Author Topic: The Horse Racing thread (Read 327062 times)

FlashGordon · « **Reply #3200 on:** July 29, 2020, 03:38:45 pm »

Quote from: duvva on July 29, 2020, 03:24:49 pm

Nearly got stuck again, but got there eventually. Probably wins further given a smooth passage

Think that’s as good a line up for a mile race in a long time. First 4 all Very good horses, imagine Kameko will be better over 10f now or a stiffer mile with a break neck gallop

On ITV they're saying it's a hard luck story but I don't think he was beating Mohaather there no matter what sort of passage he got. If I was to say anything about a jockeys ride Keane maybe kicked a little early on Siskin but that's pulling hairs.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3201 on:** July 29, 2020, 03:59:53 pm »

Having a stab @ Thirsk TONIGHT

16:30: Digital - Kevin Ryan on fire this should oblige.

17:30: With Thanks - Haggas still going well. Short odds but should win. Claiming jockey is good value.

18:00: Wahoo e/w - Now this is interesting one. Had a come back run at Haydock which he needed. Back to 7f today and should come on a bit. The negative is Michael Dodds is a very difficult trainer to handle on usually if their not fancied they dont run a race so I'm keeping it small but I think this could run well and at least make the frame.

20:00: Moonlighting e/w - Kevin Ryan is good form and this should run a good race in this low grade.

Gerry Attrick · « **Reply #3202 on:** July 29, 2020, 05:37:36 pm »

Toro Strike won nicely. Richard Fahey has his team in rude health, definitely worth keeping onside at the minute.

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3203 on:** July 29, 2020, 05:39:36 pm »

How did no one put up Mrs Milner 14/1 at Galway!

Have backed Al Aasy in the Gordon Stakes, English King might be too good but think 5/1 seems a good price. Also like Magic Wand at a similar price for the Nassau

Gerry Attrick · « **Reply #3204 on:** July 29, 2020, 05:49:52 pm »

Magic Wand will give her running, as she always does but Fancy Blue is getting all kinds of weight in that race. If she only runs to her current mark (improvement is still distinctly possible) something would have to run to a level in the mid 120s to beat her. Not sure there's anything of that quality in the race if I'm honest.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3205 on:** July 29, 2020, 07:14:51 pm »

Early Doors for Mark Walsh & Joseph O'Brien win the Galway Plate:

https://twitter.com/Galway_Races/status/1288534232588079110

Amazing how much they use the whip in Ireland. They certainly dont hold back even for the minor places.

FlashGordon · « **Reply #3206 on:** July 29, 2020, 08:35:42 pm »

Quote from: rebel23 on July 29, 2020, 07:14:51 pm

Early Doors for Mark Walsh & Joseph O'Brien win the Galway Plate:

https://twitter.com/Galway_Races/status/1288534232588079110

Amazing how much they use the whip in Ireland. They certainly dont hold back even for the minor places.

It's one of the biggest races of the year.

Yazaman in a single for me tomorrow.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3207 on:** July 30, 2020, 08:17:23 am »

This is an amazing card @ Goodwood today. Lots of nice horses on display. Had a few 2nd's yesterday so hoping for better.

Here are some selections and thoughts:

2:15 Yazaman - Kodiac 2yo for Mr. Haggas (still going well). Has the form to win this contest.

2:45 Khalifa Sat - There are a few stats based negatives about the Fav & 2nd Fav which I wont go into so next best is Khalifa Sat. 2nd in the Derby @ 60/1 can and should be able to go one better here.

3:15 Nazeef - I have backed Nazeef several times and she is rapidly improving filly having landed a Group 1 last time out. Up in trip here and she will hopefully be OK. Trainer John Gosden knows what it takes to win the Nassau stakes having won it on 4 occasions. Big danger is probably Magic Wand (AP O'Brien).

4:20 - The Fav is by leading stallion Kodiac BUT Kodiac's record at 7f for 2yo's is poor and consequently the Favourite is too short.

I like the look of DREAMS UNWIND for Mark Johnston/S De Sousa and by leading UK Stallion Dansili (now retired!). She shaped well on debut @ Newbury staying on under pressure to finish runner up to a potentially smart Dubawi filly.. She should improve and go close here. This looks a solid e/w bet at around 17/2. I remain hopeful the odds can be landed

rebel23 · « **Reply #3208 on:** July 30, 2020, 08:53:39 am »

Oisin Murphy blames himself for "jockey error" aboard Kameko in Sussex Stakes

https://www.racingtv.com/news/murphy-blames-himself-for-jockey-error-in-kameko-reverse

Silly sod got boxed in on the rail and would have gone close with a clear run.

Red Star · « **Reply #3209 on:** July 30, 2020, 09:01:39 am »

Zabeel Champion, Yazaman, Al Aasy and Fancy Blue are my fancies for today.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3210 on:** July 30, 2020, 09:04:59 am »

Quote from: Red Star on July 30, 2020, 09:01:39 am

Zabeel Champion, Yazaman, Al Aasy and Fancy Blue are my fancies for today.

#

I like Zabeel Champion. I think today could be a good day for Mark Johnston. He usually strikes at Goodwood.

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3211 on:** July 30, 2020, 09:25:24 am »

I’ve done Al Salt in the 1:45. Hoping his mark is as lenient as it seems.

Gerry Attrick · « **Reply #3212 on:** July 30, 2020, 09:28:00 am »

Quote from: duvva on July 30, 2020, 09:25:24 am

I’ve done Al Salt in the 1:45. Hoping his mark is as lenient as it seems.

I do like him. Remember him beating Tilsit at Newcastle and that came out and won by 19 lengths next time, albeit nothing Tilsit beat is rated higher than 60 odd I don't think.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3213 on:** July 30, 2020, 10:31:05 am »

Quote from: duvva on July 30, 2020, 09:25:24 am

I’ve done Al Salt in the 1:45. Hoping his mark is as lenient as it seems.

Mr. Haggas in good form. Will be an interesting race. Actually they all are today. Very informative. I should be able to see them all thanks to Betfair!

[All free to air]

I will probably have an interest in Zabeel. Wouldn't surprise me if we have the 1-2.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3214 on:** July 30, 2020, 12:34:01 pm »

Update:

Got 14/1 matched on Dreams Unwind. Can barely believe it. Going to calm down and not go to crazy. I will be surprised if she runs poorly but you never know

rebel23 · « **Reply #3215 on:** July 30, 2020, 01:58:07 pm »

Quote from: rebel23 on July 30, 2020, 10:31:05 am

I will probably have an interest in Zabeel. Wouldn't surprise me if we have the 1-2.

2-3 a 50/1 shot pipped Zabeel to the post!

Very encouraging run though. Found plenty under pressure.

Red Star · « **Reply #3216 on:** July 30, 2020, 02:06:11 pm »

Quote from: Red Star on July 30, 2020, 09:01:39 am

Zabeel Champion, Yazaman, Al Aasy and Fancy Blue are my fancies for today.

Beaten by a 50-1 shot that was 3lb out of the handicap...ffs

RobbieRedman · « **Reply #3217 on:** July 30, 2020, 02:13:06 pm »

https://twitter.com/i/status/1288819622607753216

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #3218 on:** July 30, 2020, 02:50:23 pm »

Dettori needs to retire.

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3219 on:** July 30, 2020, 02:53:25 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 30, 2020, 02:50:23 pm

Dettori needs to retire.

Not sure he was getting much help there

FlashGordon · « **Reply #3220 on:** July 30, 2020, 02:53:50 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 30, 2020, 02:50:23 pm

Dettori needs to retire.

He doesn't, he's been unreal the last 2 years. That was a shocker though.

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #3221 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:03:18 pm »

He boxes himself in far more than he used to, personally if he doesn't have a world-class horse I never fancy him to win at big events.

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3222 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:10:13 pm »

I’m completely the opposite with Frankie, he’s the go to jockey in big races/events for me. Rarely gets it wrong.

Red Star · « **Reply #3223 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:20:14 pm »

Definition of a bad ride is Moore on Zabeel earlier.

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3224 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:26:44 pm »

Really gritty win by Fancy Blue there

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #3225 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:27:37 pm »

Quote from: duvva on July 30, 2020, 03:26:44 pm

Really gritty win by Fancy Blue there

Awesome run. Dettori clearly so keen on not getting boxed in again that he completely ran Magic Wand out of steam

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3226 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:33:46 pm »

Quote from: LallanaInPyjamas on July 30, 2020, 03:27:37 pm

Awesome run. Dettori clearly so keen on not getting boxed in again that he completely ran Magic Wand out of steam

I’m not entirely convinced Magic Wand wasn’t there as a pacemaker, gave Fancy Blue the perfect lead in and then stepped aside politely when she’d done as much as she could.

Red Star · « **Reply #3227 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:37:01 pm »

Fancy Blue puts me in the black on the day and for the week so far.

LallanaInPyjamas · « **Reply #3228 on:** July 30, 2020, 03:38:55 pm »

Quote from: duvva on July 30, 2020, 03:33:46 pm

I’m not entirely convinced Magic Wand wasn’t there as a pacemaker, gave Fancy Blue the perfect lead in and then stepped aside politely when she’d done as much as she could.

Could be the case, did look slightly curious.

Gerry Attrick · « **Reply #3229 on:** July 30, 2020, 04:07:53 pm »

Moore is worse than Dettori, without any shadow of a doubt. Horses drag him over the line. Dettori is unbackable unless he’s on one that’s highly likely to go very close in a group race. Will never go near him again in a handicap.

FlashGordon · « **Reply #3230 on:** July 30, 2020, 05:10:20 pm »

Lads these fellas are the two most sought after jockeys by trainers and owners, just think about that.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3231 on:** July 31, 2020, 06:14:59 am »

I'm hoping today Buick has a good day because it seems he's riding some horses that I like the look of..

13:45:

The Favourite is too short and I think can get beat.

Lots of value around (big prices). I've gone for Anna Nerium e/w (Huge price 40/1 on Betfair... that is insane from the layers i'm sorry) and Althiqa WIN (Godolphin).

I think Godolphin's is the most likely winner looking at the stats they seem pretty good to me. I have managed to secure 8/1 with Betfair's Sportsbook.

16:20 Zamaani -Trainer IN form. Like this ones chances.

16:55 Sarsaparilla - Gosden/Godolphin a powerful combination in a weak Maiden.

@Red Star

I know we're mad with Gary Moore with his 50/1 shot beating Zabeel but I've spotted something that might make amends.

He runs Capricorn Prince in 20:25 (Lingfield) and its currently Favourite. His string is in good form as we have seen and this should win. Hopefully some compensation for yesterday's debacle. It will be carrying my cash anyway later on.

Good luck everyone.

duvva 💅 · « **Reply #3232 on:** July 31, 2020, 08:53:35 am »

Nothing for me today. Good luck to those playing

Gerry Attrick · « **Reply #3233 on:** July 31, 2020, 08:58:09 am »

Khaloosy should take a world of beating but is no price. One Master too has stacks in hand on all known form.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3234 on:** July 31, 2020, 09:16:01 am »

Quote from: Gerry Attrick on July 31, 2020, 08:58:09 am

Khaloosy should take a world of beating but is no price. One Master too has stacks in hand on all known form.

Hoping for a good run from the mare Anna Nerium @ 40/1 LOL.

R. Hannon in top form and she wasn't a bad type earlier in her career

Red Star · « **Reply #3235 on:** July 31, 2020, 10:03:24 am »

My Goodwood picks for today are 2.45 Montatham, 3.45 Communique and 4.55 Ventura Diamond.

Quote from: rebel23 on July 31, 2020, 06:14:59 am

@Red Star

I know we're mad with Gary Moore with his 50/1 shot beating Zabeel but I've spotted something that might make amends.

He runs Capricorn Prince in 20:25 (Lingfield) and its currently Favourite. His string is in good form as we have seen and this should win. Hopefully some compensation for yesterday's debacle. It will be carrying my cash anyway later on.

I was more mad at Ryan Moore to be honest!

I’ve backed Miss M in the last at Lingfield. Hopefully one of us will have the winner!

Good luck

bruffell06 · « **Reply #3236 on:** July 31, 2020, 10:38:50 am »

I got Khaloosy at the start of the week at around 21/10 so thats looking pretty strong at the minute.

My others for today are 14.55 - Prompting, 16.20 - Perotto and 16.55 - Ventura Diamond

Gerry Attrick · « **Reply #3237 on:** July 31, 2020, 07:22:59 pm »

Marquand with another masterclass in the saddle today, he's different gravy. Should've had a treble after Moore and Tilsit nearly put him through the rail. The policing of interference in Britain and Ireland is absolutely pathetic. 5 days ffs? Should be sat at home for a month. Somebody is going to be seriously injured one of these days.

FlashGordon · « **Reply #3238 on:** July 31, 2020, 11:50:20 pm »

Danilova in the first at Newmarket tomorrow. Skinny at 7/4 but very sweet on her after her first run.

rebel23 · « **Reply #3239 on:** August 1, 2020, 05:59:17 am »

One I like today:

15:15 Newmarket Expressionism: Filly by Galileo (super Stallion) for Godolphin/Buick ... I like the breeding and connections here. It's strange to see Godolphin having a Galileo as I thought the Sheikh was boycotting Coolmore

Win or eachway. I'm going for the win because there's only 7 runners.. Looks like she could be a nice price.