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News and Current Affairs / Re: Atheism
« Last post by thejbs on Today at 03:38:21 pm »
until when?

They have to provide it up to gcse. Parents can remove their kids from those lessons, though.
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Actually quite confident we'll go through tonight. Last couple of results should kick the boys into gear and we know we've beaten them 5-0 at their place before. Early goal would be important here
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Napoli, Inter, AC Milan and Lazio all conceded 3 or more goals in at least 1 CL group game. Napoli and Lazio both conceded 3 in one leg of their last 16 defeats. AC Went on to concede 3 in a game to Rennes in the Europa League.
Atalanta have conceded 3 in 4 league games this season.
There's plenty of games with a side conceding 3/4/5 goals.

We shouldn't be going there waving the white flag off the bus. We should be going there giving it everything we've got to progress against the odds.

Us scoring 3 goals is by no means unfathomable if we get our shooting boots on.

We're less likely to keep a clean sheet than score 3 (assuming it's not a dead 0-0 type match).
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Liverpool FC Forum / Re: Darwin Núñez (Darwin Gabriel Núñez Ribeiro)
« Last post by Redley on Today at 03:36:27 pm »
But they AREN'T consistent - they fluctuate wildly. That's the problem! He's had one season where he massively outperformed his xG but he's been significantly below in the other three of the past four seasons. That info is on the FBef page! Neither you or Dilkington seem willing to acknowledge this.

You've said this before and then done a runner when this is actually pointed out...

significantly below is a stretch his 4 below in the EPL by fbref?

Stats stay the same but I guess we interpret them differently

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'Football regulator to be based in Manchester, with chairman on £130k':-

Person heading up new regulator will earn significant salary for working three days a week, with expectation that he or she will be based in the north.

www.thetimes.co.uk/sport/football/article/football-regulator-130k-salary-manchester-qxrwgmpkp - article is free and in full, here: https://archive.ph/i0y7D




^ Several sites in and around Manchester are being considered as a base for the new independent football regulator
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Like I said, the absurdity of all of this is that very overperformance led the stat guys on here to question his signing. Yet now he is consistently underperforming, they are in his corner while slating Jota for being on a hot streak. There is some very skewed logic going on here - it comes across as smartarsery.

You're so so close to getting it.. it's like its on the edge of your consciousness

Also no ones slating anyone for being on a hot or cold streak... that bit was weird.. dont know a single 'data' driven guy that doesn't love Jota
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Sure, I can agree that finishing is more variant than underlying performance. But I don't think it's as variant as you are making out for high-class finishers. Of course you will find one bad season of finishing for players like Lewandowski and Messi, especially towards the latter stages of their career in lesser functioning teams.

If you take Darwin as an example, he has underperformed in every season except one. Therefore that overperformance becomes the outlier until proven otherwise.

Like I said, the absurdity of all of this is that very overperformance led the stat guys on here to question his signing. Yet now he is consistently underperforming, they are in his corner while slating Jota for being on a hot streak. There is some very skewed logic going on here - it comes across as smartarsery.

Whos slating Jota?

Only point re Jota I've seen is that he went 32 games without scoring yet most people would say his a good finisher right?
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But they AREN'T consistent - they fluctuate wildly. That's the problem! He's had one season where he massively outperformed his xG but he's been significantly below in the other three of the past four seasons. That info is on the FBef page! Neither you or Dilkington seem willing to acknowledge this.

Yes.. finishing fluctuates wildly... now we're getting somewhere

Xg accumulation does not
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So you don't accept what I said about finishing skill relative to underlying performance? I.e. finishing is noisy and by nature prone to high variance, whereas underlying performance is more stable.

Sure, I can agree that finishing is more variant than underlying performance. But I don't think it's as variant as you are making out for high-class finishers. Of course you will find one bad season of finishing for players like Lewandowski and Messi, especially towards the latter stages of their career in lesser functioning teams.

If you take Darwin as an example, he has underperformed in every season except one. Therefore that overperformance becomes the outlier until proven otherwise. Him taking lots of shots = he will score lots of goals. We agree there. Where we don't agree is this "reversion to the mean" bollocks. Footballers aren't robots, and they're not controlled like casino games. Their skills matter.

Like I said, the absurdity of all of this is that very overperformance led the stat guys on here to question his signing. Yet now he is consistently underperforming, they are in his corner while slating Jota for being on a hot streak. There is some very skewed logic going on here - it comes across as smartarsery.
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But they AREN'T consistent - they fluctuate wildly. That's the problem! He's had one season where he massively outperformed his xG but he's been significantly below in the other three of the past four seasons. That info is on the FBef page! Neither you or Dilkington seem willing to acknowledge this.

significantly below is a stretch his 4 below in the EPL by fbref?

Stats stay the same but I guess we interpret them differently
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