Author Topic: Results Comparison Thread 2023/4 (Read 20202 times)

Gus 1855 · « **Reply #120 on:** November 22, 2023, 04:28:46 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on November 17, 2023, 04:03:19 pm

League Table Predictor from 4-4-2

Reckon that's a bit off to be honest, I don't think City are such strong favourites.

JP-65 · « **Reply #121 on:** November 27, 2023, 01:21:06 pm »

Match 13 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #122 on:** November 27, 2023, 01:23:44 pm »

The rest:

Note that United have only played 4 of the top 9, and have lost all 4!
As Spurs have slipped as they start to play some of the better teams, I'd expect United to do same

JP-65 · « **Reply #123 on:** November 27, 2023, 01:28:10 pm »

It seems to me, at the moment, that 85-87 points will win the title this season.

Someone could get hot, but it looks like all the teams have flaws at the moment, that'll prevent a 90 point total.

Crosby Nick · « **Reply #124 on:** November 27, 2023, 02:58:48 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on November 27, 2023, 01:28:10 pm

It seems to me, at the moment, that 85-87 points will win the title this season.

Someone could get hot, but it looks like all the teams have flaws at the moment, that'll prevent a 90 point total.

Call that 60 points from 25 games then? Would get us to 88. Something like 19 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats (or less realistically 20-0-5 or 18-6-1).

Would need a longish winning run in there, certainly needs a string of away wins back to back. Jury still out but still possible.

JP-65 · « **Reply #125 on:** November 27, 2023, 03:27:42 pm »

Quote from: Crosby Nick 128 on November 27, 2023, 02:58:48 pm

Call that 60 points from 25 games then? Would get us to 88. Something like 19 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats (or less realistically 20-0-5 or 18-6-1).

Would need a longish winning run in there, certainly needs a string of away wins back to back. Jury still out but still possible.

I think the league is more competitive now at the top, there's 8-9 teams of real quality (presuming Chelsea get their act together, the squad is capable)....just look at the goals for, there are 7 teams scoring goals at a decent clip!

Offsetting this a bit is there are 3-4 teams that are very poor.

Just don't think that anyone's going to go @ 2.4-2.5 ppg clip for the 25 remaining matches, so a little less around 2.3 ppg may get you there

suede lady · « **Reply #126 on:** November 28, 2023, 07:12:45 am »

We are having to many draws at the moment - though only the draw against Luton was a really bad result. Chelsea and Brighton are difficult away games where we could be pleased with a point (not regarding how the games panned out, but before) and we definitely should be happy with the point at the Eithad.

Still, we have got only 4 away games at the top 10 left. A point each in these games (preferably a three pointer in there as well) and winning 7 out of 8 of our games against the bottom 10 gives us an extra 25 points. Say two draws and one loss against the top 10 at home, win the rest of the home games – an extra 32 points.

That would give us a total of 85 points. Doable but unrealistic I feel. I guess it boils down to how many other teams can take points of our direct rivals – and if we can beat them at Anfield.

BobPaisley3 · « **Reply #127 on:** November 28, 2023, 10:46:41 pm »

Next 3 aways have to be 9 points really; Sheffield United, palace and Burnley.

JP-65 · « **Reply #128 on:** December 1, 2023, 01:57:43 pm »

Match 14 last season, for LFC, was a WIN

Fulham HOME last season was a WIN

RooiBefok · « **Reply #129 on:** December 2, 2023, 06:32:08 am »

Quote from: JP-65 on November 27, 2023, 01:21:06 pm

Match 13 update:

Incorrect.

Our Equivalent Fixture To Date totals 4 and not 5.

BassTunedToRed · « **Reply #130 on:** December 4, 2023, 09:59:38 am »

It was a big weekend in corresponding fixtures land, as Arsenal moved to the top of the table.

JP-65 · « **Reply #131 on:** December 4, 2023, 11:59:28 am »

Quote from: RooiBefok on December 2, 2023, 06:32:08 am

Incorrect.

Our Equivalent Fixture To Date totals 4 and not 5.

Thnx

JP-65 · « **Reply #132 on:** December 4, 2023, 12:02:51 pm »

Match 14 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #133 on:** December 4, 2023, 12:03:48 pm »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #134 on:** December 4, 2023, 12:30:53 pm »

Shots outside the box this season, a fair bit more than anyone else, Spurs 2nd in the PL

JP-65 · « **Reply #135 on:** December 8, 2023, 11:38:26 am »

Match 15 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #136 on:** December 8, 2023, 11:41:54 am »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #137 on:** December 8, 2023, 11:55:04 am »

Looking at the Season To Go, 58 points is the max anyone has gone for the last 23 matches.

City & LFC did it in 2021/2 on the way to 93 & 92 point seasons.
LFC 19/20 season of 99 points, it was 56 for the last 23
City 18/19 season of 98 points, it was 57
LFC 18/19 season of 97 points, it was 58
City 17/18 season of 100 points, it was 57

So, even if 85 points wins the title this season, it excludes anyone outside of the current top 4.

JP-65 · « **Reply #138 on:** December 11, 2023, 12:04:10 pm »

Match 16 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #139 on:** December 11, 2023, 12:05:10 pm »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #140 on:** December 11, 2023, 12:09:41 pm »

I am away in Spain for a few weeks, so won't be able to do any updates during this time.

For time, next 3 fixtures are LOSS, LOSS & DRAW

For equivalent match, Man U @ home was a WIN, Arsenal @ home was a DRAW, Burnley away was a WIN

BassTunedToRed · « **Reply #141 on:** December 11, 2023, 12:51:14 pm »

Quote from: JP-65 on December 11, 2023, 12:09:41 pm

I am away in Spain for a few weeks, so won't be able to do any updates during this time.

For time, next 3 fixtures are LOSS, LOSS & DRAW

For equivalent match, Man U @ home was a WIN, Arsenal @ home was a DRAW, Burnley away was a WIN

Have a good trip, mate, I'll post some stuff in here if I get a chance. Keep the shop ticking over

JP-65 · « **Reply #142 on:** December 11, 2023, 01:31:41 pm »

Quote from: BassTunedToRed on December 11, 2023, 12:51:14 pm

Have a good trip, mate, I'll post some stuff in here if I get a chance. Keep the shop ticking over

Thnx mate

JP-65 · « **Reply #143 on:** December 11, 2023, 04:00:06 pm »

Missed the points column on Last 4 Form

BassTunedToRed · « **Reply #144 on:** December 11, 2023, 06:21:48 pm »

Some tables for week 16.

stonecold_jpm · « **Reply #145 on:** December 18, 2023, 09:16:21 am »

We really need to start winning games vs the top 6, currently bottom below Utd and we aren’t doing much better in the top 9 table either.

JP-65 · « **Reply #146 on:** December 18, 2023, 12:51:23 pm »

Time:
+3 Chelsea, spurs
+2 Arsenal, Newcastle
+1 LFC
0 Villa
-2 City, Utd
-3 Brighton

JP-65 · « **Reply #147 on:** December 18, 2023, 12:54:38 pm »

Equivalent:

+3 Arsenal
+2 Villa
+1 Utd
0 Chelsea, Spurs, Newcastle
-2 LFC, City
-3 Brighton

BassTunedToRed · « **Reply #148 on:** December 22, 2023, 05:25:12 pm »

Corresponding fixtures table up to week 17

zabadoh · « **Reply #149 on:** December 23, 2023, 05:49:36 pm »

Our performance in the remaining corresponding fixtures must have been really bad last season.

We have 20 fixtures remaining, including today's against Arsenal, in which we picked up 33 equivalent points last season.

On the plus side, there's vast room for improvement for us...

On the minus side, Arsenal did really well in corresponding fixtures last season...

JP-65 · « **Reply #150 on:** December 25, 2023, 04:43:08 pm »

Match 18 time:

+1 LFC
0 Villa, Chelsea, Spurs
-1 Newcastle
-2 Arsenal, Brighton
-3 Utd

JP-65 · « **Reply #151 on:** December 25, 2023, 04:45:36 pm »

Equivalent match:

0 LFC, Utd, Chelsea, Spurs, Arsenal, Brighton
-2 Villa
-3 Newcastle

JP-65 · « **Reply #152 on:** December 29, 2023, 09:56:26 am »

Match 19 update:

City won their match 19 last season & lost the home match to Brentford for the equiv match

I've been thinking of adding West Ham to the mix as they look capable of staying the course, will do it soon

JP-65 · « **Reply #153 on:** December 29, 2023, 09:58:26 am »

The rest:

Look at Bournemouth's last 10 form, could cause a few upsets in 2H of the season

JP-65 · « **Reply #154 on:** January 3, 2024, 10:01:33 am »

Match 20 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #155 on:** January 3, 2024, 10:02:35 am »

The rest:

JP-65 · « **Reply #156 on:** January 23, 2024, 09:58:33 am »

Match 21 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #157 on:** January 23, 2024, 10:00:55 am »

The rest:

With the recent trends, I may have to add Chelsea back in & drop Newcastle!

I'd say, presuming ourselves or City can reach 90 points, that the rest are not capable of getting there.

JP-65 · « **Reply #158 on:** February 2, 2024, 09:52:06 am »

Match 22 update:

JP-65 · « **Reply #159 on:** February 2, 2024, 09:53:17 am »

The rest: