yeah I didn't account for that but I think the odds will be Similar whether there's an away or not because those tickets are still part of the general allocation
Definitely more chance for people with all homes if there isn't an away than if there is.
Think about it, it's like 6,000 tickets that definitely disappear from the pot (depending on who we might face away), whereas if they didn't, then those 6,000 would all have to be won by the people who would have been guaranteed with the away for the rest to have the same chance. For everyo person who would have been guaranteed with an away, but isn't because there isn't one then that is basically an extra person who has got one that otherwise wouldn't have.
If that all makes sense, hard to explain
Won't make a major difference but they would definitely have a higher chance I think