Palace have only won 5 out of their last 30 premier league games!
That is a surprising stat, given how difficult a lot of people think this game will be.
It's the thought of the game under the lights, the atmosphere they create there, how pleasure they derive from 'Crystanbul', the set pieces etc... that makes this game a bit more difficult than it should look on paper.
Only one win in their last 4 games, but started quite well this season. I think on this trajectory, they'd finish with similar points to what they finished on last season, when Pardew could easily have been sacked.
I think this is going to be a game where those running and pressing statistics will be important. It feels like the kind of game where we need to be sharp in possession, making the right decisions with and without the ball and ultimately taking control of the ball. I don't want to end up in one of those frantic, rash defending kinds of games that we sometimes threaten to be in. We can't let them start like Swanesea did, as they seem to thrive on that kind of start as with the Stoke game recently.
I'd like to see us go back to our normal back five and midfield three, with Can sitting this one out. I think ball control is going to be key to defending and attacking - how well we recycle possession, how we can prevent them from breaking quickly and if they flood their midfield, I want Wjinaldum and Lallana in there, as they are most able to carry the ball and get it moving quickly from tight situations.
More than happy with any of our attacking line up but Firmino, Coutinho and Mane is preferred for me. They might be more inclined to go long to Benteke or hit their wingers with diagonal balls, but I think we're more likely to force mistakes with that forward line and to hem them in.
We have conceded 6 in our last 8, so there are signs that things are improving on that front, which I think is helped by that midfield three and how they use the ball and rarely waste it. Still need to be clued in at set pieces and aware of their crossing and how they will look to get Zaha/Townsend on the ball in 1 on 1 situations out wide.
On current form, I think we have more than enough to go there and get a win but we need to start well - defensively especially, as I don't want to see them go into an early lead. We have Swansea to take encouragement from if that does happen, but get on the ball early, take control and try and take the fizz out of them.