Author Topic: Ante-post / Long-term Football betting 2019/20 Season (Read 5888 times)

Phil M · « **on:** July 3, 2019, 04:34:14 pm »

A month away from the start of the new footy season, thought it would be worthwhile opening another one of these for anyone interested.

Ante-post / long term accas are seriously underrated and utilised in my opinion.
I'll be having a go at a few having come close to a big payout last season but for Leeds and Salford to let me down in the end.
But best advice is to wait until the midway point around December as by then it's easier to see the trends and who is likely to be in contention. There is still plenty of value at that point also
unless we're talking PSG being 15-20 clear and a 1/10 shot which you would't be touching anyway.

1st matchday dates:

Premier League: Aug 9th
Championship: Aug 2nd
League 1: Aug 3rd
League 2: Aug 3rd
National League: Aug 3rd
SPL: Aug 3rd

Selected Euro leagues:

Ligue 1: Aug 10th
Primeira Liga: Aug 10th
Bundesliga: Aug 16th
La Liga: Aug 18th
Serie A: Aug 24th

A few to note from the PL:

Salah is 7/1 (Hills) for the Golden Boot
Without the top 6 in the PL: (365) Leicester (5/1) Watford 14/1 catch the eye for me. Wolves are 7/2
To finish outside the top 4: Manchester United @ 4/6 (Skybet)
Team to score the least goals: Brighton @ 8/1 Skybet

Suarez325 · « **Reply #1 on:** July 7, 2019, 09:29:14 am »

Have had a few quid on Leicester to make top 4 this season. They were performing well towards end of season and are making some decent signings. Arsenal, Chelsea and United all look vulnerable so at 25/1 I thought was worth a shot.

Yozza1 · « **Reply #2 on:** July 7, 2019, 10:08:35 am »

Mitrovic at 10/1 for the championship golden boot is a cracking price, ripped it up down there last season and 1 of the very few Fulham players to come out with any credit from their campaign last season. All providing he stays of course

Suarez325 · « **Reply #3 on:** July 7, 2019, 10:19:47 am »

Yeah that’s a nice price if he stays. The Reds are 66/1 to go unbeaten with b365. Big ask but we only lost one last season.

Suarez325 · « **Reply #4 on:** July 7, 2019, 10:21:04 am »

Sorry 50/1 now

kesey · « **Reply #5 on:** July 10, 2019, 11:40:50 am »

Thinking of doing an EW treble .

Leeds
Sunderland
Bradford

239/1

kesey · « **Reply #6 on:** July 10, 2019, 11:41:56 am »

Totally agree about placing bets mid season.

Phil M · « **Reply #7 on:** July 10, 2019, 11:57:37 am »

Quote from: kesey on July 10, 2019, 11:41:56 am

Totally agree about placing bets mid season.

Nice one Kesey. Yeah I mean it's good to get the early prices but your bet could be dead by November if a certain team struggles.

Especially with the likes of the Championship and L1/L2 it's better to let the tables form a pattern and see who is strong.

Phil M · « **Reply #8 on:** July 10, 2019, 03:14:45 pm »

Quote from: Suarez325 on July 7, 2019, 09:29:14 am

Have had a few quid on Leicester to make top 4 this season. They were performing well towards end of season and are making some decent signings. Arsenal, Chelsea and United all look vulnerable so at 25/1 I thought was worth a shot.

Bit ambitious I'd say mate. Rodgers is a good coach but you'd be talking about them making up a 16 point gap. They lost 16 games last season. If Maguire goes and they get megabucks then you'd expect them to strengthen that squad but top 4 would be a massive ask. Chelsea may drop away but City/Liverpool top 2 then Spurs followed by Arsenal/Mancs and Wolves/Everton/Leicester/Watford/West Ham maybe unless one of the promoted sides is impressive will battle it our for that 5th-8th area of the table I'd expect anyway.

Saying that, look at Leicester in the Top 6 market if you fancy them, might be the safer play.

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #9 on:** July 10, 2019, 03:42:59 pm »

City 90+ points 6/5
City & Liverpool to go unbeaten at home in the PL 16/1

Will get on some Sky Bet request-a-bets next week while chilling by the pool. Staked about £50 last July on them and won about £500. Think it'll be harder to call this season though.

Phil M · « **Reply #10 on:** July 10, 2019, 04:02:11 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 10, 2019, 03:42:59 pm

City 90+ points 6/5
City & Liverpool to go unbeaten at home in the PL 16/1

Will get on some Sky Bet request-a-bets next week while chilling by the pool. Staked about £50 last July on them and won about £500. Think it'll be harder to call this season though.

Skybet have almost 60 outright markets on the PL alone, mad stuff!

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #11 on:** July 10, 2019, 05:59:54 pm »

Quote from: Phil M on July 10, 2019, 04:02:11 pm

Skybet have almost 60 outright markets on the PL alone, mad stuff!

Indeed mate, always likely to be a few which are good value. They're a bit of fun too.

Leicester without the Big Six at 5/1 on b365 looks good, could double it up with something from another league. Maybe worth seeing if this Diego Costa/Wolves link has any legs though.

Crouch Potato · « **Reply #12 on:** July 10, 2019, 06:05:26 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 10, 2019, 05:59:54 pm

Indeed mate, always likely to be a few which are good value. They're a bit of fun too.

Leicester without the Big Six at 5/1 on b365 looks good, could double it up with something from another league. Maybe worth seeing if this Diego Costa/Wolves link has any legs though.

Yeah, if u search through em all you can usually find some value, i won just over £500 on one last season, and will be ploughing through em all in a week or so to look for value at 10/1 or more.

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #13 on:** July 10, 2019, 06:10:48 pm »

You can request your own on Twitter as well. I did one yesterday and they had a price for me within an hour.

kesey · « **Reply #14 on:** July 10, 2019, 09:56:56 pm »

Quote from: Phil M on July 10, 2019, 11:57:37 am

Nice one Kesey. Yeah I mean it's good to get the early prices but your bet could be dead by November if a certain team struggles.

Especially with the likes of the Championship and L1/L2 it's better to let the tables form a pattern and see who is strong.

Usually put on a new one every week come mid season.

I seen one in the bookies before. I think it was City , Leeds , Salford and Sunderland all to finish in the top two.

33/1

Gonna have a fiver on that before the season starts. Not saying its a cert but City are nailed on top two and I think Leeds and Sunderland are favs and perhaps Salford second favs.

kesey · « **Reply #15 on:** July 10, 2019, 09:59:18 pm »

Billy Hills.

Phil M · « **Reply #16 on:** July 11, 2019, 04:10:33 pm »

Quote from: kesey on July 10, 2019, 09:56:56 pm

Usually put on a new one every week come mid season.

I seen one in the bookies before. I think it was City , Leeds , Salford and Sunderland all to finish in the top two.

33/1

Gonna have a fiver on that before the season starts. Not saying its a cert but City are nailed on top two and I think Leeds and Sunderland are favs and perhaps Salford second favs.

Might be a big ask for Salford having just gone up mate. Are they supposed to be spending this summer?

kesey · « **Reply #17 on:** July 11, 2019, 10:54:54 pm »

Quote from: Phil M on July 11, 2019, 04:10:33 pm

Might be a big ask for Salford having just gone up mate. Are they supposed to be spending this summer?

I was thinking the same . The other I think are favs for their leagues . Still having a fiver on it . Absolutely no idea if they are splashing out this summer.

* Coughs *

Will have a peep on Redcaf as there is a thread about them. Mancs have their purposes.

kesey · « **Reply #18 on:** July 11, 2019, 11:03:22 pm »

They are buying it seems.

http://www.redcafe.net/threads/the-non-league-teams-thread-fcuom-salford-city-etc.439520/page-4

Cant seem to cut and paste the next one but they are deffo buying. Google Salford City transfermarketor transfers.

gjr1 · « **Reply #19 on:** July 12, 2019, 10:24:18 am »

That 6/5 on city over 90 looks tasty... not that I’ll commit so early.

I think Wolves are the team to watch this year. Will need to see there europa league start but I fancy them for 5th at least

dudleyred · « **Reply #20 on:** July 12, 2019, 10:34:46 am »

Quote from: gjr1 on July 12, 2019, 10:24:18 am

That 6/5 on city over 90 looks tasty... not that I’ll commit so early.

I think Wolves are the team to watch this year. Will need to see there europa league start but I fancy them for 5th at least

Problem for them is Europa league

A good start in that indicates quality but then kills them getting through

It’s such an odd competition as you bust a gut to get in and then being in does you over

kesey · « **Reply #21 on:** July 13, 2019, 04:14:14 pm »

Quote from: Phil M on July 11, 2019, 04:10:33 pm

Might be a big ask for Salford having just gone up mate. Are they supposed to be spending this summer?

Asked about this last night and it was only on for a day. Watch it come in.

Phil M · « **Reply #22 on:** July 13, 2019, 07:29:38 pm »

Quote from: kesey on July 13, 2019, 04:14:14 pm

Asked about this last night and it was only on for a day. Watch it come in.

How do you mean mate?

kesey · « **Reply #23 on:** July 14, 2019, 10:56:09 am »

Quote from: Phil M on July 13, 2019, 07:29:38 pm

How do you mean mate?

Everyday the have specials on . She said it was just on for that day.

kesey · « **Reply #24 on:** July 14, 2019, 10:57:12 am »

On 365 all the said teams EW is better value anyway.

Phil M · « **Reply #25 on:** July 14, 2019, 12:04:45 pm »

Quote from: kesey on July 14, 2019, 10:57:12 am

On 365 all the said teams EW is better value anyway.

I *think* that backing e/w can limit cash out options when doing a long term acca with some firms. Something to consider.

kesey · « **Reply #26 on:** July 14, 2019, 02:54:27 pm »

Quote from: Phil M on July 14, 2019, 12:04:45 pm

I *think* that backing e/w can limit cash out options when doing a long term acca with some firms. Something to consider.

Its 365 /1 EW on 365 . Its a sign.

Done loads last season and the cash out option on 365 was available.

Phil M · « **Reply #27 on:** July 14, 2019, 04:32:48 pm »

Quote from: kesey on July 14, 2019, 02:54:27 pm

Its 365 /1 EW on 365 . Its a sign.

Done loads last season and the cash out option on 365 was available.

Sound then mate.

kesey · « **Reply #28 on:** July 14, 2019, 11:50:03 pm »

First one done.

Fulham
Sunderland
Salford

EW ( First three places ) .

Pays £941 off a fiver EW stake. If they all just finish in the top three then it's a quarter of the winnings.

That's the first one done anyway.

kesey · « **Reply #29 on:** July 14, 2019, 11:52:22 pm »

What do you think of Real Madrid at 11/8 ?

New signings and all that.

Yozza1 · « **Reply #30 on:** July 15, 2019, 01:33:44 pm »

Will throw my 2 pence worth in.

Carlisle to be relegated from League 2 - 16/1
At this time of writing they're yet to even have a striker in their first team. Squad has been depleted, lost by far and out their best player in Jamie Devitt. Could be some value in backing at that high price

Plymouth Argyle to win League 2 - 10/1
Ryan Lowe comes in to manage these from Bury and brings with him 4 players who perfomed well in gaining promotion from this league last season. The best player in the division will ply his trade in their green shirts in Danny Mayor (shocked to see him not playing higher up), Mcfadzean comes in also and will be solid all season at the back.

Will update with a few more closer to the start of the season.

Phil M · « **Reply #31 on:** July 15, 2019, 03:41:24 pm »

Cheers Yozza

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #32 on:** July 22, 2019, 03:44:48 pm »

Quote from: Clayton Bigsby on June 26, 2019, 08:10:10 am

One to keep an eye on, Silva POTY. His last season at City, he might get a Giggs type bounce if he is playing reasonably well as City will obviously be there or there abouts.

20/1 on b365.

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #33 on:** July 25, 2019, 04:29:23 pm »

Mitrovic & Salah top goalscorer makes a tasty looking 41/1 double.

Phil M · « **Reply #34 on:** July 25, 2019, 04:36:45 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 25, 2019, 04:29:23 pm

Mitrovic & Salah top goalscorer makes a tasty looking 41/1 double.

I think 6/1 is quite measly for Mitrovic all the same. Roofe, Maupay or McBurnie even are better value picks imo.

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #35 on:** July 25, 2019, 04:54:48 pm »

Quote from: Phil M on July 25, 2019, 04:36:45 pm

I think 6/1 is quite measly for Mitrovic all the same. Roofe, Maupay or McBurnie even are better value picks imo.

Thing is I reckon Maupay and McBurnie might leave and I'm not sure Roofe has 20+ in him.

Maybe Sam Vokes at 25/1 might be a good e/w shout?

Phil M · « **Reply #36 on:** July 25, 2019, 05:51:52 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 25, 2019, 04:54:48 pm

Thing is I reckon Maupay and McBurnie might leave and I'm not sure Roofe has 20+ in him.

Maybe Sam Vokes at 25/1 might be a good e/w shout?

The only thing with Mitrovic though is I think he has yet to score more than 15 league goals in a season since he came to England.

LFCStephen · « **Reply #37 on:** July 26, 2019, 05:48:17 pm »

Over 4.5 Corners in every premier league game 250/1

Paddy power special.

No I haven’t done research, but most games will have 5 or more, worth 5er

Crouch Potato · « **Reply #38 on:** July 29, 2019, 02:12:30 am »

For anyone who buys the Racing Post for the Big Kick-Off, for info on which teams suck etc. They are publishing the pull-out in today's issue, (normally it's been on the Wednesday of the week leading up to the start of the season).

Phil M · « **Reply #39 on:** July 29, 2019, 12:30:55 pm »

Quote from: Crouch Potato on July 29, 2019, 02:12:30 am

For anyone who buys the Racing Post for the Big Kick-Off, for info on which teams suck etc. They are publishing the pull-out in today's issue, (normally it's been on the Wednesday of the week leading up to the start of the season).

Thanks for the heads up mate.