I'm not criticizing Hodgson because he was brought in by this board - I'm only suggesting that he doesn't get the automatic support that I gave other managers because of it. That's not something I can explain, it's just my own personal feelings. I've personally been against many decisions that the board and the owners have taken. It would take something special for me to line up unquestioningly behind one of their decisions, because their track record is, frankly, shit.
Like I suggested, and you picked up on, Hodgson's football results on the pitch may take me from "uncomfortable observer of Hodgson's appointment" to "outright proponent of the Hodgson Way". So far, he's really given me little to suggest the change was for footballing reasons, that we got a superior manager in the footballing sense for the 11.5 million quid we spent to upgrade managers. But football's an afterthought.
Business wise, the direction is alarming. The squad is getting older in a hurry due to the age of his recruits and the age of the Rafa-era players that Hodgson has chosen to keep, and the money's running out. We'll have to replace Konchesky, Kuyt, Gerrard, Carra, Maxi, Cole, Poulsen, Jovanovic, Kyrgiakos, and Aurelio within the next 3 years. Even Torres, Meireles and Johnson are the wrong side of 25. Even if this flock of players starts bringing in results, we're gonna be fucked soon. We don't have any Patos or Messis on our team. The youngest player who has a claim to the word "starter" is Lucas, and he's the most picked on member of this team, and I don't expect him to be around for much longer. Insua is gone. Ayala is on loan. Mikel San Jose starts for Bilbao. Two kids were swapped for Konchesky. Nemeth is in Greece. The Riojas bought for 2015 are being popped without any thought to Best Drinking Date.
But getting back to Rafa - I disagree with your statement that "we" thought he should have gone for the jugular when he "settled" for something less. Rafa had the right approach - first become dead hard to beat, then worry about converting the draws into wins. Everyone bitched about the draws in 2008/2009 - well I'd give my left arsecheek for that many draws every season. Every season Baz. I would take that many draws every season. Let me say that again so that there is no confusion. I would take that many draws every league campaign.
You know why? Because Rafa had it right - with that many draws, and taking something like 14 points from top 4 teams (that's sick) we still had the most points that any second place team ever had. If we did that every year, we'd be within shouting distance of the title every season. Most of us just cannot wrap our limited intellect around the fact that it's not about one hand; it's about getting to the final table. Just because you create chances to see a flop, it doesn't mean you go all in every hand. It's a campaign. Fuck going for it every minute, instead be hard to beat and consistent. Take the points from home/away matchups against top opposition. That's it, djes. You don't need to go for broke against Stoke. Most times, Kuyt's opener counts, and Gerrard's shot goes in off the post. Meanwhile, you accumulate a war chest from Champions League revenue, and spend a percentage of it on a lot - a lot - of cheap, promising kids.
Instead, we did what Rafa always said not to do. We pushed harder than we should have in 2009/2010 when we didn't really have a chance at winning the hand, lost when it was obvious we weren't gonna win, took that as an indictment of Rafa and the whole fucking system, and then tilted madly. Victims of emotion. Pathetic really.
I can't speak for most people, Baz, but my discomfort with how we look now isn't about plucking random results and comparing them. It's about the entire tournament, indeed, the entire portfolio, not an isolated case by case comparison. Rafa made it so that you didn't give a shit which fucking ball emerged of Platini's jar. On any given day, Rafa's Rojas - a portfolio full of individual results that may look questionable in isolation - looked like something I'd put my money on. On any given day. You can't say that now. Would you fancy something out of an away trip to Inter Milan right now? Would you fuck. He'd fucking rip us to shreds, then look at his watch, the fat fuck.
Whether he bought Alonso for 10m or sold him for 30m, whether he bought Mascherano or sold Sissoko, whether Crouch fired blanks or became prolific for England, whether he swapped Josemi for Kromkamp (sp?) or Dudek for Reina, whether he played Gerrard on the right or off Torres, whether he "went for it" or "settled for a draw", whether he won in Istanbul or made 2 finals in 3 years, whether he stuck with Bellamy or bought Torres, on or off, whether his team conceded 4 to Arshavin or hit Chelsea for 4 at the Bridge - Rafa earned my respect, and my support because the longterm results were overwhelmingly positive. Random decisions and results mean nothing.
If Rafa were a fund, I'd invest in it. It looks like it would feature consistent performance, profits, and dividends - possibly boring, but those are usually stellart investments. I didn't disagree with any single individual thing Rafa did, especially not fucking subs or silly shit like "going for it" because I knew that over time, I was in the right hands. Day to day decisions may have indeed been random; but the long term results were on an upward trajectory. In his shittiest year, he came within minutes of a European final. That's long term results smoothed out for ya.
Unfortunately, some of us sound like folks who sold a longterm winner at the first sign of trouble, hopped onto a risky stock, and are now peering intently at the price over the last week, while alarm bells are ringing on the one year chart. "Oh it'll be alright, Rafa lost at Trafford too, it's not so bad," they say.
Nothing could be further from the truth.
Cheers mate, good post.
Obviously I can't agree with most of it, because I have to admit, I find it sort of hypocritical that Roy doesn't get the same freedom Rafa was often awarded in the league. Sure, Rafa earned it- he 100% earned it, of course he did. Not only that, but he delivered in 2 seasons, 2 of our best ever PL finishes. My argument is simply that Roy's not been given the time to even gauge a result. Not only has he not even had 1 season, he's not even had 10 games in the league, yet we're faced with the Rafa Lament v.39894 already.
I can see your point about Roy's transfers, and yes, I agree, they baffled me. In fact, a lot of his decisions have baffled me. But at the end of the day, it's a results game, and he hasn't been given a chance to show any results. I don't think he's an improvement on Rafa on pretty much any important level, but that wasn't my point- so whilst I agree that the £11.5m (I'll take your word for it) we spent on the 'exchange' was idiotic, I don't know why it's relevant. The thing is, Roy's our manager now, and Rafa's not. Maybe that's too simple, but it's the way I choose to see it. Off the field, Rafa is a massive figure for us, because his 'dismissal' represents everything that's bad about our board. My arguments are on the field.
Seb and I discussed the relative merits of Rafa's approach and Roy's approach- I thought the results spoke for themselves sometimes. For example, Seb talked about Rafa's wide players defending against the Mancs, versus Roy's widemen giving the Mancs the space to cross. Thinking about it, Mancs scoring against us under Rafa did so from crosses pretty regularly. That's why I did the 'comparison'. And how it's random I don't know. Talking about the 'entire portfolio' isn't possible, because Roy's not had 10 games let alone a whole season, as pointed out. All we have is the games against Arsenal, Birmingham, Mancs and Man City to compare them by, and as I pointed out, they're equal on points from those games comparing this season on last. If anything, with respect, it was your comparison which was random, as the games weren't even against the same teams! Anyway, let's leave it at that.
I appreciate the fund metaphor; I'd invest in a Rafa fund over a Roy one, but it's probably more because I wouldn't invest in a Liverpool FC fund at the moment given what the highly unstable ownership situation is. Talk about risk, Rafa finished 2nd one season and 7th the next.... if that isn't volatile I don't know what is!
And 'going for the jugular' was a constant criticism of Rafa. It's the reason he was booed at Anfield in the West Ham game, after which a 0-0 draw sent us to the top of the table. Sometimes you need to take the risks, and maybe Rafa didn't. The Arsenal game springs to mind- when they played a half with 10 men and we failed to go for it. I have to admit I can't believe you even talk about him coming 'within minutes' from an Euro final. Roy Hodgson's Fulham team went to that final!
So whilst I appreciate your position, I can't agree with it.