Also, we have lifted every restriction.
Mask wearing should still be a thing plus better controls over events.
It almost feels back to normal now. In my experience over the last few weeks, mask wearing in shops is about 30%. I caught a train for the 1st time since Feb 20 and was expecting to see lots of masks, I'd say 10% based on my carriage, max. Went into a pub to order and there were people queuing at the bar and pub was full, we bought ale and sat outside which was also full.
Week earlier, we were at an event in a bar which again was pretty full with people standing in groups.
Sat outside a pub Sat evening, then went in when it got cooler and it was pretty full, stayed for a couple more but left when it got even busier.
To me, and picking up on your point, is if that's what is now going on, then we are doing better than expected. My guess is that fewer and fewer are actually getting tested and that the actual infection rates are higher, but the vaccines are doing their job. For now.