You ask whether they'll try and keep the ball or will they go for a third and hang the consequences. I'm suggesting they follow their drilled game plan whatever the score or pressure in the game, calmly and with clear heads...
...Beyond that, again, there's nothing you're saying that contradicts the o.p.. There's nothing 'complicated' about any of this - you're the one who keeps coming back to that idea.
I don’t wish to be pedantic but... I think it was you who articulated the antithesis of ‘stupid play’ as cold and calculating reasoning and decision making (it may have been someone else but the thread has certain lingered on it - as ‘intelligent play’).
This intelligent play is intrinsically more ‘complicated’ than intuitive brilliance ie., a decision must be made using intelligent thought. You have to think about it. There are no thoughts in intuition (other than the years of subconscious thought emerging as intuitive leaps or ‘leaps of the imagination’ - even flights of fancy but that really is another story).
And yes it has been my side that there should be nothing complicated here. Nothing complicated works - even for under 16-year olds.
And without wishing to seem to disappear up my own orifice on it, there really is nothing to suggest that Barcelona would make a ‘rational decision’ either way. Yes, they really would carry on as before. Neither to decide to go into a defensive shell nor on all out attack.
It certainly was you who suggested that they would make a change. Make a decision. That “Winning 2-0 with 15 minutes to play? Keep the ball and take the sting out of it. That kind of thing. The kind of stuff you got told by your coach in the under 12s” was an example of "common sense" or "simple basics of the game" ie rational decision making at every level and an example of ‘intelligent play’. No?
Good OP Roy. Nice to expand the debate on the mental aspect of the game beyond "mentality" and "intelligence." I have been thinking about the importance of thinking correctly under pressure myself lately. I think there is some kind of pressure threshold after which the mind starts to close down. I think each person has his/her own threshold, which can probably be moved slightly either way by environment, condition, coaching, form and other factors, but the main constituent of the threshold is innate and not variable. The question for someone more qualified than me is what percentage can be improved--but my guess is it's single digits.
In a professional comparison, you can't see this when you interview someone for a job. You can maybe get some idea if the person exhibits signs of temperamentality when you turn up the heat a bit, but you never really know with someone until you're in the heat of some minor battle. I note that you/we all talk of this in terms of hot and cold, sang froid and all that, and it's also talked about sometimes as steadiness--the hand not shaking under pressure. Professionally, I have had a couple of circumstances lately where I've exceeded my own pressure threshold, watched the mind shut down/take its leave in front of me and then made decisions that, while not disastrous or even particularly problematic, would not be the same as the decisions I would have made if I had "had my wits about me"/not reached the threshold.
So in that sense, I agree that it makes sense to test for this when signing/scouting players rather than trying to improve something that probably cannot be improved significantly enough to make that much difference.
I wonder whether players are ever interviewed for the job. It seems to me that scouts look at players in a completely different context, different playing style, different tactics. What works elsewhere might not work here. Carroll?
And who's to say that xyz would not be an even better player if he was playing here instead of there. Who knows what light is hidden under what management bushel?
I'm sure manager says to scout, we need a this or a that type of player but you get what you (or the scout) see and that's all. "What are you best at?" is often asked in job interviews. Or perhaps "what do you like to do best". I don't see this happening in football. Perhaps because of the shopfront nature of the transaction.
I would have thought that a detailed model for the team and a thorough examination of the prospective player for fit to that model would be a better way forward. Players change. Fade. Move on. The model may evolve and it does but it's an essential static thing in which to fit players. Lose a Keegan? - we need a better one. I think this was Shankly's model (and Bob's and...). Almost literally plug and play!.
Perhaps 'the boys' were rather better at getting at what a player was about than most. Perhaps they could see genius where others could not. Again, the reputation for turning dust into gold but perhaps they were just giving the gold a polish and putting it in the right setting to shine.
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