Topic: The Acca Pool

[Barneylfc]

Also, steer clear of picks because 'just bound to win' being the reasoning.
There was literally nothing to back up Abu Dhabi winning at Palace on Saturday.

Theres more chance of a researched pick being succesful than one made with no reasoning behind it.

[BOBSCOUSE]

Didn't back either of the Manchester picks, also avoided Scottish games (as I also avoid smaller divisions and end of season "Clausura's") as they are too closely matched and each side capable of being shitter than the shitty opponents that rock up in front of them - only exceptions being the likes of Celtic and then the odds are absolutely shite and not worth backing.

[Barneylfc]

Thanks
So if I do double chance option at $500
I’m guaranteed $304 profit to hedge against the Wolves win or draw.
But now the bigger pot would be reduced to a profit of $943.

Basically then  these are the potential scenarios ..

1 ride it out $1593 -$150 stake = $1443 or -$150
2 $500 hedge on double chance = $943 or $304 profits
3 cash both out guaranteed $741 - 150 stake = $591
4 cash bigger pot and ride out smaller = guaranteed $644 with potential of adding $208 = $852 - stake, profit = $494 or $792
5 cash out small pot $208- stake = $70 but still potential of adding $1388 if big one comes in
So $70 or $1458

Still not sure yet … but number 1 seems like a crazy option when 2,3,4 at least offer decent returns

Hope you made a few quid from that 

[Reds r coming up the hill]

West Ham will win it for Antonio.  Crowd and players will be well up for it.

Let the bets run and watch the game to see how they're doing in the first half, your cashout will keep creeping up unless Wolves score, which they kinda struggle with these days.
 
Cash out if the Hammers look a bit meh or if you hit a value you're happy with.
 
Look beyond the Premier League, it's too competitive with so many teams capable of upsetting the applecart.

Thanks for the advice and from the others for input also… I did let it ride but hedged $200 on the double chance when hammers went  up 2-1 on about 70 mins … so reduced my winnings but at least the last 28 mins were relaxing.
Netted about $1240.
 
 

[The G in Gerrard]

Thanks for the advice and from the others for input also… I did let it ride but hedged $200 on the double chance when hammers went  up 2-1 on about 70 mins … so reduced my winnings but at least the last 28 mins were relaxing.
Netted about $1240.
 
 

Nice one. Should join this thread 😁

[The G in Gerrard]

Is Craig ever going to return?

[nayia2002]

Thanks for the advice and from the others for input also… I did let it ride but hedged $200 on the double chance when hammers went  up 2-1 on about 70 mins … so reduced my winnings but at least the last 28 mins were relaxing.
Netted about $1240.
 
 

Well done at least someone is winning 😃

[Barneylfc]

Is Craig ever going to return?

I wouldn't if I was him 

[Barneylfc]

1st Pick

Fenerbahce v Basaksehir - Turkish SUper Liga - Sun 4pm - FENERBAHCE WIN

Fener have won 5 of their 6 home games, with the only defeat coming from top of the league Galatasaray back in September.
Basaksehir have 4 defeats in their last 5 aways. 4 of those 5 opponents are below them in the table.
Fener have won this fixture 3 times in a row without conceding a goal.

[Barneylfc]

Staying in Turkey for pick 2

Galatasaray v Trabzonspor - Sun 6pm - GALATASARAY WIN

Gala have been impressive at home this season since losing to Young Boys in the CL qualifiers. 10 games in all comps since then with 8 wins and 2 draws.
Trabzon by contrast have 1 win in their last 10, which was a Europa League tie back in July. Currently on a run of 3 defeats on the bounce.

[The G in Gerrard]

I wouldn't if I was him 

[BOBSCOUSE]

7 of my last 10 accas have lost by one result, a score draw each time, over £3.5k in potential winnings - joke

[BOBSCOUSE]

Shorter odds

League 1

Wrexham v Cambridge - Wrexham WIN @ 4/7

Wrexham going well, 2nd in L1 with 4 wins on the spin and this weekend sees 22nd placed Cambridge visit.  A game Wrexham should take the three points comfortably although Cambridge did manage to stuff hapless Shrewsbury 4-1 last time out (see longer odds pick below) and will have gained a little confidence from that win to add some jeopardy to the fixture

Longer odds

League 1

Shrewsbury Town v Wycombe Wanderers - Wycombe WIN @ 8/11

Rock-bottom Shrewsbury with 11 points from 18 games, getting regular pastings and 4 defeats in last 5, come up against table-topping Wycombe who have been in great form this season home and away.

[bradders1011]

Shorter odds

Barnet v Ebbsfleet - Conference - Sat 3pm - Barnet win - 2/7

Ebbsfleet are rock bottom on only 9 points, Barnet are joint top.

Longer odds

Oldham v Wealdstone - Conference - Sat 3pm - Oldham win - 3/5

Oldham are in good form, in 5th. Wealdstone are just above the drop zone.

[Barneylfc]

2/11 the best odds I'm seeing for Barnet

[The G in Gerrard]

Going to miss this weekend as not enough time to look at games. Will be back next weekend!

[nayia2002]

I'm out. Xmas/family stuff

[BOBSCOUSE]

For those still in and needing to get more games into an acca for value I have the following...

Feel free to add all your picks Barney and Bradders, also tell me if you don't like any of my picks 

Blackburn home win v Luton
Wycombe away win v Shrews
Wrexham home win v Cambridge
Atalanta away win v Cagliari
Santa Clara away win v Arouca
Fenerbahce home win v Beseksehir
Basel home win v Grasshoppers
Galatasaray home win v Trabs
Oldham home win v Wealdstone

[Barneylfc]

Just fired a tenner on the 6 picks for £78 return

[Barneylfc]

Fucking Wrexham.

I'm not backing any more lower English league shouts. They're a load of shite.

[BOBSCOUSE]

Unbelievable - looking at the form recently and throughout the season that game had Home banker written all over it.  Fucking football.

And who the fuck says home games are where it's at, avoid aways - Wrexham and Basel are all I need to say.  Shit game.

[The G in Gerrard]

Unbelievable - looking at the form recently and throughout the season that game had Home banker written all over it.  Fucking football.

And who the fuck says home games are where it's at, avoid aways - Wrexham and Basel are all I need to say.  Shit game.

[Barneylfc]

Staying in Turkey for pick 2

Galatasaray v Trabzonspor - Sun 6pm - GALATASARAY WIN

Gala have been impressive at home this season since losing to Young Boys in the CL qualifiers. 10 games in all comps since then with 8 wins and 2 draws.
Trabzon by contrast have 1 win in their last 10, which was a Europa League tie back in July. Currently on a run of 3 defeats on the bounce.

98th minute own goal winner

[Barneylfc]

Pick 1

Linfield v Glenavon - NIFL - Sat 3pm - LINFIELD WIN

I don't usually like backing things I don't want to happen, but I can't see Cliftonville pulling back a 13 point deficit to these Gobshites.
Regardless, whether I want it to happen or not, Linfield should stroll this. Glenavon are winless in their last 5 league games on the road and have lost at Windsor 7 times on the bounce.

[Barneylfc]

Pick 2

Almeria v Cadiz - La Liga 2 - Sun 1730 - ALMERIA WIN

Almeria are in fine form with 6 wins from their last 6 homes. Overall, they've 9 wins from their last 10, only dropping points in a recent draw away to Malaga.
Cadiz are winless away from home since September and lost last season's corresponding fixture 6-1 back in May.

[The G in Gerrard]

Pick 1: Leverkusen v Freiburg. Leverkusen WIN.

Leverkusen unbeaten in 12 take on Freiburg. Leverkusen unbeaten in last 3 league games against the away side.

Pick 2: Fulham v Southampton. Fulham WIN.

Southampton suck. Fulham with a week off & looking to extend their unbeaten run to 4.

[bradders1011]

Shorter Odds

Falkirk v Hamilton - Scottish Championship - Sat 3pm - Falkirk win

Falkirk are 2 points top and unbeaten at home, Hamilton are relegation fodder in mediocre form.

Longer Odds

Port Vale v Carlisle - League 2 - Sat 3pm - Port Vale win

Same as above really, PV are in relatively good form at home and Carlisle are awful.

[Barneylfc]

Longer Odds

Port Vale v Carlisle - League 2 - Sat 3pm - Port Vale win

Same as above really, PV are in relatively good form at home and Carlisle are awful.

Port Vale have 0 wins at home since October. Carlisle have 2 wins and a draw from their last 3 aways 

[The G in Gerrard]

Any more? I'll be skipping the Port Vale pick

[Barneylfc]

Any more? I'll be skipping the Port Vale pick

I'm including it. Think they win.
I was just picking holes in the statement that they're in good form at home.

[The G in Gerrard]

Pick 1

Linfield v Glenavon - NIFL - Sat 3pm - LINFIELD WIN

I don't usually like backing things I don't want to happen, but I can't see Cliftonville pulling back a 13 point deficit to these Gobshites.
Regardless, whether I want it to happen or not, Linfield should stroll this. Glenavon are winless in their last 5 league games on the road and have lost at Windsor 7 times on the bounce.

Pick 2

Almeria v Cadiz - La Liga 2 - Sun 1730 - ALMERIA WIN

Almeria are in fine form with 6 wins from their last 6 homes. Overall, they've 9 wins from their last 10, only dropping points in a recent draw away to Malaga.
Cadiz are winless away from home since September and lost last season's corresponding fixture 6-1 back in May.

Pick 1: Leverkusen v Freiburg. Leverkusen WIN.

Leverkusen unbeaten in 12 take on Freiburg. Leverkusen unbeaten in last 3 league games against the away side.

Pick 2: Fulham v Southampton. Fulham WIN.

Southampton suck. Fulham with a week off & looking to extend their unbeaten run to 4.

Shorter Odds

Falkirk v Hamilton - Scottish Championship - Sat 3pm - Falkirk win

Falkirk are 2 points top and unbeaten at home, Hamilton are relegation fodder in mediocre form.

Longer Odds

Port Vale v Carlisle - League 2 - Sat 3pm - Port Vale win

Same as above really, PV are in relatively good form at home and Carlisle are awful.

I've done £20 on the first five. Returns £77.08 on BF

[The G in Gerrard]

GOAL! Falkirk smash one in to go 1 up.

[The G in Gerrard]

Linfield winning. Port Vale backers it's currently 0-0.

[Barneylfc]

Port Vale are c*nts

[The G in Gerrard]

Pick 2: Fulham v Southampton. Fulham WIN.

Fulham suck.

Amended for accuracy.

[The G in Gerrard]

We back this weekend?

[Barneylfc]

Yes

[BOBSCOUSE]

We back this weekend?

What day is it?

[BOBSCOUSE]

Shorter odds

La Liga
Valencia v Real Madrid - Real Madrid WIN @ 4/11

Valencia with 12 points from 17 games are facing another relegation battle, come up against the perennial scumbags Real Madrid who will want to keep the pressure on their local rivals Atletico at the top of the table.  No hope for Valencia to pick up any points in this one I would say.

Edit: Fucks sake, this game is tomorrow, finding another if I have time.

Portuguese Primera

Nacional v Porto - Porto WIN @ 3/10.

Porto, Sporting and Benfica sharing the top of the league as usual with very little resistance from elsewhere.  Expect another easy 3 points for Porto.

Edit:  Haha!!  FFS, this one also tomorrow - look, I'm tired as fuck, gimme a break and just pick one...

Longer odds

League 2
Cheltenham Town v Walsall - Walsall WIN @ 1/1

Cheltenham really aren't at the races whilst Walsall are solid as a brick, can easily see a win for the table toppers who have won the last 5 straight.

Edit:  OMFG!!! Now I check back and the Cheltenham game is a 12.30...  Over to you guys, I haven't got time to get looking again and a lot of the leagues are on their winter breaks.

 

[bradders1011]

Shorter Odds

Man City v West Ham - PL - Sat 3pm - City win

West Ham are dross

Longer Odds

Southampton v Brentford - PL - Sat 3pm - Brentford win

Southampton are dross