Out of the 15 games played, people previously on 13+ were guaranteed 14 of those matches... plus all the people who already managed 13 of the 15 from this season
I would be very surprised if they dropped the requirement lower than 13
Might see declining numbers anyway, once people haven't been for 2 years they'll get use to not spending the money and watching on TV, some might give up going. Think I'll be cutting down massively