Chelsea are gathering points at a rate greater than the models would suggest, but....
with only 3 goals conceded in 10 matches, 1 to us in a draw, 1 to City in a loss, and 1 to Southampton
That degree of defensive solidity, and the ability to get a goal, suggests that they have a serious shout to win it this season.
Chelsea also, in the seasons past, seem to be able to avoid major spates of injuries....something we're not as resilient at.