If he plays I'll be very confident of winning, if he is still injured I think we'll get knocked out. Thats how much we need him right now imo.
That sums up my feelings as well.
Either way, we need to go with a three-man midfield. Anything less would be suicide. Without Spearing (and Lucas) though, I still fear the damage that the likes of Silva could inflict if we leave the kind of space in and around our box that we've done consistantly this season in their absence.
The problem is, i'm not sure what the best solution is, assuming that Jay is not fit.
There's been talk of Carragher playing that shielding role, but personally I wouldn't feel comfortable having Jamie tracking nimble, tricky players like Silva and Aguero in and around our box. There's an accident waiting to happen there in my opinion, a lot like Adam in that position, only withouth the occasional redeeming hollywood ball.
The two obvious options, and arguably both would be more comfortable in that area, would be Agger or Aurelio. Aurelio especially has played that role before, notably under Rafa. However, he's played a grand total of about half an hours (first team) football this season and for that reason alone I can't see him being thrown into this one. As for Agger, his partnership with Skrtel has probably been the shining light this season so unless it was absolutely necessary I would prefer to see these two kept together. We'll certainly need that solidity and understanding at the heart of the defence.
And then there's young Coady. Whichever way you look at it, he's the closest to a specialist defensive midfielder that we have at our disposal right now. He would be comfortable in that position and tactically would arguably be most likely to know what is required. However, his lack of experience disctates that this could be an exercise in sink or swim. Say he has a bad first couple of touches and the nerves set it, it could have a devastating effect on his confidence and for that reason, again, I can't see Kenny throwing him into this kind of fixture. Although against that argument comes the fact that Kenny did very similar when we were deserately short of full-backs last season and thought highly enough of Flanagan and Robinson to cast them in at the deep end against Arsenal and City.
Which is the better option of those? I don't know to be quite honest, but what's certain is that Kenny has a massive decision to make. This decision alone has the potential to decide this tie so he simply has to get it right.