As the season is now over I also thought I'd share my own version of the APLT (or the AAPLT I guess...)
My version works differently to Prof's as it allows you to lose your 2 most difficult away games, draw your 3 most difficult home games, and draws in your next 6 most difficult away games.
By this measure we were never more than 1 point below our 90 point target line, which is why I was less worried than many when we slipped to -5 in the APLT. The biggest gap to us and City was 7 points when they reached their max of +6 and we were -1.
As I said earlier in the season, I'm not claiming that this is a better measure than the actual APLT, I just thought I'd share this view as an alternate way of looking at what happened over the season.