Thought it might be handy to break the run up to 2020 from the trump thread as it will get buried under the avalanche of shit he does on a daily basis.
Biden has finally confirmed he is running so I think thats everyone of significance now confirmed.
The field is big but really there are only a few that have a chance:
- Biden
- Sanders
- Buttigieg
- Harris
- Warren
- O'Rourke
Probably in that order right now. Buttigieg is definitely the dark horse but it is hard to see past Bernie or Biden at this stage. While Biden is probably not attractive to the hardcore he does have broad popularity and initial polls reflect that. Still early in the game and all can change. The polls may reflect little more than name recognition.
538 had a recent podcast on the democratic primary field:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-where-the-2020-democratic-primary-field-stands-after-one-quarter/ Bernie has signed a motion calling on all democrats to rally behind whoever wins the nomination:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/bernie-sanders-first-to-sign-pledge-to-rally-behind-whoever-wins-democratic-primaryMichigan, generally a swing state, is in play after the courts ruled that they must redraw legislative and congressional districts for the 2020 election because current maps drawn by Republicans represent a political gerrymander “of historical proportions,” Naturally the gop disagree:
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2019/04/25/michigan-gerrymandering/3576663002/Wiki had an interesting breakdown of all polls to date that look at who can beat trump. Biden and Bernie lead the way:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_United_States_presidential_electionOf course the polls are not always right and it is way to early to really draw meaningful significance from them particularly with such a big field, the dem base being very different than it was even 3 years ago and the toxic political climate.
As it stands it is hard to see past Biden or Sanders and if things stay as they are Biden's broad appeal might win out.
The case for impeaching Trump will definitely play a part in this primary, at some point a stand will need to be taken. This is a really complex election, it is not the norm with the number of variables in play. It is quite the fascinating thing to watch from afar but we will all be impacted by its outcome. Adolf Twittler needs to go.