Author Topic: Tennis (Read 159322 times)

Wholey · « **Reply #80 on:** June 23, 2011, 06:27:30 pm »

Quote from: -Paddy- on June 23, 2011, 05:49:20 pm

Just backed Safarova at 8/11.

Her record after going a set down recently's been bizarre. Be very shocked if she loses from here.

Broken in her first service game back. Probably because I jumped on it as well.

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #81 on:** June 23, 2011, 06:43:23 pm »

I topped up a bit.

Lucie Safarova   Lucie Hradecka   2-6 6-3 6-3
Marion Bartoli   Lucie Safarova   6-3 3-6 7-6(7)
Caroline Wozniacki   Lucie Safarova   6-1 6-4
Lucie Safarova   Petra Martic   1-6 6-4 6-2
Lucie Safarova   Shuai Zhang   4-6 6-0 7-6(5)
Lucie Safarova   Michaella Krajicek   6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
Lucie Safarova   Johanna Konta   4-6 7-5 6-3
Julia Goerges   Lucie Safarova   2-6 7-5 6-2

Obviously Bartoli/Wozi are far, far better players than the rest, so can be considered anomalies to a certain extent. Slightly worried as there's a stupid WTA trend of women going on to lose after getting bagelled in the first set, then winning the second and taking all initiative.

markay_stinkay · « **Reply #82 on:** June 23, 2011, 06:53:35 pm »

Surprise, surprise, John Isner involved in another tie-break. Had a look at the odds aswell at the beginning of the set - 4/6, awful.

Evens for TB in the 3rd is hardly an inviting price either.

Wholey · « **Reply #83 on:** June 23, 2011, 06:59:40 pm »

Neither can muster a thing on the other's serve so I don't think it is too bad.

They'll be far worse even money shots out there today.

markay_stinkay · « **Reply #84 on:** June 23, 2011, 07:16:39 pm »

Has either been broken? Loosely following at work.

Wholey · « **Reply #85 on:** June 23, 2011, 07:27:03 pm »

Quote from: markay_stinkay on June 23, 2011, 07:16:39 pm

Has either been broken? Loosely following at work.

Nope.

Almagro had 2 break points in the first set (in 1 game) and nothing since.

EDIT - Only 2 games to 40 all match.

Safarova & Zakopalova being made to play on despite the rain and both wanting to stop and come off.

Barneylfc∗ · « **Reply #86 on:** June 23, 2011, 09:38:11 pm »

Quote from: Barneylfc on June 23, 2011, 11:46:35 am

My quest to win 7 million has failed. Only got up to £21 yesterday.

Bet of the day

Robin Soderling v Lleyton Hewitt Total Games Over 37.5 games @ 5/6
Men's Kevin Anderson v Novak Djokovic Total Games Under 29.5 games @ 5/6
Adrian Mannarino v Roger Federer Total Games Under 27.5 games @ 6/5
Grigor Dimitrov v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga Total Games Over 34.5 games @ 5/6

Effes · « **Reply #87 on:** June 24, 2011, 01:34:07 pm »

Racing Post tips:

Mardy Fish -1.5 sets @ 8/15

Ljubicic +6.5 games @ 10/11

Might do a double

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #88 on:** June 24, 2011, 01:40:25 pm »

I was mulling over the Croat today.

Hmm

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #89 on:** June 24, 2011, 01:41:02 pm »

Backed Loper +4.5 at 8/11 too.

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #90 on:** June 24, 2011, 03:11:40 pm »

Fuck me this looks easy.

Good to see Melzer manage to get there in the end, that reaction to winning was amazing

Gotta be backing Simon at 4/1 tonight, that's just daft.

Effes · « **Reply #91 on:** June 25, 2011, 11:18:11 am »

Quote from: Effes on June 24, 2011, 01:34:07 pm

Racing Post tips:

Mardy Fish -1.5 sets @ 8/15

Ljubicic +6.5 games @ 10/11

Might do a double

I didnt do this bet, but the Ljubicic bet came in - think Fish game was rained delayed

aggerdid · « **Reply #92 on:** June 25, 2011, 02:24:28 pm »

nadals got cracking odds on betfair. i got him before wimbledon and theyve gone even bigger

wayne38491 · « **Reply #93 on:** June 25, 2011, 05:55:56 pm »

just backed under 44.5 games in Almagro Youzhny @ 11/10.

32 games so far with Youzhny 2-1 up. Almagro only won one point on the Youzhny serve last set where as Youzhny had deuce in four of Almagros service games.

jaffod · « **Reply #94 on:** June 26, 2011, 12:21:12 pm »

Is Tomic a good bet at 6/4 tomorrow against Malisse?

Wholey · « **Reply #95 on:** June 26, 2011, 02:40:37 pm »

Quote from: jaffod on June 26, 2011, 12:21:12 pm

Is Tomic a good bet at 6/4 tomorrow against Malisse?

Depends who you talk to as Tomic has his fair share of supporters in these parts.

Personally, I've backed Malisse and relatively strongly as well @ 4/7. Although he can be a bit of a headcase at times, Malisse is a solid grass court player and comes here in good form with him taking a set off Murray at Queens and getting to the SFs in Holland before SW19. The awful first set against Mayer aside (where it was blowing a gale) he's barely been troubled so far in this tournament and has looked strong on his serve (conceded just 2 breaks in 9 sets with that set against Mayer forgiven) and I think he'll be too strong for Tomic depsite the significant strides that Tomic has taken during the first week.

Doubled him up with Lopez for 11/10.

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #96 on:** June 26, 2011, 04:55:31 pm »

Tomorrow's all about Jo Wilfred.

Fontaine · « **Reply #97 on:** June 26, 2011, 05:59:47 pm »

Just fro interest - €50 double on Nadal & Wozniaki (cause shes a Red

). Pays €1,120

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #98 on:** June 26, 2011, 06:19:30 pm »

Agree with Lopez too, 7 unforced errors against Roddick's pretty impressive.

Having a small go on Tsonga and Lopez 3-0 too.

Wholey · « **Reply #99 on:** June 26, 2011, 08:30:08 pm »

Quote from: -Paddy- on June 26, 2011, 06:19:30 pm

Agree with Lopez too, 7 unforced errors against Roddick's pretty impressive.

Kubot's going to be rushing into the net all the time and given his level of composure when Roddick was doing the same, I just think Lopez is over priced.

-Gianni- · « **Reply #100 on:** June 26, 2011, 08:31:37 pm »

All over Pironkova tomorrow. She should be much shorter.

Wholey · « **Reply #101 on:** June 27, 2011, 12:35:47 pm »

Quote from: Wholey on June 26, 2011, 02:40:37 pm

Depends who you talk to as Tomic has his fair share of supporters in these parts.

Personally, I've backed Malisse and relatively strongly as well @ 4/7. Although he can be a bit of a headcase at times, Malisse is a solid grass court player and comes here in good form with him taking a set off Murray at Queens and getting to the SFs in Holland before SW19. The awful first set against Mayer aside (where it was blowing a gale) he's barely been troubled so far in this tournament and has looked strong on his serve (conceded just 2 breaks in 9 sets with that set against Mayer forgiven) and I think he'll be too strong for Tomic depsite the significant strides that Tomic has taken during the first week.

Doubled him up with Lopez for 11/10.

I've posted up some stinkers in my time but this could well go down as one of my worst ever.

Malisse really could not care less out there.

jaffod · « **Reply #102 on:** June 27, 2011, 01:39:21 pm »

Tomic could do a Becker here, he's not even dropping a set!

Wholey · « **Reply #103 on:** June 27, 2011, 03:29:14 pm »

I want to be seeing a sight like this in a few hours.

Come on Feli. Don't ruin my day like Malisse did.

Wholey · « **Reply #104 on:** June 27, 2011, 04:55:28 pm »

Bartoli's a dog against Lisicki.

*ponders*

jaffod · « **Reply #105 on:** June 27, 2011, 05:08:42 pm »

Fuck it. Had a 6-fold going, 4 had won but Lopez was 2 sets down and looked like fucking the bet up. Along comes Williams and loses to Pironkova which now means Lopez will storm back and win and it'll be the same old fucking story of one player letting me down. Sure enough Lopez is now 2-2.

kesey · « **Reply #106 on:** June 27, 2011, 07:03:08 pm »

Missed Lisicki the other day at 28's.

Got her at 12's, get on her!

The G in Gerrard · « **Reply #107 on:** June 27, 2011, 11:03:31 pm »

Quote from: Wholey on June 27, 2011, 04:55:28 pm

Bartoli's a dog against Lisicki.

*ponders*

You don't think Lisicki will beat her?

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #108 on:** June 27, 2011, 11:18:28 pm »

Stay away from Kvitova vs Pironkova.

STAY AWAY.

Wholey · « **Reply #109 on:** June 27, 2011, 11:45:44 pm »

Quote from: The G in Gerrard on June 27, 2011, 11:03:31 pm

You don't think Lisicki will beat her?

I think Sabine wins. I was hoping for a overreaction to Serena win and having Lisicki at a bigger price.

Quote from: -Paddy- on June 27, 2011, 11:18:28 pm

Stay away from Kvitova vs Pironkova.

STAY AWAY.

Why? What have you heard as I'm pretty heavily involved on Kvitova in the outrights?

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #110 on:** June 27, 2011, 11:48:45 pm »

Nothing, just that price on her's a slight overreaction to that can of ass whoop she had earlier.

Pironkova's second serve's garbage, she'll need to keep that % high or Kvitova will ruin her. Think the play is 2-0 or nothing.

I like Lisicki too. Nothing in the other two.

-Gianni- · « **Reply #111 on:** June 28, 2011, 01:01:29 am »

Lisicki for me tomorrow as well. Even though I hate backing against Bartoli.

aggerdid · « **Reply #112 on:** June 28, 2011, 10:49:30 am »

right nadal is now 5.1 on betfair. if this scan doesnt show risk to his long term career today he's surely got to play on. its a risk but 5.1 on nadal to win is too good to turn down.

aggerdid · « **Reply #113 on:** June 28, 2011, 11:22:08 am »

Quote from: aggerdoo on June 28, 2011, 10:49:30 am

right nadal is now 5.1 on betfair. if this scan doesnt show risk to his long term career today he's surely got to play on. its a risk but 5.1 on nadal to win is too good to turn down.

i've gone for it. a lot rests on this scan today. bloody hell as i was typing then it announced no broken bones on ssn

alex. · « **Reply #114 on:** June 28, 2011, 08:49:00 pm »

Murray and Novak 3-0 double, thoughts?

C · « **Reply #115 on:** June 28, 2011, 08:56:22 pm »

Quote from: alex. on June 28, 2011, 08:49:00 pm

Murray and Novak 3-0 double, thoughts?

I've not seen enough of Tomic this week, but his record is obviously really impressive - Novak looked worrying against Baggy, if Tomic can get an early break then Novak might lose his head again.

I fancy Murray to do Lopez in 3, beating big servers has never been a problem for Andy and Lopez is coming off the back of a 5 setter, whilst Andy eased to victory.

Would have to see the odds but I think its in with a good chance, Nadal will drop a set against Fish though - i'm confident of that.

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #116 on:** June 28, 2011, 09:17:38 pm »

Over 3.5 sets in the Tsonga game at evens is a bet IMO, Tsonga's 91% on his first serve in the last two matches. Beating Fernando Gonzalez and David Ferrer in straight sets is pretty amazing.

Think Novak and Andy will win comfortably, can see 3-0 in both to be honest. Pointless capping Nadal as regardless of whether he say's he's fit it's too tough to know whether he's 100%.

-Gianni- · « **Reply #117 on:** June 28, 2011, 09:26:08 pm »

Quote from: -Paddy- on June 28, 2011, 09:17:38 pm

Over 3.5 sets in the Tsonga game at evens is a bet IMO, Tsonga's 91% on his first serve in the last two matches. Beating Fernando Gonzalez and David Ferrer in straight sets is pretty amazing.

Like the look of there to be a Tiebreak in the match at 4/6. As you said Tsonga has served huge in his last two matches and Fed will struggle to break if he can get a decent percentage of serves in. As for Fed, Tsonga has failed to break him in their last 3 matches. Looks a big price.

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #118 on:** June 28, 2011, 11:34:41 pm »

This was today's MUG BET btw, which intended to keep me preoccupied.

Petra Kvitova (CZE) - Tsvetana Pironkova (BUL) (How many games will be played in the match?)    Under 21,5    Over 21,5    89.90    489/50    -
   Dominika Cibulkova (SVK) - Maria Sharapova (RUS) (How many games will be played in the match?)    Under 20,5    Under 20,5
   Sabine Lisicki (GER) - Marion Bartoli (FRA) (2Way - Who will win?)    Sabine Lisicki (GER)    Lisicki
   Tamira Paszek (AUT) - Victoria Azarenka (BLR) (How many games will be played in the match?)    Under 19,5    Under 19,5

To make things worse, I had a powercut all day so only saw Azarenka's match and the first set of Lisicki.

Ended up reading a book.

-Sad Fuck- · « **Reply #119 on:** June 29, 2011, 05:52:53 am »

Had a small go on Nadal -5.5 at bwin.

If Fish wins a set it's gonna be on a TB, or one break, max. Can possibly see him winning one of the first two, but I think in the end Rafa will grind him down. I'm expecting a scoreline similar to the one against JMDP, albeit slightly more comprehensive.

6-4 6-7 6-3 6-1, something like that.