Topic: Brexit: "Vultus inanis est et mori in fossa ego sum!"

[oldfordie]

Her reinforcing the fears of Labour MPs of a Johnson or Rees-Mogg government tearing the Withdrawal Agreement and/or Political Declaration up is an example of the strategic masterstrokes we've come to expect from her.

o MPs, I would say this: if we are able to negotiate a cross-party agreement, this deal will be a stepping stone to a brighter future, outside the EU, where the UK can determine the road ahead.

This is because no parliament can bind its successor.

Some people would prefer a less close relationship with the EU in the future, while others would prefer a closer relationship.

The key point is, the ultimate decision-maker in everything we do is Parliament. So future parliaments, with a different party balance, will be able to decide whether they want a closer or more distant  relationship with the EU.

Unbelievable. nearly 3 yrs of preaching the will of the people, we must deliver the brexit the people voted for blah blah blah and now shes saying No parliament can bind it's successor, Parliament didn't trigger ART 50 because it believed in Brexit, they triggered it because MPs argued the British people have spoken s,,, May and Corbyn supported those arguments, look where it's taken us, millions believing the people are Sovereign not our Parliament, a new right wing party that will bring anarchy if elected. the people have to have a say on what happens next. any deal without a peoples vote will strengthen Farages position. this will bring uproar but it will also end the Brexit procedure, I doubt if the majority of people in this country would want it to begin again once they know the people voted to stop it.
Our politicians played with fire, they will pay the price politically thats for certain, we should not pay the price economically to cover up their stupidity.

[TepidT2O]

well if Corbyn pushes through a crap Brexit agreement to save the tories then that is my red line crossed and even though i agree with the other policies we have in place i could not support him anymore.

He won’t. Mostly because he can’t.

There is no majority for the customs union.  What he and May seem to be suggesting has already been rejected by the EU

[oldfordie]

He won’t. Mostly because he can’t.

There is no majority for the customs union.  What he and May seem to be suggesting has already been rejected by the EU

I think there was a concern that they may panic and agree to something so we don't have to stand in the MEP elections, that deadline has now passed.


Paul Waugh
‏Verified account @paulwaugh

European Parliament elections now certain, simply cos Withdrawal agreement bill has not been published and no time to clear Commons before May 23. "Realistically we are past that point," Whitehall source says.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1123969740135960577

[Ghost Town]

I think there was a concern that they may panic and agree to something so we don't have to stand in the MEP elections, that deadline has now passed.


Paul Waugh
‏Verified account @paulwaugh

European Parliament elections now certain, simply cos Withdrawal agreement bill has not been published and no time to clear Commons before May 23. "Realistically we are past that point," Whitehall source says.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1123969740135960577

Is that certain? No way they can Everton the admin to get it through without getting it through, and avoid the elections?

Still by agreeing to deal together Labour might yet hope to avoid a kicking from Brexiters in the Euros. But then they might get a kicking from Remainers

[oldfordie]

Is that certain? No way they can Everton the admin to get it through without getting it through, and avoid the elections?

Still by agreeing to deal together Labour might yet hope to avoid a kicking from Brexiters in the Euros. But then they might get a kicking from Remainers

Looks like it according to the people who understand Parliamentary procedure. I don't think May expects to do a deal with Labour, she's trying to force Parliament to back her deal again.
I don't think Labour doing a deal will save them, it will make matters worse, they may save a lot of votes if they come out and publicly demand a referendum. won't win my vote but I can see others voting for them.

[Riquende]

I have just come back from lunch at my parents' house. I've said before that I view my mother as the absolute archetypal 'middle England' voter (she reads the Mail and Express etc) and it really hit home today.

- She thinks 'they' (meaning all MPs) should just back May's deal. When I asked her if she knew anything about the deal, she admitted she didn't. She's just bored of Brexit and thinks the deal is the end of it all.
- She asked a lot of questions about the current state of things "why can't they..." etc, but grew quickly bored when I tried to explain it and kept telling me she wasn't following any of it.
- When I told her the only person that could resolve this right now was May, by revoking A50, she reached for the 'yes but we're a democracy and you can't go against the majority' line.
- She blamed the deal not passing on remainer MPs who want their own way, and didn't know what I was talking about when I said the ERG stalwarts were the main scupperers of the deal and they're the least Remainer of them all!

It wasn't bad-tempered but I did have to point out she brought it up and then didn't want to hear how complicated it all was. She wouldn't accept that the MPs don't have a moral duty to vote through the deal... mothers, eh?

Anyway I did come to a bit of clarity in my own thinking about the stalemate Westminster is in... ultimately that Brexit is unfolding chaos (and will be far more chaotic to come) and, to quote Littlefinger, "Chaos is a ladder". There are loads of smaller factions that could just about hold their nose and vote through a deal of sorts if they get something out of it, but a lot of those goals are incompatible and May isn't really the giving type anyway. And on the other hand, the two main parties are way too scared of pissing off a huge part (up to or even over 50%) of the electorate by taking the blame for the 'bad' of Brexit. And, let's be clear, there is no form of Brexit resolution (including cancelling it) that doesn't have a 'bad' end for lots of people.

Hence both mainstream Labour and Tories can't move in any direction for fear of being the one that can be pointed at the end of the process, and any sort of support that could be forthcoming to help shape a direction isn't, because there's no incentive for smaller groups to stick their head above the parapet.

There's literally no way out of this morass (in any direction) without someone (or more likely several someones) being willing to take an epic electoral hit. And they're all hoping someone else will blink first.

So to summarise, why can't they all just vote for the deal? We're fucked...

[Red Beret]

Looks like it according to the people who understand Parliamentary procedure. I don't think May expects to do a deal with Labour, she's trying to force Parliament to back her deal again.
I don't think Labour doing a deal will save them, it will make matters worse, they may save a lot of votes if they come out and publicly demand a referendum. won't win my vote but I can see others voting for them.

Less about forcing Parliament and more about forcing her own nutjob MPs to back her.  I doubt they would now, regardless of what she put to them, simply because it's her.

As for Labour, they face a kicking from Leavers who don't believe their Labour's Leave credentials, and from Remainers who feel betrayed.  They're fucked either way now.

- She thinks 'they' (meaning all MPs) should just back May's deal. When I asked her if she knew anything about the deal, she admitted she didn't. She's just bored of Brexit and thinks the deal is the end of it all.
- She asked a lot of questions about the current state of things "why can't they..." etc, but grew quickly bored when I tried to explain it and kept telling me she wasn't following any of it.
- When I told her the only person that could resolve this right now was May, by revoking A50, she reached for the 'yes but we're a democracy and you can't go against the majority' line.
- She blamed the deal not passing on remainer MPs who want their own way, and didn't know what I was talking about when I said the ERG stalwarts were the main scupperers of the deal and they're the least Remainer of them all!

It wasn't bad-tempered but I did have to point out she brought it up and then didn't want to hear how complicated it all was. She wouldn't accept that the MPs don't have a moral duty to vote through the deal... mothers, eh?

See this is a big problem.  Don't know how your mum voted, but multiply that attitude by, say, 17 million.  Why should we respect the majority vote when so many clearly not only don't understand the issues, they have no interest in learning about them?  What's to respect about an ignorant vote?

[oldfordie]

I have just come back from lunch at my parents' house. I've said before that I view my mother as the absolute archetypal 'middle England' voter (she reads the Mail and Express etc) and it really hit home today.

- She thinks 'they' (meaning all MPs) should just back May's deal. When I asked her if she knew anything about the deal, she admitted she didn't. She's just bored of Brexit and thinks the deal is the end of it all.
- She asked a lot of questions about the current state of things "why can't they..." etc, but grew quickly bored when I tried to explain it and kept telling me she wasn't following any of it.
- When I told her the only person that could resolve this right now was May, by revoking A50, she reached for the 'yes but we're a democracy and you can't go against the majority' line.
- She blamed the deal not passing on remainer MPs who want their own way, and didn't know what I was talking about when I said the ERG stalwarts were the main scupperers of the deal and they're the least Remainer of them all!

It wasn't bad-tempered but I did have to point out she brought it up and then didn't want to hear how complicated it all was. She wouldn't accept that the MPs don't have a moral duty to vote through the deal... mothers, eh?

Anyway I did come to a bit of clarity in my own thinking about the stalemate Westminster is in... ultimately that Brexit is unfolding chaos (and will be far more chaotic to come) and, to quote Littlefinger, "Chaos is a ladder". There are loads of smaller factions that could just about hold their nose and vote through a deal of sorts if they get something out of it, but a lot of those goals are incompatible and May isn't really the giving type anyway. And on the other hand, the two main parties are way too scared of pissing off a huge part (up to or even over 50%) of the electorate by taking the blame for the 'bad' of Brexit. And, let's be clear, there is no form of Brexit resolution (including cancelling it) that doesn't have a 'bad' end for lots of people.

Hence both mainstream Labour and Tories can't move in any direction for fear of being the one that can be pointed at the end of the process, and any sort of support that could be forthcoming to help shape a direction isn't, because there's no incentive for smaller groups to stick their head above the parapet.

There's literally no way out of this morass (in any direction) without someone (or more likely several someones) being willing to take an epic electoral hit. And they're all hoping someone else will blink first.

So to summarise, why can't they all just vote for the deal? We're fucked...

They have no idea on what's coming. ignorance is bliss. I think this is the message that has to be hammered home before it's too late.
The unemployed and low wage earners who voted for Brexit have been taken for fools, the pensioners who think Brexit won't hurt them because they got through the crash of 2008 ok have been taken for fools, these are the most vulnerable people when it comes to the hurt Brexit will bring and the tragedy is nobody will be able to do anything about it unless we go back to the EU and beg them to help us.
 We walk away from the EU and prices of all imported goods in the shops will rise by 10%-40%.
Thats a tax on all imported goods from every country in the world not just the EU.
New trade deals to stop these taxes will take years.
They may not understand the effect of loosing frictionless trading or services but am pretty sure everyone understands what the effect of price rise over night in the shops means.
The same applies to our exports, prices of UK goods in shops around the world will rise by 10%-40%, employers will not be able to afford wage rises as they will be unable to compete abroad due to these added taxes on their goods.

[Yosser0_0]

Snip

During the referendum there was a quote from, of all people Noel Gallagher which actually seems to be quite profound now "What are you asking the people for? 99 percent of the people are thick as pig shit".

I'm fed up with pussy footing around with my parents and the bullshit they read, I've started calling them racists, facists and selfish for not putting their kids and grandkids before themselves. Its upset them, but also made them think about it properly - good.

[Zeb]

Interesting analysis. John Crace too, puzzled by many elements of what looks like a fudge dressed up as a ‘solution’.

What none of the political commentators seem prepared to make explicit, which surprises me, is that Corbyn isn’t calling the shots - it’s blatantly obvious it’s Milne and Murray.

The negotiation part is really weird. I agree with you on who this 'agreement' would appeal to, would say though that Starmer's team are coming out publicly and daring Corbyn to sack them and renege on the pledges over a second referendum which prevented more splitting away.

eg Pennycock, Shadow Brexit Minister, this morning on twitter: "As I said from the despatch box on 9 April, given where we now are there is a clear requirement to seek “public approval for any agreement that might emerge at this late hour by means of a confirmatory referendum”."

All seems a bit like everyone lining up their excuses for walking away from talks to me, rather than Corbyn and Milne risking 'the movement' over Brexit.

[Red Beret]

All seems a bit like everyone lining up their excuses for walking away from talks to me, rather than Corbyn and Milne risking 'the movement' over Brexit.

That's the rub.  Not doing it, not because it's in the best interests of the country or voters, but simply to protect "the movement".  Pure self interest.

Doing the right thing for the wrong reasons rarely works in the long run.  It will get us some breathing space but it wont save Labour because soon enough they'll move onto the next debacle.

[Zeb]

Last day to register for the European elections. EU citizens in Britain, apparently, have a bit of a faff with an extra form to do. Best for Britain (pro-Remain group - their CEO is on Remainiacs podcast all the time) has done a way to register where they do the forms for you if you've not got round to registering yet or aren't sure whether you are: https://getvoting.org/#/

[Danny Boys Dad]

Last day to register for the European elections. EU citizens in Britain, apparently, have a bit of a faff with an extra form to do. Best for Britain (pro-Remain group - their CEO is on Remainiacs podcast all the time) has done a way to register where they do the forms for you if you've not got round to registering yet or aren't sure whether you are: https://getvoting.org/#/

I think there's been a problem with that, best to do it directly with the Council.

[Yosser0_0]

Interesting piece from Matthew d’Ancona in the Guardian who doesn't see anyway that a Corbyn / May deal can work.

Convinced this stitch-up can end the Brexit ordeal? Think again
- Matthew d’Ancona

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/06/stitch-up-brexit-theresa-may-jeremy-corbyn

[Jiminy Cricket]

Interesting piece from Matthew d’Ancona in the Guardian who doesn't see anyway that a Corbyn / May deal can work.

Convinced this stitch-up can end the Brexit ordeal? Think again
- Matthew d’Ancona

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/06/stitch-up-brexit-theresa-may-jeremy-corbyn

Matthew d’Ancona might well be correct about the outcome of a Commons vote on such a deal; this does not, however, preclude Corbyn and May from attempting just such a stitch-up. After all, this is exactly what they are attempting to hammer out right now. Surely just the attempt will be the final nail in the coffin of their leaderships (and parties). It could be a positive thing, where it is the final straw to force far more Labour voters to look elsewhere to prevent Brexit.

[Kekule]

At his press conference Frottage just said the Brexit Party will not be publishing any policies until after the European elections. During the campaign they will be focusing on "democracy".

What, exactly, is democratic about saying "vote for us and we'll decide what your vote means later"? 

A sizeable percentage will fall for it, again. No one called him out on it, either. 

[Red-Soldier]

Their voters will not care less.

They just want us out!!!

[Jshooters]

At his press conference Frottage just said the Brexit Party will not be publishing any policies until after the European elections. During the campaign they will be focusing on "democracy".

What, exactly, is democratic about saying "vote for us and we'll decide what your vote means later"? 

A sizeable percentage will fall for it, again. No one called him out on it, either. 

He also said that should the Brexit Party 'win' the EU elections (whatever that means) then they will demand to be on the team responsible for negotiating with the EU.  But their position is a WTO Brexit.  Which is a no-deal Brexit.  Which literally doesn't require ANY negotiation   

[Lush is the best medicine...]

He also said that should the Brexit Party 'win' the EU elections (whatever that means) then they will demand to be on the team responsible for negotiating with the EU.  But their position is a WTO Brexit.  Which is a no-deal Brexit.  Which literally doesn't require ANY negotiation   

so they’re getting 50% of the votes for this to happen, or will it be a coalition with their fellow Brexit parties like UKIP/Tory/labour

[Zeb]

I think there's been a problem with that, best to do it directly with the Council.

Thanks Danny, yeah, they seem to have replaced it with links to what to do and government sites now.

[jepovic]

Rob Ford, at Manchester University - he's literally written the book on Kippers (well a lot of papers heh), has been posting since I wrote that.

"The deadlock makes people angry. The only possible solutions to the deadlock make people angry. Great news for populists like Frottage. Bad news for everyone else.

One problem for the main parties is that doing a compromise deal probably won’t move the agenda on from Brexit but not doing a deal definitely won’t.

Another problem is that if Frottage follows through and stands Brexit party candidates everywhere in the next GE there’s a strong chance that the underlying demographic and identity divides revealed by Brexit will continue to drive many voters choices whatever actually happens.

A third problem is that a Brexit deal may lead strong Remainers to split off too (though who they go to is an open Q for now). But the only viable way to given them what they want - another referendum - is also v likely to intensify Brexit polarisation.

Doing nothing on Brexit makes things worse. But the only viable options - deal or 2nd ref - also make things worse. Quite a pickle."

Revoking Article 50 only ends the immediate legislative process, not the political one and it's the political one which has left us with a zombie government and the prospect of, at best, a weak coalition government based on whether Labour will acquiesce to whatever the SNP want. Does that make it go away? Maybe Corbyn's Labour coming into power as part of a coalition would shut it out for a bit? That's the Owen Jones theory of it, just not convinced.

This argumentation is strange.  Those options have enormously different real world consequences, which will be felt for decades. That should be guiding the decision.
Second, I think many experts underestimate how quickly an issue can fall off the agenda. People are sick of brexit. Remember Iraq? Coal mines? Whatever the decision is, there will be massive complaints and then people will move on. I really doubt Frottage will do well in a GE on a pure brexit agenda.

[Zeb]

This argumentation is strange.  Those options have enormously different real world consequences, which will be felt for decades. That should be guiding the decision.
Second, I think many experts underestimate how quickly an issue can fall off the agenda. People are sick of brexit. Remember Iraq? Coal mines? Whatever the decision is, there will be massive complaints and then people will move on. I really doubt Frottage will do well in a GE on a pure brexit agenda.

Not sure the argumentation is strange solely because one wishes to view things more optimistically. What you're saying there is perfectly plausible, heard it and read it myself from several on the Corbynite left - who themselves are famous for having forgotten about Iraq and the coal mines. However, the case Ford, and others, are making is that the divisions aren't new things but Brexit is accelerating something already there and which tears at the voter coalitions which formed our traditional political parties.

[BoRed]

Corbyn: "perhaps May should take tips form Jurgen Klopp on getting a good result in Europe"

[Devon Red]

Corbyn: "perhaps May should take tips form Jurgen Klopp on getting a good result in Europe"

Perhaps Corbyn should take tips from Jurgen Klopp and call unequivocally for a People's Vote.

[ShakaHislop]

Government was warned about Brexit ferry payouts

The government was warned last year that it would face a bill of up to £20m if sued over the procurement of no-deal Brexit ferry services, the National Audit Office has revealed.

It said the Department for Transport's (DfT) accounting officer thought there was a "high likelihood" of a challenge over the contracts with Brittany Ferries, DFDS and Seaborne Freight.

She also warned Eurotunnel could sue.

In March, the DfT agreed to a £33m settlement with the firm.

In response to the National Audit Office's (NAO) report, the government said it had "carefully considered the legal risk at all stages of the procurement".

The Eurotunnel case was brought after the government handed out three contracts worth more than £100m in total to Brittany Ferries, DFDS, and Seaborne Freight in December.

These were to provide additional freight capacity on ferry services between Britain and mainland Europe in the event that a no-deal Brexit led to disruption at UK ports.

The awards were not subject to a full public procurement process, which the DfT said was justified by "reasons of extreme urgency brought about by events unforeseen by the contracting authority".

However, Eurotunnel challenged the government's handling of the spend, and began legal proceedings in January, seeking up to £80m in damages.

It claimed it had never been approached as a potential provider, despite having previously run a ferry service.

The Transport Secretary Chris Grayling previously called the company's decision to take legal action "disappointing".

The NAO report reveals that Mr Grayling's department was advised that while a procurement challenge was probable and "likely to be successful", any trial was unlikely to occur before the 29 March, the day Britain was scheduled to leave the EU.

It was also advised any disputes over the contracts would probably end in a payout of up to £20m.

In the event, Eurotunnel's case was expedited, forcing the DfT to pay out to protect its contracts for the delivery critical supplies in the event of a no-deal.

All three ferry contracts have since been terminated.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48208121

[ShakaHislop]

Commitment to leave EU confirmed in Labour party manifesto and at party conference says @jeremycorbyn

https://twitter.com/BBCNormanS/status/1126431063574818818

Over 17 million people voted to leave the European Union. As democratic socialists, we cannot ignore that.

We voted to trigger Article 50 in 2017 and promised to respect the referendum in our general election manifesto and again at our party conference last year.

Labour will never be the party of the 52 per cent or of the 48 per cent.

https://labour.org.uk/press/jeremy-corbyn-launches-labours-eu-election-campaign/

Labour will continue to oppose the Government’s bad deal or a disastrous no deal. And if we can’t get agreement along the lines of our alternative plan, or a general election, Labour backs the option of a public vote

https://labour.org.uk/manifesto/transforming-britain-and-europe/

So as anyone who's been paying attention/isn't deluding themselves already assumed, there will be no public vote if Labour bails out the Tories with a cross-party deal.

[Zeb]

So as anyone who's been paying attention/isn't deluding themselves already assumed, there will be no public vote if Labour bails out the Tories with a cross-party deal.

And there will be no cross-party deal capable of passing through Parliament. It's the "backs the option of a public vote" which has really pissed off friends who are still members though.

[Red-Soldier]

It's a defacto public vote, as the other two options (Brexit deal or GE) will not happen.

[Devon Red]

It's a defacto public vote, as the other two options (Brexit deal or GE) will not happen.

Which makes it all the more cowardly that they can't just admit it. It also ensures that votes for Labour in the EU election will be counted as votes for Brexit. 'A new kind of politics' my arse. They didn't even put anyone up to be interviewed on the BBC on the day that they launched their manifesto! Although to be fair the others haven't done much better; the Tories might not even have a campaign at all, the Brexit party is going to release its manifesto after the election and won't reveal where its funding comes from, and Change UK can't even design a logo or maintain a twitter account. The only party who seem to have their messaging sorted are the Lib Dems who are campaigning with the slogan 'bollocks to brexit'. That's got my vote.

[Red-Soldier]

I'm not defending it, just saying it for what it is.

Deliberate ambiguity is not going to continue to work for them I don't think.

The Lib Dems and The Greens are only two choices as far as I'm concerned.

[Zeb]

Small point I'd make is that there is not, and will never be (as things are), a point where either Labour's 'alternative plan' or wanting a General Election will not be foremost in what Labour are doing. Tories in power? Want a general election. Win a general election? Labour's alternative plan. Heads, I win. Tails, you lose.

[BobOnATank]

Which makes it all the more cowardly that they can't just admit it. It also ensures that votes for Labour in the EU election will be counted as votes for Brexit. 'A new kind of politics' my arse. They didn't even put anyone up to be interviewed on the BBC on the day that they launched their manifesto! Although to be fair the others haven't done much better; the Tories might not even have a campaign at all, the Brexit party is going to release its manifesto after the election and won't reveal where its funding comes from, and Change UK can't even design a logo or maintain a twitter account. The only party who seem to have their messaging sorted are the Lib Dems who are campaigning with the slogan 'bollocks to brexit'. That's got my vote.

But, but, but apparently something happened 15 years ago (or whatever - no a war was part of it) and the lib dems (even though the whole of society, jobs, future for your kids etc... matters), well we are not sure if a vote for them can be trusted, cause "everyone" is afraid of the tories….

Personally I think you made the right decision, fair play.

[Mutton Geoff]

Small point I'd make is that there is not, and will never be (as things are), a point where either Labour's 'alternative plan' or wanting a General Election will not be foremost in what Labour are doing. Tories in power? Want a general election. Win a general election? Labour's alternative plan. Heads, I win. Tails, you lose.

Totally correct and as things are pushing for a GE has to be upmost in their minds.

Whilst we havent got one yet though it does create some fog over the rest of the strategy and leads to this sitting on the fence charge

[clinical]

Lib dems or Green for me now. Only ones with any common sense. Labour have lost a voter, well to be honest was a while ago.

[ShakaHislop]

I take it the cross-party talks won't be ending this week, as journalists were predicting at the beginning of the week? They will drag on for another week at least achieving absolutely nothing.

EDIT: Starmer comes across as impatient with the talks in this video

https://twitter.com/kevin_larkin/status/1126519493423980544

[Zeb]

I take it the cross-party talks won't be ending this week, as journalists were predicting at the beginning of the week? They will drag on for another week at least achieving absolutely nothing.

EDIT: Starmer comes across as impatient with the talks in this video

https://twitter.com/kevin_larkin/status/1126519493423980544

Side effect of Labour leadership team being stung by criticism of their 'never talk to Tories' policy and switching the full other way. Drag on til after the Europeans before being put out of their misery? Only thing which would change that is May taking something to Parliament but that's looking less and less likely before then too (purdah kicks in for major projects, doesn't it?).

eg. from guidance for the civil service for these elections. (pdf)

Similarly, national announcements by the UK Government may have a particular impact on
European issues, for example, the publication of policy statements which have a specific
European dimension. Ministers will wish to be aware of the potential sensitivities in this
regard and might decide, on advice, to postpone making certain announcements until after the
elections. Obviously, this needs to be balanced carefully against any implication that deferral
itself could influence the political outcome and the need to continue essential business. Each
case should be considered on its merits. Again, in cases of doubt, further advice should be
sought.

[Lush is the best medicine...]

Perhaps Corbyn should take tips from Jurgen Klopp and call unequivocally for a People's Vote.

Boom!

[CornerFlag]

Labour will never be the party of the 52 per cent or of the 48 per cent.

No shit.

[Zeb]

Generational thing?

edit: Just to be clear, this is polling for a General Election - Cornerflag's posted the European election one on the thread for that.

Opinium, 8th May. Changes with 23rd April.

LAB  28 (-5)
CON  22 (-4)
BREX  21 (+4)
LD  11 (+5)
UKIP  4 (-)
CHUK  4 (-)
GRN  6 (+2)

Last time the combined Tory and Labour vote share polled below 50% for Westminster was December 1981. Peak SDP/Liberals at 50%+ with Tories and Labour both in the low 20s.

One thing which still seems very unclear is how anyone gets anything through parliament without splitting one or both of the main parties further.

[killer-heels]

So are 75% of those voters pro Brexit then? If of course Labour is a Brexit party as stated.