Author Topic: The FOOTBALL BETS thread  (Read 3673547 times)

Offline Clayton Bigsby

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 17,477
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73240 on: May 6, 2017, 05:28:25 pm »
Hertha bsc v leipzeg/Locomotive v HNK Rijeka gg double 3.77/1

All teams have GG in at least 50% of theair last 6 home/away games. The away sides are the 'better' sides and the home teams have a good record of scoring at home

Hoping this starts enough another run


Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73241 on: May 6, 2017, 06:07:15 pm »
Right then, how much was our man Cedric tonight away at Barcelona?!

Offline Clayton Bigsby

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 17,477
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73242 on: May 6, 2017, 06:48:47 pm »
Right then, how much was our man Cedric tonight away at Barcelona?!

I hope Pete was on him

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73243 on: May 6, 2017, 07:55:15 pm »
Now im nervous!!!

Offline LanceLink!!!!!

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,828
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73244 on: May 6, 2017, 08:08:29 pm »
Now im nervous!!!

Brilliant!! That's a huge potential win.  Is there a cash out offer?

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73245 on: May 6, 2017, 08:10:06 pm »
Brilliant!! That's a huge potential win.  Is there a cash out offer?

No cash out offered through whole season, have sent a message, they say there looking into it. Come on Rafa!!!

Offline LanceLink!!!!!

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,828
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73246 on: May 6, 2017, 08:13:11 pm »
No cash out offered through whole season, have sent a message, they say there looking into it. Come on Rafa!!!

Stick a bit on Brighton at 4/5?

Offline adruk87

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,529
  • YNWA
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73247 on: May 6, 2017, 09:03:27 pm »
Just got on that Estoril forward Allano, 7/1 AGS, 80/1 2+. Got on now as I'll forget tomorrow.

Hopefully tomorrow is the day the big Portugese prices sting 365. That c*nt Horta never did it.
"Corner taken quickly, ORIGI!"

Offline apassant77

  • Kopite
  • *****
  • Posts: 988
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73248 on: May 6, 2017, 09:25:26 pm »
The old Horta train lol

Offline Barneylfc∗

  • Cross-dressing man-bag wielding golfer. Wannabe Mod. Coprophiliac. Would like to buy an airline seat if he could. Known 'grass'. Wants to go home to He-Man
  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 59,868
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73249 on: May 6, 2017, 09:43:14 pm »
Can't catch a break at all. I've reduced my stakes to £10 as it seems like I've lost every bet for a few months now. Juve tonight are the latest ones to fuck me over. Got fucked earlier on today in a random accumulator. Stuck a 1/20 in just to get the return over £100. They're the only ones that let me down after being 2-0 up, they lost 4-2. Couldn't write this shit. 
Craig Burnley V West Ham - WEST HAM WIN - INCORRECT

Offline rodderzzz

  • Plonkah!
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,480
  • That's Bullshit Miss!
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73250 on: May 6, 2017, 09:43:33 pm »
No cash out offered through whole season, have sent a message, they say there looking into it. Come on Rafa!!!

I think you're OK, Brighton are happy to be up and Villa won't let them win the league at Villa Park. Newcastle should do the job at home

Offline Buck Pete

  • GV66 LJF for short. King Kong Balls. Bathes in peat. Partial to a walnut whip. Gets wet for 24/7 but disappointed Chopper. On the mortgage blacklist. Too tight to really be called a
  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 30,174
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73251 on: May 6, 2017, 10:36:24 pm »
Stick a bit on Brighton at 4/5?

a bit?

Id be sticking a grand on them

for a £10 initial stake, not half!!

edit: great bet BTW Ste :)
« Last Edit: May 6, 2017, 10:54:30 pm by Buck Pete »

Offline El Denzel Pepito

  • Tight-fisted and unimaginative moany wannabe feedback tourist. More Michael O'Leary than Dermot...but will also give out noshes.
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 14,773
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73252 on: May 7, 2017, 06:48:41 am »
United away to Arsenal. I know Arsenal need a win, and United have a fair few injuries, but I'm basing this bet purely on the LFC/Chelsea game in the 13-14 title race. Jose loved the fact he fucked us up: he hates Wenger as much as us, he's love to end his top four ambitions once and for all. And he's pretty good when it comes to stifling teams and hitting them on the counter.

United first goal
United or Draw
Under 1.5 goals
HT 0-0

That's what I'll be on.
« Last Edit: May 7, 2017, 06:50:50 am by El Denzel Pepito »

Offline Suarez325

  • Kopite
  • *****
  • Posts: 941
  • Road End Whopper
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73253 on: May 7, 2017, 08:42:53 am »
Does anyone on here use expected goals data when betting on football? If so any good sources of data that anyone can recommend? Cheers in advance.

Offline youll never walk alone it

  • Can no longer walk alone as he has whiplash... or that's what his insurer thinks
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,799
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73254 on: May 7, 2017, 08:52:24 am »
Top  4 in order of chelsea spurs city and us is 4/5 on slybet, looks decent?
Im drunk  but i havent had  a drink!  bob paisley after rome 77                The times i had here wernt all great, we only  finished 2nd one  season....the great  bob paisley

when shanks was asked  how he relaxed,  he said  he looks at the league table and checks where everton are...

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73255 on: May 7, 2017, 10:26:43 am »
Now im nervous!!!

Hills just offered £1338 cash out.

Well by that maths I could put £800 on best price now @ 3/4 Brighton I would get £1400, if they lost league obviously would get the full amount just minus £800 still be over £2000 profit

Correct thinking?!?

Offline keano7

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,936
  • Alonso follows it in!
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73256 on: May 7, 2017, 10:42:10 am »
Hills just offered £1338 cash out.

Well by that maths I could put £800 on best price now @ 3/4 Brighton I would get £1400, if they lost league obviously would get the full amount just minus £800 still be over £2000 profit

Correct thinking?!?
That's correct. Not a bad position to be in mind! If you do the £800 bet on Brighton as mentioned above you win £600. If Newcastle win the league you win over £2,900 (including the -£800 on Brighton).

It's up to you how much of your potential winnings from Newcastle you want to risk by putting on Brighton. Obviously a £1k bet would return £750 and so on.

Or you could take the guaranteed £1338 and have a nice holiday! Good luck with whatever you choose!
"Can't wait for this one me mates picking me up in a van"

Offline LanceLink!!!!!

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,828
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73257 on: May 7, 2017, 10:57:40 am »
Hills just offered £1338 cash out.

Well by that maths I could put £800 on best price now @ 3/4 Brighton I would get £1400, if they lost league obviously would get the full amount just minus £800 still be over £2000 profit

Correct thinking?!?

If you lay Newcastle on Betfair at 2.34 you'll get a better figure than the cash out offer.

Lay them for a £1,620 (£2,200 liability) stake and you are guaranteed £1,530 profit. £200 more than the cash out.

You'll need £2,200 in your Betfair account to do this though, more than a bit of loose change down the back of the sofa!

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73258 on: May 7, 2017, 11:38:47 am »
My gut tells me Newcastle will win today so it all goes down to can villa hold off Brighton, and some way or another I feel a late twist (like league 2 yesterday) is in the title race today.

Hills offering in play winner of title so will look to back Brighton @ Evens (hoping Newcastle score early) Will see between £750-£1000.

COME ON RAFA!!!

Offline LanceLink!!!!!

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,828
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73259 on: May 7, 2017, 11:50:46 am »
My gut tells me Newcastle will win today so it all goes down to can villa hold off Brighton, and some way or another I feel a late twist (like league 2 yesterday) is in the title race today.

Hills offering in play winner of title so will look to back Brighton @ Evens (hoping Newcastle score early) Will see between £750-£1000.

COME ON RAFA!!!

Good luck, possibly the best bet on the RAWK betting thread if it comes off.

Offline adruk87

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,529
  • YNWA
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73260 on: May 7, 2017, 11:51:58 am »
Good luck Stephen, fingers crossed for you mate.
"Corner taken quickly, ORIGI!"

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73261 on: May 7, 2017, 11:58:09 am »
Best result Newcastle win the title - £2700 up
Brighton win (after putting £1000 on them) £700-£1000 up

Either way I'm up so can't complain but come on Villa do us a favour!

Offline Barneylfc∗

  • Cross-dressing man-bag wielding golfer. Wannabe Mod. Coprophiliac. Would like to buy an airline seat if he could. Known 'grass'. Wants to go home to He-Man
  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 59,868
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73262 on: May 7, 2017, 12:12:17 pm »
Well played Stephen  :wave
Craig Burnley V West Ham - WEST HAM WIN - INCORRECT

Offline adruk87

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,529
  • YNWA
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73263 on: May 7, 2017, 12:20:25 pm »
Goal Villa! 365 lied. must have been disallowed, hopefully bodes well if they're attacking.
« Last Edit: May 7, 2017, 12:22:08 pm by adruk87 »
"Corner taken quickly, ORIGI!"

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73264 on: May 7, 2017, 01:30:31 pm »
Red card and penalty has done for the big one 😔

Offline Clayton Bigsby

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 17,477
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73265 on: May 7, 2017, 01:52:59 pm »
That was an antepost and a half. Well played Stephen. Gutting that the shortest odds leg was the flop

Offline apassant77

  • Kopite
  • *****
  • Posts: 988
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73266 on: May 7, 2017, 01:53:33 pm »
Get in Villa

Offline Barneylfc∗

  • Cross-dressing man-bag wielding golfer. Wannabe Mod. Coprophiliac. Would like to buy an airline seat if he could. Known 'grass'. Wants to go home to He-Man
  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 59,868
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73267 on: May 7, 2017, 01:53:52 pm »
Villa equalise  ;D Get in Stephen lad
Craig Burnley V West Ham - WEST HAM WIN - INCORRECT

Offline ggcc14

  • C onfuses objective and objectionable. C-ock
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,643
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73268 on: May 7, 2017, 01:54:23 pm »
I´ll say something that might surprise you. Real life is different to computer games.
I think Nadal is brilliant. One of the top 10 ever.

Offline ggcc14

  • C onfuses objective and objectionable. C-ock
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,643
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73269 on: May 7, 2017, 01:57:48 pm »
Ah didn't realise you bottled it.  ::) ;D
I´ll say something that might surprise you. Real life is different to computer games.
I think Nadal is brilliant. One of the top 10 ever.

Offline Clayton Bigsby

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 17,477
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73270 on: May 7, 2017, 01:59:07 pm »
That was an antepost and a half. Well played Stephen. Gutting that the shortest odds leg was the flop

Spoke too soon. Great win

Offline adruk87

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,529
  • YNWA
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73271 on: May 7, 2017, 02:00:07 pm »
Spoke too soon. Great win

Take the credit for crying it in for him Clayton!
"Corner taken quickly, ORIGI!"

Offline Clayton Bigsby

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 17,477
  • We all Live in a Red and White Kop
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73272 on: May 7, 2017, 02:02:25 pm »
Take the credit for crying it in for him Clayton!
;D

Having done that in a while.

What a bet.

Offline y2w902

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,383
  • * * * * *
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73273 on: May 7, 2017, 02:09:17 pm »
Great stuff Stephen!

Offline LFCStephen

  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,272
  • I just carnt get enough....
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73274 on: May 7, 2017, 02:11:25 pm »
Turned it off after the pen for Brighton, had £1000 on them in end to cover myself, I did say there be a late twist and for once it's gone my way! £2723 (with the £1000 minus) now for Chelsea to finish the job! COME💷😊⚽️

Offline Barneylfc∗

  • Cross-dressing man-bag wielding golfer. Wannabe Mod. Coprophiliac. Would like to buy an airline seat if he could. Known 'grass'. Wants to go home to He-Man
  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 59,868
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73275 on: May 7, 2017, 02:22:41 pm »
Turned it off after the pen for Brighton, had £1000 on them in end to cover myself, I did say there be a late twist and for once it's gone my way! £2723 (with the £1000 minus) now for Chelsea to finish the job! COME💷😊⚽️

Brilliant stuff mate. Delighted for you
Craig Burnley V West Ham - WEST HAM WIN - INCORRECT

Offline El Denzel Pepito

  • Tight-fisted and unimaginative moany wannabe feedback tourist. More Michael O'Leary than Dermot...but will also give out noshes.
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 14,773
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73276 on: May 7, 2017, 04:57:59 pm »
Such a good bet, well in mate! Never had it in me to do those, delighted Newcastle (and Villa) did their job.

United away to Arsenal. I know Arsenal need a win, and United have a fair few injuries, but I'm basing this bet purely on the LFC/Chelsea game in the 13-14 title race. Jose loved the fact he fucked us up: he hates Wenger as much as us, he's love to end his top four ambitions once and for all. And he's pretty good when it comes to stifling teams and hitting them on the counter.

United first goal
United or Draw
Under 1.5 goals
HT 0-0

That's what I'll be on.

Course I fall asleep after our game and forget to put this on. Looking fairly good right now... was also 1 Derby goal away from landing a 31/1 acca :butt

Offline Buck Pete

  • GV66 LJF for short. King Kong Balls. Bathes in peat. Partial to a walnut whip. Gets wet for 24/7 but disappointed Chopper. On the mortgage blacklist. Too tight to really be called a
  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 30,174
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73277 on: May 7, 2017, 06:17:04 pm »
Turned it off after the pen for Brighton, had £1000 on them in end to cover myself, I did say there be a late twist and for once it's gone my way! £2723 (with the £1000 minus) now for Chelsea to finish the job! COME💷😊⚽️

Well done on the cover bet Ste. I know you didn't need it but not doing it without hindsight would have been utter madness

great work lad.

Offline RMG

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 7,104
  • YNWA
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73278 on: May 8, 2017, 04:22:33 pm »
Might just lump on Chelsea tonight, need to claw some money back.

Offline LanceLink!!!!!

  • RAWK Supporter
  • Legacy Fan
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,828
Re: The FOOTBALL BETS thread
« Reply #73279 on: May 8, 2017, 07:02:21 pm »
Negredo is 5/1 AGS tonight. 3 in his last 6 games and Chelsea have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 10.