Reckon 4000 for priority rights, players, sponsors, 4700 on 7 credits so 8000 to the ballot. 53000 capacity -3000 away, - maybe 1000 that went to UEFa etc. Could be up to 43000 with 6 credits. 24500 in the ballot for Kiev, reckon more like 35000 this time. So 35000 for 8000 tickets. 1 in 4.5 chance?