I think Everton are abnormally high because they've played a lot of big teams, so there has been little scope for them to slip down the APLT. When they play some average teams and continue to drop points they'll drop like a stone.
I still don't rate the APLT, the league table seems to overrated teams who've played a lot of minnows but the APLT seems to do the opposite and overrate teams who've played a lot of big games.
What does the APLT tell us so far? Chelsea, Man Utd, and Man City are in a three way battle for the title. Chelsea were looking favourites before their draw with Arsenal, but now look third favourite.
Arsenal look on course for a solid top four finish. While Liverpool, Spurs and Everton so far are not playing to a standard to push for the top four.
Do you disagree with any of that?
What we are also able to do with a projected target is follow the trend line which tells a different story during the season. It shows at what points teams are in form and vice versa. Something much harder to do with the raw results.
What is quite brutal about football results is the impact of one goal. It's a low scoring sport which makes variance have a bigger impact. We've dropped two points in two different games we've drawn. If instead of conceding late in our opening match, we'd scored late in Saturday's match, we'd be four points better off. Everton weren't close to not dropping points in any of their games they've dropped points in. This won't show up in a table like this.
Essentially, Everton deserve to be where they are, and we deserve to be next to them, but we could also justifiably claim that with small changes to those two games, we could be much better placed and over the season we have greater likelihood to finish higher.