ha, no doubt!
can get stung on both ends I guess....the best way is probably in the middle?
Maybe ill try working up towards 300-400 mark, taking out a couple ton then going again. Would take longer but wouldn't be as painful...lets see how that goes with this current one im on
When trying to turn 25 into 1000 or any other runs like that, it is essentially a huge accumulator. Once you have doubled your money, the odds come against you - the law of probability says you are likely to lose the next bet if you haven't already. It's like tossing a coin - you expect heads and tails to come up the same amount of time is you flip it long enough. So over 5 flips, you might get 3 heads and 2 tails, or even 4 heads and 1 tail. But over 5000 flips, you expect it will be close to 250 heads and 250 tails. This is based on odds of evens - half the time you expect to win, half the time you expect to lose. The same works for any other odds. 1/9 - you expect to win 9 out of 10 times. That means that once you have doubled your money by accumulating 1/9 shots (if you get that far), probability suggests you will lose the next bet. Of course it doesn't always work like that, and that's why accumulators win from time to time, but they lose as much as they win, and when you take the bookies margin into account (they shave a bit off the odds), you are likely to lose in the long run.
For my own strategy, I try to pick bets I feel are under valued or over valued. Tonight for instance, I reckon there is about a 60% chance Arsenal will win in 90 mins. They are priced at just under evens, giving them only a 52% chance or so. So I will back Arsenal as I feel there is an 8% margin there to take (60% - 52%). Similarly, I feel there is around a 60% chance Man Utd will win in 90 mins, yet the odds on them to win are 2/5 - suggesting a 71% chance. I will lay Man Utd, as I feel there is an 11% margin. Of course I could lose both bets, but overtime, I expect I will earn a return. It is all subjective really, as it depends on my pricing of the likelihood of a team winning/not winning, which in theory, is much less likely to be accurate than the bookies - they're the pro's.