We've been saying this for the majority of the season, Spurs are nailed on for the 3rd place position. In the end i think 4th place would be contested between us and Newcastle, Chelsea are in awful form, and Arsenal are just awful full stop, Newcastle still have Ba and Cisse to come back and we have Suarez so i would say us two are in pole position.
Chelsea are in poor form, but they'll get it together and go on a run sooner or later. So will we, possibly, but I think they'll finish ahead of Spurs at season's end. I think Spurs will beat us to fourth by 3-4 points, which will be very frustrating. I'm not as worried about Arsenal, because if we finish behind them it means we had no chance at fourth anyway, but they're only marginally worse than we are, so while I think we'll beat them I wouldn't write them off totally.
Frustrating because if we were going to put it together for a third place finish or even a title challenge, this would have been a great year to do it with all the problems at our rival clubs. In the end, if we win a cup and get 5th, I think that's an OK result from the season and we can push on next year.