;), bad luck, starting badly with Spurs and Villa, these all feed on each other like a self fulfilling prophecy, Where the difference is for me is that at a stable club this is responsible for a dip in form, everyone understands it's not going to blow the ship out of the water and that in turn helps solve the lack of confidence. At clubs facing relegation or in crisis, the need to turn it around quickly ends up feeding into the crisis making it worse. There is no safety net. That is why I feel the off field situation is feeding the crisis in confidence.

The papers are baying for Benitez's blood, they don't understand him and don't want to. There have been an number of times in the past few seasons where he could have been sacked. If the Marseilles game would have gone the wrong way, maybe; Just before the Madrid game I'm sitting In a bar in Madrid, and one of me mates is being texted that Sky are reporting he's as good as gone. A bad defeat in Madrid and who knows. Last seasons run should have bought him far more time, it didn't because of the fragility of the situation. The Yanks have upped the pressure at every turn, so when we have a bad patch it's a crisis which racks up the pressure even more. The amazing thing is Benitez has managed to keep turning it around, with little room for error but a patch of bad luck could derail him in this situation, that's real pressure. Good poker players can lose games on the turn of a card, that's bad luck, they win on their longterm game, has Benitez got that luxury or is he playing at the last chance saloon? Maybe the Spain deal announced on lfctv may buy him some time, Ihope so.

Btw totally empathised about the Arsenal fan, that seems to be the big stick they  use to beat benitez, all the money he's supposedly wasted. that's why Tomkins is good he gives me facts that I try to memorise.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2009, 11:23:29 pm by The 92A »
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Offline JP-65

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8626 on: October 22, 2009, 10:57:09 pm »
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mugsy_Bogues is probably the most extreme case ...

Yeah, Mugsy was amazing wasn't he?

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8627 on: October 22, 2009, 11:06:53 pm »
I think a lot of managers use height as a legitimate issue certainly Mourinho did refusing to use 2 small central midfielders - rafa didn't say he wouldn't use Patches just its hard because we have a lot of small players - he used Spearing after all so I dont think he's heightist

I'm fairly sure Rafa is heightist (assuming he can afford to be). I've just found the quote I was looking for in the Paco Lloret book...

Quote
Not for the first time, Rafael Benítez picks up his authorised biography, towards which he is politely ambivalent, and scours its pages. "The other day I was surprised. I saw an old photo and I said to my wife..." His voice trails off as he flicks backwards and forwards through the relevant chapter. "Is the photo here? Yes, this one."

It's a shot of Real Madrid's Under-18 side from season 1986/87. He traces his finger from left to right across the players in the back row then their crouching team-mates at the front, and starts to recite. "I said to her: 1.82, 1.84, 1.82, 1.79, 1.87, 1.76, 1.88, 1.84, 1.86, 1.79, 1.68, 1.72, 1.74, 1.69, 1.78, 1.73, 1.68."

http://rafalution.com/index.php/RAFA-Views.html


Now we all know Rafa is obsessive but why would he remember player heights if you had no use for the information?
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Offline the 92A

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8628 on: October 22, 2009, 11:56:44 pm »
As an add on, I also believe that the relationship between the fans and the team can effect confidence. It's not a simple effect, the teams performance impacts on the fans and vice versa. Sometimes we want that league title so much our frustrations can transmit  on to the pitch, also the atmosphere at the Chelsea semi final don't tell me the players didn't feel twenty feet tall that night. With the stakes so high sometimes we are in danger of losing the tradition of getting behind players that are struggling, who knows how that could effect someone like Lucas. Sometimes the pressure the fans feel to win 19, can transmit onto the confidence of players. one bad pass and the ground sighs. There was a very real tradition of chanting a players name when they made a bad mistake or were playing badly, That's been diminishing , with the end of the standing Kop. The main stand were always moaners. That's where my season ticket is so I betta be carefull or I might get kneecapped by a gang of irate shopkeepers, I've said too much already! ;)
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8629 on: October 23, 2009, 08:28:14 am »
Here a suggestion for a double transfer from one club, given our problems in midfield:

Steven Defour and Axel Witsel?

Defour the natural all rounder a lot of teams rate and Witsel the nasty destroyer. Improves the squad in that key area, allowing Mascherano to check out for hideous cashmoney and adds some rest/competition for Aquilani?
Couple of players I would like to add please.

Sissoko (Toulouse) & Banega (Valencia)

Banega is looking a very cultured player for Valencia at the moment.

Don't know why nobody took the minimal risk of bringing Ze Roberto over to the Premier League.  Quality player and professional.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8630 on: October 23, 2009, 08:48:50 am »
Rafa needs more technical players, not taller ones. Great if they have height as well, but we're not failing for lack of tall players.
One of my main gripes with Benitez.

I think he sometimes overplays the physical card and it's why we see the likes of Carragher and Kuyt remain in the side despite being out of form.  While the technical players like Agger, Aurelio and Benayoun are not guaranteed places despite having good games. 

When I was younger I always thought the team with the best footballers won, as in the team with the best technical players.  The more technical players you have the better.  As I've got older, I've realised this is not the case.  However, in my team, I would still select a technical player (one with vision, ability to trap a ball and pass fluidly, play in tight areas) over a physical player (one who runs xKM a game, jump high, sprint fast).

The ability to keep possession has always been underrated in this country.  I have never seen a team score a goal without the ball.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8631 on: October 23, 2009, 10:04:22 am »
One of my main gripes with Benitez.

I think he sometimes overplays the physical card and it's why we see the likes of Carragher and Kuyt remain in the side despite being out of form.  While the technical players like Agger, Aurelio and Benayoun are not guaranteed places despite having good games. 


The players who tend to carry the can after a defeat are always the technical players and never the physical ones. This is why I'm pessimistic right now. The longer this bad run goes on the more Rafa's caution and fear kick in and the more the likes of Carra and Kuyt are guaranteed a place in the team.
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Offline nocturnalvin

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8632 on: October 23, 2009, 11:01:57 am »
he also dropped a comment from Glen Johnson who said he's 'learned more tactically in 5 mintues under Rafa than the previous two years'. The very fact that Rafa spent 4 hours with him and was drawing stuff on scraps of paper - much like that story in his biography about shifting pepper pots about to illustrate his point etc - it tells me that the man's enthusiasm and hunger is undeminished, that the spirit in the camp is at least salvageable and that Rafa's setting the right sort of example. It doesn't seem an unreasonable conclusion to draw at any means, even seen through the filter of Tomkins general optimism.


Thats the whole bewilderment isn't it. No one seem to doubt the boss' tactical acumen, and his deep-rooted love of football, but i post the question some days back.... does tactics matter as much in this league, or is Rafa even good enough to win this league ?  i have been having interesting chats with fellow fans, albeit less learned than most of you here but still level headed ones, and there is an unanimous opinion that Rafa is a good man with the right characteristics for Liverpool Football Club, but has he taken us as far as he possibly could. Most or possibly all of them also struggle to name a probably successor, and that was the main reason that we think its the best interests to stick with Rafa.

When do we start asking ourselves louder than usual...if Rafa is the right man ?

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8633 on: October 23, 2009, 11:13:07 am »
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mugsy_Bogues is probably the most extreme case ...


Mugsy Bogues was like a spring loaded bouncy ball wasn't he? My only knowledge of him is through a Tribe Called Quest lyric where he's used as a simile for being a short arse. :)

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8634 on: October 23, 2009, 12:43:10 pm »
We settling for a backs to the wall, up and at 'em, goalless draw this weekend then? The type of performance that wont garner much praise but will get the crowd into it and keep them into it. Is this current group even good enough to sit back and work out a 0-0 right now? Thats the thing that scares me at the moment because even in the bad days under Rafa, at least we could still defend against any team we faced.
Barca away, the Chelsea sagas...that Juventus game on the road. Those teams were not good at all but they had enough to just keep the opposition at bay and very rarely made mistakes. This current crew makes mistakes at every turn, even the veteran players are making and they are making them more than the young upstarts.

How will Rafa approach it? Right now seems like the perfect time to just go for it without any real reservations. Meaning, Babel on the right...Riera on the left....Yossi off the striker...Ngog being that striker.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8635 on: October 23, 2009, 12:44:12 pm »
The players who tend to carry the can after a defeat are always the technical players and never the physical ones. This is why I'm pessimistic right now. The longer this bad run goes on the more Rafa's caution and fear kick in and the more the likes of Carra and Kuyt are guaranteed a place in the team.

If true, he'll be in trouble and to a degree - as management is largely about how you respond in adversity - deserve to be. This comes back to belief, as I prefer over 'confidence'. As I said above, that ability to instill belief has been (with the exception of our run last season) the most important doubt I've had about Rafa.  If last season's form really was just 'confidence' and not belief, this shows how fragile it is. If it was 'belief', either Rafa really isn't great at instilling/maintaining it, or something has happened (Alonso? Mascherano? other?) to dissipate it. At the moment we clearly need leadership from critical players. We also need to remove any negativity, if there is any. But it might be useful to throw in something different; someone with no fear, no cynicism, no huge pressure from current failings. A huge risk of course in the development of a youngster; which is why I think Voronin might be worth a few games. He's probably old enough and wise enough to know that he can hardly go down in most people's estimation, while funnily enough not really having played enough to share any of the blame or lack in belief.
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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8636 on: October 23, 2009, 12:48:57 pm »
One of my main gripes with Benitez.

I think he sometimes overplays the physical card and it's why we see the likes of Carragher and Kuyt remain in the side despite being out of form.  While the technical players like Agger, Aurelio and Benayoun are not guaranteed places despite having good games. 

When I was younger I always thought the team with the best footballers won, as in the team with the best technical players.  The more technical players you have the better.  As I've got older, I've realised this is not the case.  However, in my team, I would still select a technical player (one with vision, ability to trap a ball and pass fluidly, play in tight areas) over a physical player (one who runs xKM a game, jump high, sprint fast).

The ability to keep possession has always been underrated in this country.  I have never seen a team score a goal without the ball.
Balance. You need a bit of both, especially in the Premier League. That being said, you can bypass that and just get players who have both ( Torres, Gerrard and Glen Johnson for us. )

I dont think Rafa favors one over the other. I think he just favors a consistent performer, regardless of what that performers style is. Yossi seems to have his position locked in by now...doesnt he?
Agger? Well he would play but he is made of glass.
Aurelio? He is being moved aside for Insua's growth and development.

IMO, we dont have enough superior physical players. Players who can win everything in the air or cover enough ground to really press a team high up the pitch.
« Last Edit: October 23, 2009, 12:51:32 pm by b_joseph »

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8637 on: October 23, 2009, 12:55:48 pm »
We settling for a backs to the wall, up and at 'em, goalless draw this weekend then? The type of performance that wont garner much praise but will get the crowd into it and keep them into it. Is this current group even good enough to sit back and work out a 0-0 right now? Thats the thing that scares me at the moment because even in the bad days under Rafa, at least we could still defend against any team we faced.
Barca away, the Chelsea sagas...that Juventus game on the road. Those teams were not good at all but they had enough to just keep the opposition at bay and very rarely made mistakes. This current crew makes mistakes at every turn, even the veteran players are making and they are making them more than the young upstarts.

How will Rafa approach it? Right now seems like the perfect time to just go for it without any real reservations. Meaning, Babel on the right...Riera on the left....Yossi off the striker...Ngog being that striker.

I'd settle for a gutsy 0-1 or 1-2 defeat at the moment; as a real alternative is more disjointed, leaderless football resulting in getting absolutely hammered, with possibly disastrous long term effects. I completely agree with the bit in bold. At the very least, the crowd (and media, which does matter when the owners aren't real football people) are likely to be more sympathetic to defeat in a brave, gung-ho effort than a nervous, edgy, meek submission. I agree that we can't attempt to eek out a 0-0 in this form/state of mind.

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8638 on: October 23, 2009, 01:22:49 pm »
@Noct:

4 points off the top, with our two best players played together less than half the games, working under the types of crippling off pitch issues that have caused other clubs to crumble, and that Fungus and Wenger have never even been close to facing, and only a small dose of these kind of issues caused Chelsea's form to nosedive and Mourinho to walk.

Of course he's good enough.

Who could do better? Really? The only managers I would actually back (and I don't mean I want them here, just that they'd be capable of it...) to come in, inherit this side and see us through to the title are maybe Capello and Mourinho. I don't see anyone else that comes with anything approaching that kind of likelihood of success - juuuuust possibly Hiddink - though the FA cup last season is also the only major trophy the man has won in absolutely years, and his teams have struggled whenever he's signed his own players - he seems to excel at dealing with players but not at club building.

So go back to the two I mention. One thing they have in common in terms of trophies at bigger clubs - MONEY. Never have they had to work from a position of real disadvantage (at bigger clubs, or course Mourinho took Porto to the CL, but I suppose in their own way they are a very big club too, they give a domestic platform and the CL is not expected of them - it's pressure Mourinho didn't have, he's never even reached a CL final under the sort of pressure he'd have here), they've never come into a top job and been told there's no cash, sell to buy, etc etc etc.

I can't stress enough how big an issue the off pitch crap is, especially when talking about belief/confidence. It's an epic Godzilla behemoth on steroids of an issue. Did any of you have a really shit time at home growing up? I don't mean periods of hardship, I mean where you really saw home as something you were desperate to escape, a parent or two where when they weren't around for whatever reason you actually felt free? I did, and this strikes me as sooooo similar.

We put some good results together and it's like when I had a really ace time with my (relatively few) mates. For a while, all was right with the world, had fun, had a laugh - but I still had to go home. As soon as the night was over, depression was never far away. Our form towards the end of last season was almost like the best night out ever - just great crack, a night you think will never end. Hell, we even got the number of that gorgeous girl we've fancied for ages and never had the balls to ask out, we go home, for once, in the highest of spirits. Then summer comes/the parent gets back in - and they pull the typical move familiar to anyone who's been in that situation. They say/do/don't say/don't do exactly the right thing to make you feel like utter shit again. In this case, they tell us no pocket money - you're grounded for going out, so we can't go and see that wonderful girl.

We end up feeling like we've missed the chance, we end up feeling worse than we ever have, even though it's really just the same old shit. It NEVER gets easier to cope with. You NEVER learn to deal with it - you escape or go mental, that's pretty much it. Whenever I get down about LFC in terms of Rafa and the players, I have to remind myself of that - look at Jol in his last season - a quality manager who'd have taken them to the CL with backing, and could only manage relegation form with a quality side. Wenger's Arsenal had a terrible patch of form when there was a BIT of take-over shenanigans - the kind of shit that wouldn't even be noticed here.

As a poster a few above said, for other clubs blips in form are just blips - they have a nice home to go to. Hell, even Abramovich is a bit of a twat, but in many ways a supportive one. Ours is a proper, full on broken home, so when things go shit with our mates (a bad performance) we don't even have a home to go too.

I think it is just possible to transcend that - but it takes a run like last season, of enough good displays in a row that fans jump on the bandwagon too. That's the equivalent, to us, of a kindly uncle with a spare room we can move into - not much, but enough to give us that precious gift of space, of freedom from 'opression' if you like.

@Redmark - agree with a lot of that post but I can't agree on injuries. Injuries and bad luck are not exactly super-fresh herrings (that's the ownership debacle, that's a herring that can outswim an Orca in it's freshness) - but they're not red herrings either, no way. I'd call them roll-mops, I reckon. You point to the Fiorentina game. Well, may I remind you of our midfield that day, and that it was an injury to Mash which forced our hand?

Then, when we need a decent result after the break - what do we get? One of 'those' breaks, where everyone who could get injured DID get injured (almost) - plus a big healthy dollop of horrific luck against Sunderland and Lyon too (one a clear non-goal allowed, one a clear goal disallowed).

To continue the parent analogy, I can also vouch that such luck seems to happen more when you can't escape it - when what should be your sanctuary, your foundation is actually the root of your problems.

The more I see this happening at our club, and compare it to previous regimes, the more I realise that Robinson was the real unsung hero of our success - he was every bit as important as Shanks/Paisley/Dalglish, and it's no coincidence whatsoever that our decline started when he left/retired (forgive me I'm not sure which it was).

Look at the difference at City between Shinawatra and the new Arab owners - they know their shit in terms of backing the manager, and you can see that the squad has a happy home their, helped of course by generous pocket money, but they've got good parents too, as far as I can see.

There's an alternate reality where a Benitez led, DIC owned Liverpool are dominating football and an alternate Kop where the glory days are well and truly back. Sadly, we're living in this reality where DIC where fucked off for 30 pieces of silver, and were too proud/arrogant themselves to return until far too late (and it staggers me they came back in, the bastards could still have outbid G&H - who were always operating at their financial limits - for less than they offered on their return).

But oh well, there's no use crying over non-existent inter-dimensional dark-matter vortices, as they say.

@Several people -

Really good points on the height issue, I feel I've been put in my place somewhat. I would say @Yorky and Hank - but that's exactly what Rafa IS doing (IE more technical, less physical) and that there has to be a limit - there's a balance. I've seen a lot of sides chock full of technical players who have ended up utter shite because they neglected the dirty stuff. Arsenal have technique in abundance, and a decent amount of physicality, but simply don't do the dirty stuff. You're right that no team scores without the ball - BUT and this is a circular discussion from way back - HOW does one get the ball in the first place? With fit players, who can tackle, harass and work their tits off. Robinho is nice on the ball, but he does NOTHING to help you get it back, and the players who have both are hard to find and cost fortunes to buy - fortunes.  a team of Messi's with 4 Vermaelen's at the back would get destroyed, absolutely destroyed in the longer term.

I'd also point out that for Yorky it's technical players 'carrying the can', where for me there's maybe some truth in that, but it's also true that we don't have many technical players with great stamina - though we've looked for them (Malouda, Simao, Alves etc). Kuyt and Carra also play week in week out because they are fit week in week out, and seem to be built out of a mixture of titanium and carbon fibre - especially Kuyt. Benayoun isn't, and tiredness makes even the best technician look like Kuyt on a bad day with a crippling hang-over, and also exponentially increases the risk of injuries to a squad that, while on paper I believe is good enough, is undoubtedly thin in places compared to our rivals. So, you could also say that resting/subbing the likes of Benny is also because we NEED them. We simply can't afford to leave Benny on for that last 20 minutes when he's already knackered and then have him snap a hamstring. If what you both said about physicality where the whole truth, Voronin and Riera would play a LOT more than they actually do, and Aurelio a lot less.

But you were both right about the height issue - I still don't dismiss it completely, but it was, well, a pink herring shall we say - leap, aggression etc all come into it (like Torres is a great attacking header but a poor defensive one, where Crouch was a very good defensive header, and Dropba is almost like a Hyppia for them).

One thing that staggers me is Man U - 0 goals conceded from set plays. Now, I know they defend them very well - they always have. Can't fault the arl soak for that, but 0 goals in 9 games? Sorry, but I'm putting my tin foil hat on now. I want to know how many dangerous free kicks they concede compared to other teams - because they certainly aren't any less dirty. I don't buy that stat is down to better defending - that's a refereeing/old trafford issue. Not just that of course - they still defend them well, but even a couple fewer edge of the box/side of the box free kicks a game would make a massive difference to their goals conceded there.
« Last Edit: October 23, 2009, 01:27:53 pm by hesbighesred »
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Offline nocturnalvin

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Re: The (Level 3) Sanctuary
« Reply #8639 on: October 23, 2009, 01:46:05 pm »
HBHR, i think its only fair Rafa, who gets the credit for the surge last season and being so close to the eventual winners, has to get the blame for our horrible start. Its not the fact that we lose, it is that we seemed like cowards who didnt have the guts to give it all. Its all gone full circle, but some of the defence that Rafa's backers, so to speak, have put up is being put on a strain right now. Money, its all the players to blame, Xabi wanted to go, Carra is the only leader etc, is about as convincing as our recent displays.